16-1 CHAMPION CHANCE IS 37.0 ON BETDAQ: Fancy a flutter against Frankel? The forecast heavy ground may be an equalizer and some bookies are running scared of the place part of each-way bets. That’s why you can get 37.0 the win about a 16-1 shot for the Champion Stakes on BETDAQ.
‘KATE’ COULD BE QUEEN: Daqman’s ante-post interest in the Queen Elizabeth 11 Stakes is Elusive Kate, offered at more big value on BETDAQ. Today’s bets are at the foot of his column.
What else is unbeatable in a Frankel race? Answer: the BETDAQ offers. Should anything upset the world champion at Ascot on Saturday, it could be the combination of a late improver and heavy ground.
Frankel’s no stick-in-the-mud but Ridasiyna loves it bottomless and, since the Champion Stakes is the fifth race on the card, it could be just that after the pounding the turf pudding will take from the four earlier contests.
That’s why Hills and Ladbrokes are keeping a tight hold of the filly’s price: she is only 16-1 with each-way betting to three places still available. But BETDAQ offers included a massive 37.0 this morning and her place ‘price’ on the day is sure to be hugely better than Frankel’s win offers.
Ridasiyna slaughtered her field in the Longchamp ‘bog’ of a Prix de l’Opera at the Arc meeting: on a line through the second, Izzi Top, she is almost as good as Snow Fairy.
That was only the fifth race of her life, and connections are talking about the Arc for 2013. Ridasiyna had had a long break before the Opera so could have come on several pounds for it.
I had one up my sleeve for the Champions Sprint but the ground has probably scuppered the chances of Delegator. The Godolphin candidate hasn’t been seen since March but that’s just the point: his form after a break of five months or more is 1111.
But all were on good, or good to firm, ground. And now I’m thinking the stats are going to be proved right yet again.
Though you can usually reckon on older animals in sprints – even up to the age of 10, like that grand old man Borderlescott – horses aged three and four have shared this one, with just one winner aged five in the decade.
Significantly, runners already having Ascot form do well; placed in the Wokingham, close up in the Jersey; winner there as a two-year-old. All relevant.
Last year’s runner-up, Wizz Kid, clearly likes the track, and came back to form on heavy ground in the Abbaye on Arc day, just outrunning my bet, Mayson, on the line.
Wizz Kid will be ridden by Olivier Peslier, who roared back into the headlines on Solemia in the Arc. Since he also partners Cirrus Des Aigles in the Champion Stakes, he’ll be second most envied man in the weighing-room after Tom Queally.
But there are others with Ascot form. Restiadargent was a head and a neck off Black Caviar in the Diamond Jubilee at the royal meeting, with Sirius Prospect little more than two lengths down, though seventh.
The mile (Queen Elizabeth 11 Stakes) has gone to four successive three-year-olds. They make up half the field but do not have the first two in the betting.
Elusive Kate, 7.8 on BETDAQ but as low as 9-2 on Betvictor, was runner-up to Siyouma in the Sun Chariot Stakes at Newmarket three weeks ago before that one won a Grade 1 at the Woodbine International meeting.
John Gosden tells the trade paper that Elusive Kate won’t mind the ground. It was soft when she ran second in the Group-1 Falmouth Stakes at the July meeting. The winner that day, Giofra, has since finished third to Ridasiyna in the Opera. That’s where I came in.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 7.6pts win TRAIN HARD and 1.9pts win (stakes saver) SUBTLE DIFFERENCE (3.00 Wolverhampton)
BET 4.4pts win (NAP) DECIMUS (4.20 Wincanton)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 4pts win double RIGHT TO RULE (2.10 Uttoxeter) and ESTEEM (3.20 Wincanton)
ANTE-POST: 0.5pts win RIDASIYNA (Champion Stakes) and 2.5pts win ELUSIVE KATE (Queen Elizabeth 11 Stakes (both on Saturday)
* Daqman stakes his bets to win 20 points (except Daq Multiples). You, therefore, know the offer he took (divide 20 by the stake).
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
