DAQMAN LANDS THE EBOR WITH 5-1 TIGER: Daqman gave himself two plays in yesterday’s Ebor and well he did: Opinion was so slow away he lost his chance but left it to Daqman’s biggest bet in the race, Tiger Cliff (WON 5-1).
‘BOLD’ THREE YORK LAYS IN A ROW: Daqman dared to oppose a third hot market leader at the big York meeting, when he followed up Simenon (2nd 15-8 fav) and Pavlosk (unplaced 6-4 fav) with Parbold (3rd 11-4 fav) in the Gimcrack.
‘SIRIUS’ PROFIT ON THE DAY: Daqman also named Sirius Prospect (WON 5-2) for the opening race and his profit on the final day at York was a tad over 43 points at BETDAQ offers. His naps are currently 1211223.
FIVE STRAIGHT DEAUVILLE WINS: Daqman’s on a sensational streak at Deauville, winning FIVE races in a row (see August 19 archive) and naming the 1-2 FOUR times! It’s the final day of the Deauville season today, with all three big winners so far in the bag: Moonlight Cloud, No Nay Never and Elusive Kate (nap).
French domination of the Arc market could be further cemented today. They have four of the five market leaders for Longchamp in October, and the Grand Prix at Deauville this afternoon should be decided among Now We Can, Singing and Penglai Pavilion.
All have collateral form with the home Arc team, set to show up as second rate the middle-distance three-year-olds in England and Ireland.
Deauville is declared as ‘good’ with only minor showers forecast, a blessing after my form calculations went out of the window at York on Friday following 20mm of rain. I was glad to recoup yesterday.
DEAUVILLE DRAW MUSIC TO MAKIN
2.08 Deauville (Prix De Meautry) Clive Cox, who landed last year’s Meautry with Jimmy Styles, has booked Gerald ‘I just love to be here’ Mosse for Place In My Heart today.
Gerald is the hottest Channel hopper of the season, snapping up another top prize yesterday at Goodwood – literally a Prestige Stakes race – with Ed Dunlop’s grey filly, Amazing Maria.
Like father, like son, Ed seems to have a way with the ladies of the equine variety and, like father like daughter, ‘Maria’ oozed the class of her sire, the Irish Guineas winner Mastercraftsman.
Place In My Heart (11.5 this morning), in the frame in three consecutive Group 3s, is ideally drawn today in stall 6, with seven of the last 10 winners coming from gates 4-to-8.
The obvious local heroes, Tulips (in 13) and Abu Sidra (16) are beached out wide, while American Devil has an equally arduous task: jockey Umberto Rispoli must extricate him from the ‘coffin box’ trap 1.
Peter Makin’s Morache Music (I took 7.4 on BETDAQ), fourth in the 2012 Wokingham, had Tulips, American Devil and Myasun behind when third to Abu Sidra in a Group 3 over today’s CD in June.
It must have been Music to Makin’s ears to get stall 5 today, and the five-year-old is better off at the weights with both the winner and the runner-up, Princedargent.
Daqman’s verdict: 1 Morache Music, 2 Place In My Heart
2.40 Grand Prix De Deauville: Warren Place runs First Mohican in this all-aged Deauville ‘Derby’, which used to be the preserve of Paul Cole, five times a winner (1988-99).
First Mohican would cap a dramatic weekend for trainer Lady Cecil, jockey Tom Queally and owner Henry Ponsonby after their emotional Ebor triumph with Tiger Cliff.
This Grand Prix has a second leading lady, Mme Corine Barande-Barbe, whose Cirrus Des Aigles won this in 2011 and gave Frankel a race of it in last year’s Champion Stakes.
But First Mohican and Cirrus Des Aigles have both been beaten in Group 3s during the Deauville season, First Mohican over CD by Tres Blue a fortnight ago, Cirrus Des Aigles suffering an odds-on reverse in the Prix Gontaut-Biron last Sunday.
Tres Blue is better off with First Mohican today but seven-year-old ‘Cirrus’ was being handed his third consecutive defeat as favourite in last Sunday’s race, and his penalties mean that he must give away a stone in weight to Tres Blue and another smart three-year-old Singing, a massive 13.0 on BETDAQ as I write.
Singing took a huge step forward when, just a maiden winner, the Wertheimer colt was only about two lengths off Flintshire in the Grand Prix De Paris, a Group 1 over today’s trip.
Andre Fabre, trainer of Flintshire, who was afterwards made favourite for the Arc, now saddles Penglai Pavilion in this Group 2 this afternoon.
The Monsun colt is a course-and-distance winner but that success at the end of July has to be taken with a pinch of salt, since he was long odds on in a small field with no one wanting to go on, and the time returned was a massive 13 seconds above average on only good-to-soft ground.
However, three weeks earlier he’d run four-time-winner, Vancouverite, to a head at Longchamp before that one won a Group 2 here at Deauville from another consistent top-class colt called Pilote, with the Saint-Alary winner, Silasol, only fourth.
A bigger threat to the three-year-olds than Cirrus Des Aigles and First Mohican may come from Now We Can, who won the Grand Prix De Chantilly in June.
Beaten a head in that was Haya Landa, who’s since been third to Novellist and Dunaden (Cirrus Des Aigles fifth) in yet another grand prix, the Grand Prix de Saint-cloud.
So we’re seeing grand guidelines to the Arc here from Now We Can, Singing and Penglai Pavilion. The winner should come from those three.
Daqman’s verdict: 1 Singing, 2 Now We Can, 3 Penglai Pavilion
3.10 Deauville (Prix Quincey) This used to be named after the Plage De Fleurie, the beaches of Deauville and Trouville where James Bond walked the famous planks before his baccarat confrontation with Le Chiffre in the Casino Royale.
William Knight, with Goodwood Mile fifth Fire Ship, and George Baker are the gambling Brits today, George saddling the 2012 Royal Hunt Cup winner Belgian Bill, under – yes, it’s that man again – 007 Gerald Mosse. But look out for Dastarhon as the dastardly SMERSH.
This is a Group 3 and only Mainsail and Silas Marner have won at this level – hence they carry penalties – but early-doors layers fear a comeback by Dastarhon.
He was second in the French Guineas in the Spring when he finished in front of Chantilly Derby winner, Intello, Jersey Stakes winner, Gale Force Ten, and Prix Jean Prat (Group 1) hero, Havana Gold. Yet he’s 7.0 on BETDAQ over my cornflakes.
Pascal Bary’s Mainsail got within a length and a half of Intello at ‘Maisons’ in July, giving 4lb, so must front the older horses on form. Faites vos jeux!
Daqman’s verdict: 1 Dastarhon, 2 Mainsail.
GOODWOOD: HUGHES CHOOSES PROFESSOR
3.20 Goodwood Nothing higher than stall 7 could even reach the frame in six of the seven races on this glorious downland yesterday, yet Groundbreaking – from gate 10 – is likely to start favourite in this after only one start.
Groundbreaking, fabulously bred by New Approach out of a Dubai Millennium mare, has that ‘could be anything’ tag after strolling his Doncaster maiden.
But every trainer will tell you that it’s the second run that counts. I remember one of my own, after coming home like a future winner on the debut, was so frightened on her second run that she stood there shivering, her coat white with sweat. And that was in the pre-parade!
There’s precious little between Broughton, Aussie Reigns and Code Of Honour on Broughton’s CD win earlier this month, while Rhombus is an improver.
The benevolence of BETDAQ layers allows us to back Broughton (7.0 at time of writing) and have a saver on Groundbreaking.
4.30 Goodwood Another favourite drawn high is Penitent, but in a smaller field, and there’s rain about. If the ground softened, he would be short.
Four of his eight successes have come in September and he was a fine second in a Group 1 at the Longchamp Arc meeting in October.
Boom And Bust and Goodwood ace Richard Hughes on Professor could only look on as Afsare scooted clear on today’s course at the Glorious meeting. That was no shame, with Afsare following up in the Celebration Mile there yesterday.
Hughsie chooses Professor over Libranno, who was just a neck behind Boom And Bust at an earlier Goodwood meeting, when Professor was hampered. Three-year-olds dominate in this contest.
5.00 Goodwood Still they back the high draw, with Astonishing clear favourite from gate 9 and her rider, Ryan Moore, lukewarm about her chances.
The rain boosts Astra Hall (stall 5 and surely ‘wrong’ this morning at 9.8) and Java Rose, a potential improver after only three starts, poised at the weights to reverse the Salisbury placings with Bantam, who finished in front of Astonishing (favourite) at Newbury in June.
DAQMAN’S BETS:
BET 3pts win MORACHE MUSIC and 2pts win PLACE IN MY HEART (2.08 Deauville)
LAY 10pts CIRRUS DES AIGLES and BET 4pts win NOW WE CAN and 2.5pts win SINGING (2.40 Deauville)
BET 3.3pts win (nap) DASTARHON and 1.5pts (stakes saver) MAINSAIL (3.10 Deauville)
BET 3.3pts win BROUGHTON and 1.2pts win (stakes saver) GROUNDBREAKING (3.20 Goodwood)
BET 5.2pts win PROFESSOR and 2pts win (stakes saver) PENITENT (4.30 Goodwood)
LAY 10pts ASTONISHING, and BET 3pts win JAVA ROSE, 2.2pts win ASTRA HALL (5.00 Goodwood)
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