CRACK TIPSTER DAQMAN LANDS 50-POINT BULL’S-EYE: Daqman picked up 88 points profit in one day with four winning bets yesterday, hitting a hat-trick at Haydock, three from three, including a supernap and a win-50 bull’s-eye bet. His winners were:
WON 7-1 CRACK ON CRACK ON (Haydock bull’s-eye bet)
WON 100-3 SANDS OF MALI (‘Fahey Ascot dream’)
WON 15-8 CARADOC (Chester, by five lengths)
WON 10-11 BATTAASH (supernap ‘out on his own’)
SUPERNAP TREBLE AMONG FOUR BEST BETS IN A ROW: Battaash gave him his fourth consecutive nap, among them three out of three successful supernaps. He goes for another supernaps double today.
WON 10-11 BATTAASH (Saturday supernap, Haydock)
WON 3-1 UBER COOL (Friday nap, Goodwood)
WON 4-6 POET’S WORD (Thursday supernap, Sandown)
WON 4-6 WITHOUT PAROLE (Thursday supernap, Sandown)
NOW HE LEADS PRICEWISE 21 WINS AND 115 POINTS: With another Classic day ahead of us today – it’s the 1,000 Guineas at the Curragh – Daqman now leads Pricewise of the Racing Post 28-7 for big-race value winners, giving him a lead of 115 points (+37 Daqman to -78 Pricewise), one-point level-stakes.
CLEMMIE CAN SHOW HER TRUE CLASS
4.10 The Curragh (Irish 1,000 Guineas)
A 7f-plus winner already (90%)
B Group winner already (80%)
C Trained in Ireland (80%)
D Rated 110 to 116 (70%)
E Ran in Newmarket 1,000 or a Leopardstown Trial (60%)
F Raced in last three weeks (60%)
X Stable in top form
ABCDEFX Happily
Sister to Guineas winners Gleneagles and Marvellous but seemed done for toe in the Newmarket 1,000, though rallied out of the dip in her first race on quick ground. Should come on for that.
ABCEFX Who’s Steph
The Zoffany grey had three of these behind when winning the two Leopardstown Trials in April and May, one on heavy, one on good ground.
ABCF Lightening Quick
By Frankel out of a Cheveley Park winner. Beat Foxrock Cup winner Xenobia to take the Athasi Stakes at Naas early in the month.
ABEF Soliloquy
Sixth in the Newmarket 1,000, a length behind Happily, after making all in the Nell Gwyn Stakes, with the subsequent Newmarket winner then only fourth. Expected to revert to those tactics again today.
ACEFX Yulong Gold Fairy
Second to Who’s Steph on heavy in the April 1,000 trial at Leopardstown but weakened, fifth, behind Lightening Quick in the Athasi Stakes.
ACEF Alghabrah
Kept on well, third to Who’s Steph in the 1,000 Trial at Leopardstown a fortnight ago, with Chiara Luna just behind.
ACFX Could It Be Love
Wears tongue-tie and blinkers, eighth in the French 1,000 Guineas.
ACFX Most Gifted
Big improvement needed on a Curragh maiden victory.
BCDEX Clemmie
Clear of this Guineas field with 115 rating and, though that was achieved over 6f, she is bred to do even better at a mile, as a full sister to 2,000 Guineas winner Churchill.
CEF Chiara Luna
Highly regarded, with stamina-packed pedigree. Fourth to Who’s Steph in slowly-run Leopardstown trial on good ground, and could reverse the placings.
CE Alpha Centauri, CF Scriobh Nua, C Uluru Park
VERDICT: Happily beat French Guineas winner Olmedo and English 2,000 third, Masar, in the colts’ Grand Criterium, the Lagardere, on soft ground at the Arc meeting.
But, though her family did well on firm, she seemed to find it difficult to quicken off the top of the ground in the 1,000 at Newmarket.
Who’s Steph has done well at Group 3 level in the Leopardstown trials but she, too, could be overtaken by Chiara Luna, stopped several times in her run at Leopardstown in her trial.
The ‘hidden horse’ is Clemmie, described as ‘a lot like Churchill’, his 2,000 Guineas winner, by trainer Aidan O’Brien, saying that her 6f success last season was a case of ‘class seeing her through.’
If she’s ‘ready to start’ as O’Brien puts it – 2lb clear of Happily in the ratings – then she can now show her true colours, after training issues this Spring.
In human terms, Clemmie was Churchill’s wife. In equine terms, she is his sister. In betting terms, she is value at 8.2 best on BETDAQ. Her trainer (seven wins) and jockey (three) have the leading records in the race today.
You have to do a Spartacus in these high-octane races, and cross the line. If I’m against Happily, then she’s making BETDAQ-value prices on the grid for Clemmie and Chiara Luna (9.4 best), which gives me two chances to beat her.
ORDER IN: 1 Clemmie, 2 Chiara Luna, 3 Happily
IT’S MOHER GOLD CUP FOR MOORE..
2.25 The Curragh (Tattersalls Gold Cup) Older horses have won the last seven but Success Days has been only third and fourth in this race in the last two years, and Reckless Gold has a stone to find.
The 2017 Epsom Derby runner-up for Ryan Moore, Cliffs Of Moher beat Success Days in the Mooresbridge but was well behind last year’s winner of this, Decorated Knight, in the Irish Champion Stakes in September. Likes today’s fast ground.
Defoe has won six races out of seven, progressing 27lb in the last year but won’t run if the ground is too firm.
Cliffs Of Moher’s stablemate, Lancaster Bomber, was a good third in the Lockinge but is a nearly horse, a twilight horse, with a poor strike rate (1-17).
His sole success was in his maiden way back when, always a bad sign, yet he’s been placed in a Guineas and a Breeders Cup Mile. Smacks of desperation to move him up to 1m 2f, as the market reveals (9.2 BETDAQ).
3.00 The Curragh (Gallinule Stakes) Harvestfortheworld could provide a 1,000 Guineas clue for later on today, since she was fifth behind Who’s Steph, Alghabrah and Chiara Luna in the 1,000 Guineas Trial at Leopardstown two weeks back.
And all eyes are on the grey Platinum Warrior to tell us how good is Epsom hope Hazapour, more than three lengths in front of him in the Derrinstown Derby Trial.
Aidan O’Brien, who goes for his ninth Gallinule in 11 years, runs a colt, the maiden Conclusion, and two fillies, Sarrochi (behind Who’s Steph earlier) and Sizzling, stone last in the Newmarket 1,000.
And it’s son Joseph who looks most likely to. Ming doesn’t seem quite Classic dynasty but Joseph is bullish about Latrobe (4.9 BETDAQ this morning), who is in the mix of the Chester Vase and Sandown Classic Trial form after his neck second to Hunting Horn.
RECOLETOS SECOND SUNDAY SUPERNAP
2.37 ParisLongchamp (Prix Saint-Alary) May Hill and Fillies’ Mile heroine Laurens, the Newmarket 1,000 Guineas runner-up, is Karl Burke’s flagship for the season. But, after 23 consecutive losers, the stable is currently flying half mast.
Will Laurens win or signal the demise of the exposed fillies on this Irish 1,000 day?
I’ll take a chance with Flowrider, whose Andre Fabre stable is also below par but scored with this one recently on the way to this target race, won by her dam, Wavering.
3.50 ParisLongchamp (Prix d’Ispahan) While Fabre has been out of form, so too has Trais Fluors, who needs to bounce back.
Subtly named after sire Sea The Stars and dam, Melodramatic, Roger Charlton’s Almodovar has been disappointing but the Springtime switch from David Lanigan may yet pay dividends after his reappearance effort at Sandown looked promising until lack of race fitness showed.
But hard to imagine anything catching Recoletos (Tareef was five lengths behind in the Muguet) with the Laffon-Parias team excited about his Queen Anne chances after the successful drop back to a mile.
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.25 The Curragh (SP)
SUPERNAP: 20pts win CLIFFS OF MOHER
2.37 ParisLongchamp (win 20)
BET 3.5pts win FLOWRIDER
3.00 The Curragh (win 20)
BET 5pts win LATROBE
3.50 ParisLongchamp (SP)
SUPERNAP: 20pts win RECOLETOS (3.50 ParisLongchamp)
4.10 The Curragh (win 50, Irish 1,000 Guineas)
BULL’S-EYE BET 7pts win CLEMMIE
BULL’S-EYE BET 6pts win CHIARA LUNA
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