WEEK OF FIVE WINNING NAPS: Daqman landed back-to-back naps yesterday, his fifth winning best bet in seven days, three of them supernaps.
WON 8-13 BEORMA (supernap)
WON 5-4 NAVAL TRIBUTE nap
WON 8-11 ESTRANGE (supernap)
WON 5-4 SHIPSHAPE nap
WON 2-5 OMBUDSMAN (supernap)
☁️ GOOD FORECAST: The Epsom going was ‘on the easy side of good’ this morning ahead of the Derby and Oaks, after Aidan O’Brien warned that Oaks favourite Precise may be pulled out if the ground deteriorated.
DERBY & OAKS TOP RATINGS
🎩 4.00 Epsom, Friday (⭕ The Oaks) RATINGS: Best winner, Minding 119. Best career rating Enable 125 (from 107 Oaks day).
TRAINER: Aidan O’Brien 6, Team Gosden 3. DRAW: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 (total 7 from 10 drawn 1 to 5). FAVOURITES 2-10 but no winner bigger than 8-1 SP.
115 PRECISE (Aidan O’Brien) 5-6 since debut. Winner of the Moyglare, the Fillies Mile and the Irish 1,000 Guineas. Non-runner if bad ground.
110 VENETIAN LACE (Charlie Johnston) Second in the Fillies Mile, 3rd in the Newmarket 1,000 Guineas. Poor run with cut in the ground.
107 BEAUTIFY (Aidan O’Brien) Second to Precise in the Moyglare (yielding) but well behind her since.
107 THUNDERING ON (Joseph O’Brien) Acts on soft but beaten favourite the last twice.
🎩 4.00 Epsom, Saturday (⭕ The Derby) RATING: Best winner, City Of Troy 124. Best career rating City Of Troy 128.
TRAINER: Aidan O’Brien 6, Charlie Appleby 2. DRAW: 9, 10, 12, 14 total 7. FAVOURITES: 2-10 but four winners 16-1 (twice), 25-1 and 40-1.
117 ITEM (Andrew Balding) Unbeaten 3-3; won the top trial, the Dante Stakes. The stable won the Italian Derby yesterday with Guineas 10th, Venetian Prince.
113 ACTION (Aidan O’Brien) Frankel colt, closely related to dual Derby winner Lambourn. Runner-up to Item in the Dante. Acts on heavy.
112 BENVENUTO CELLINI (Aidan O’Brien) Third in the Doncaster Futurity behind Hawk Mountain on heavy but took the Chester Vase on a sound surface.
LEFT OPEN FOR GATE
⭕ 4.48 Nottingham I was surprised to see Barbury Boy shorter than Gatehouse in the early exchanges.
For my money Barbury Boy was disappointing when fourth at Haydock (having been sent off 4/5 fav) for a class 5 and is up to class 4 today.
Gatehouse is 2 from 4 (both wins on all-weather) and was in at a much deeper level at Newmarket last time out when fourth to Evanesco in a class 3. He may need to improve on that, even allowing for the drop in class but that’s not out of the question on just his fifth career start.
HARVEST BARLEY TONIGHT
⭕ 7.10 Ripon One of the most competitive races of the day on Betdaq Betting Exchange.
The course favours high drawn runners over this mile trip, especially in big field races like this.
Barley (drawn 9) and recent winner Kiss Me My Love (11) stand out against the rest of the field.
Barley is overdue a win but went close last week at Hamilton when beaten a short head by Sanafi Zabeel. He’s been raised 2lb for that effort but that doesn’t kick in yet so he comes into this on good terms weights wise.
Kiss Me My Love was a narrow winner herself last time out at Redcar beating Straight A by a nose. The front two pulled nicely clear in that race and she has chances of going close again off her 3lb higher mark.
Interesting to see small morning money about for the complete outsiders. It might turn out to be one of THOSE races.
However, it needs a leap of faith to summon up much enthusiasm for Eeetee (first start for 180 days) or The New Bay Pearl (well beaten on stable debut at Doncaster).
BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE
⭕ 8.12 Ripon Course and distance winners are always worth a second look here and we have four in this sprint handicap. It’s also a course that suits front runners, so I’m looking for plenty of early pace.
Any further rain would help the cause of Wen Moon who disappointed here in better company but bounced back with a much better effort when third at Carlisle last time out. He looked the winner that day but just struggled close to the line and should be suited by this easier track.
Another C&D winner Canaria Queen is really consistent but has generally been mixing it at a lower level and a bigger danger may come from Rock Of England who followed up a Newcastle all-weather win in April with another strong run when back on the turf at Pontefract.
DAQMAN’S BETS
on Betdaq Betting Exchange
★ 4.48 Nottingham (win 10, nap)
BET 4.4pts win GATEHOUSE
7.10 Ripon (both win 20)
BET 6.4pts win BARLEY
BET 2.0pts win KISS ME MY LOVE
8.12 Ripon (both win 10)
BET 2.8pts win WEN MOON
BET 1.6pts win ROCK OF ENGLAND
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
