120 POINTS FROM 10-WIN SPREE: ‘Deauville Dancer Could Waltz Home.’ It did! ‘Elm Park Might Be Special’. It was! They were among three more winners yesterday (one at 9-2) in the hot headlines that have taken Daqman’s haul to 10 in four days for 120 points profit:
WON 6-1 Chinese Jade
WON 6-1 Sloane Avenue
WON 9-2 Ski Lift
WON 2-1 Deauville Dancer
WON 15-8 Elm Park
WON 15-8 Winter Queen
WON 7-4 Little Shambles
WON 6-4 Arctic Feeling
WON 6-4 Ever So Much
WON 6-4 Mile House
FIVE WINNING NAPS OUT OF NINE: Deauville Dancer was his fifth nap to win in nine days, and the form of his best bets is now 121130121 for 79 points profit. In time order:
WON 10-3 Bragging
WON 8-11 Al Kazeem (banker)
WON 2-5 Leading Light (banker)
WON 15-8 Winter Queen
WON 2-1 Deauville Dancer
PROFIT ALL THE WAY WITH BETDAQ VALUE: Daqman leads Pricewise 97-36 going into today’s value challenge in the 2.25 Beverley, 2.55 Chester, and 3.15 and 3.50 Sandown. His Bull’s-Eye Bet is 221 points in profit and his Bankers (27 winners from 39 selections) 106 points up.
BALLESTEROS BACK IN THE SWING AT CHESTER
2.20 Chester A low draw usually has an advantage at Chester but, with the cut-away inside rail and soft ground to stop the runaways, it ain’t that simple.
But here was no mistaking the jungle drums beating for Ballesteros (6.4 on BETDAQ early mouse), back to form at Ascot and 7lb lower, thanks to the capable claimer, than for his course win here, and 10lb down on his starting mark for the current season.
There is no reasonable start to my ton-up bet today but Ballesteros is worth bull’s-eye (win 50) stakes, though we need luck in running in a sprint.
2.55 Chester Alejandro, Chosen Character and Johnno may try to get across from their high draws only to be denied their customary front-running roles by Ocean Tempest who can bag the rail if he gets a quick start out of gate 3. But he’ll do well to get home first with top weight.
Mezzotint gets behind; Laffan is 7lb too high; Foxtrot Romeo hasn’t won since breaking his maiden in 2011 (Beau Nash another with a similar story); Apostle is up in weight and up in grade for a class-3 CD win, his first on turf in more than two years.
As I’m pricing up with this form in mind, I end up thinking ‘if I were a layer, I couldn’t allow Heavy Metal to start at an each-way price’’. Yet he’s 9.8 on BETDAQ, early mouse.
Heavy Metal must surely be placed after his game sequence at Ascot, Haydock and Goodwood (badly hampered there again at the ‘glorious’ August meeting). The question mark is whether his long season (four wins from 12 starts) will take its toll.
The one that has his ground and gets the right draw for his style of running is Russian Realm whose yard does particularly well,at Chester with older handicappers. I took 8.4 Russian Realm and 9.6 Heavy Metal on BETDAQ.
3.30 Chester (Win £10,000,000 On Betdaq Colossus Chester Stakes) The BETDAQ sponsorship treble here gives a return of £67,000 guaranteed to winning connections. Can we match that with some Daq Multiples?
Presumably led at a decent pace by Special Meaning, this tricky Listed should, on form, be fought out by Pitman’s Derby fourth Noble Silk and Old Newton Cup winner De Rigueur, whose CV includes defeat of last year’s winner of this.
But it provides a belated opportunity for Big Orange, whose mark was attacked by the handicapper after his excellent fourth in the Queens Vase at Royal Ascot.
It was won by a Group-3 winner, with the Great Voltigeur fourth in second. Upped 17lb, Big Orange had to wait for something like this.
4.05 Chester (Betdaq 3% Commission/EBF Stallions Fillies’ Conditions Stakes) London Life and Spirrit Of Xian look exposed, and Marigot Bay is likely to pull herself into an early lead.
Soon to be overtaken I think by Blue Aegean, using his stall-2 advantage. But first prize may rest between likely improvers Enlace and Evening Rain, who were the only ones supported with BETDAQ early mouse.
4.40 Chester (Betdaq £50 Free Bet/Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Stakes) The market screams the grey Team Hannon colt Azmaam (6.0 bar one) who has the one stall to help him slip this field.
But I’m looking for a turn-up in a race like this and I could get 10.0 Crikey, sired by the unbelievable Kodiac, who has got 151 two-year-old winners.
May this be one of them and bring us in a 120-1 treble. It won’t quite match the £67,000 BETDAQ sponsorship money or get close to the £10,000,000 BETDAQ Colossus. But you can build your winnings on BETDAQ without fear of reprisal or, if you are reading this for the first time, note the name of the race: BETDAQ £50 free bet!
BITE THE BULLET AND BET ON KINGSGATE
2.05 Sandown The one-two by stall in the last seven years reveals no fewer than 12 of the 14 were single-figure numbers, and gates 1, 2 and 3 won four races.
Ajjaad has won this race before; One Chance was third in the Queen Mary; but I shall rely on Ryan Moore, perfectly poised one off the rail on course-specialist Tagula Night, 9.4 on BETDAQ as I write.
2.25 Beverley (Bullet Sprint) Northern trainers have managed to keep a 50-50 balance between themselves and winning raiders from the South.
But yet again today the luck of the draw may make a huge difference: five of the last six winners of this have come from stalls 1 to 4, four of them from gates 1 or 2.
Willbeme is six now but improved to take a class-2 handicap at York in June, which has somewhat backfired in that the handicapper has hit him hard, and even raising him further for a fair effort in Group 3. So, 16lb higher now, he just had to continue in the Pattern.
Line Of Reason, whose yard is having a run of poor form, is also handicapped harshly after a hat-trick saw him soar 13lb, also since June but has a stone to find with the best of these, now trying Listed level.
Pearl Secret in stall one is another who likes cut and was three lengths off Kingsgate Native on firm in the Spring, with Rocky Ground – a Listed winner since – further behind.
Those with no choice but to step up from handicaps and those who prefer cut in the ground look vulnerable, despite his 8 stall, to Kingsgate Native, placed in the Palace House and the Temple Stakes: 6.0 on BETDAQ this morning.
2.40 Sandown (Solario Stakes) This is the race that launched Kingman a year ago. Is there another Kingman lined up in the Solario?
I thought there was, such was the news coming from Kingsclere about Elm Park. But he ran and won – made all – at Salisbury yesterday – headed straight for the Racing Post Trophy.
That leaves Aktabantay, the Superlative Stakes (Group 2) runner-up for rising-star trainer Hugo Palmer, and the big New Approach colt, Future Empire, for Godolphin, classically bred on both sides of his pedigree.
Aktabantay was beaten a long way in the Superlative and has cheekpieces today. I’m a purist and can’t relate cheekpieces to Pattern company for class of horse or trainer (sit down, Aidan; carry on with your homework).
Second, third, fourth and eighth behind Future Empire at Newmarket have all won since, and he is the one with potential for immediate improvement while the others are much more exposed. Progeny of New Approach have had most wins on good-to-soft ground.
3.15 Sandown (Atalanta Stakes) A three-year-old has won this eight years out of nine in a race which has produced fillies of the highest class (Dank, Integral).
The man with a hatful of them this year is John Gosden but his progressive handicapper Water Hole faces half a dozen winners already in the Pattern, notably one from France, saddled by another training mandarin, Andre Fabre.
But Fintry, whose Prix de Sandringham success at Chantilly was franked by the runner-up’s close third in the Group-1 Prix Jean Prat might not be fit enough after a break and with the Sun Chariot as her declared aim.
The German Oaks runner-up, Diamond Dove, had been well beaten by Calyxa, but that one was three lengths off Noble Mission, then five off Riibbons. The stable fears the drying ground at Sandown. The Dove has only ever won when it’s heavy.
3.50 Sandown Luca Cumani has won this twice since 2008, and his Ajmany has that look of a Cumani improver but he needs the ground to dry out and five horses in the race are already up to class-2 winning level.
Forgotten Hero seems to a reformed character and there may be more to come from Clon Brulee, with his weight hike negatad by Mikey Ennis’s 7lb claim. Mount Shamsan could be anything but Clon Brulee looked big at 10.5 on BETDAQ this morning.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 30 points, unless stated)
BET 3.5pts win TAGULA NIGHT (2.05 Sandown)
BULL’S-EYE BET (win 50) 10pts win BALLESTEROS (2.20 Chester)
BULL’S-EYE BET (win 50) 10pts win KINGSGATE NATIVE (2.25 Beverley)
BANKER BET: 20pts win (nap) FUTURE EMPIRE (2.40 Sandown)
BET 4pts win RUSSIAN REALM and 3.4pts win HEAVY METAL (2.55 Chester)
BET 6pts win WATER HOLE and 3pts win (stakes saver) FINTRY (3.15 Sandown)
BET 6pts win BIG ORANGE (3.30 Chester)
BET 3pts win CLON BRULEE and 3.8pts win MOUNT SHAMSAN (3.50 Sandown)
BET 3.3pts win CRIKEY (4.40 Chester)
BETDAQ CHESTER MULTIPLES: 5 x 1pt win doubles and 2 x 1pt win trebles Big Orange (3.30 Chester) with Evening Rain and Enlace (both 4.05 Chester) and Crikey (4.40 Chester)
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