88 POINTS FROM BIG-RACE TREBLE: Daqman, who has already hit 114 points in one day this week, bagged another 88 points profit yesterday with a superb Saturday big-race hat-trick, all part of his value challenge to Pricewise of the Racing Post:
WON 8-1 Rocky Creek
WON 5-1 Grendisar
WON 5-1 Rivellino
5-1 NAP FOR THE SATURDAY KING: Back of the net! Without a win for a year, and without a run for 217 days, but Rivellino (WON 5-1, nap), named after the Brazilian World Cup ace of the Seventies, quickly put Daqman on the score-sheet at Lingfield.
AND 5-1 AGAIN OVER PRICEWISE: Then, in the Winter Derby Trial, Daqman cracked in another power drive with Grendisar (WON 5-1) to go two from two at Lingfield, a 35-1 double in races chosen by Pricewise himself.
8-1 ROCKY FOR 20 BIG WINNERS: Finally, Daqman and Pricewise shared the spoils in the big chase at Kempton: both were on Rocky Creek (WON 8-1). The scores are now Daqman 20, Pricewise 11 (overall 128 – 69).
OUR ROCKY ODDS FOR AINTREE ARE HALVED
He’s a winner already. The 29.0 ante-post taken about Rocky Creek by this column on BETDAQ on Thursday, now looks, yes, rock solid for a Grand National trade, as punters ate up the layers’ liquidity until only 12.5 remained this morning.
It came as Rocky also looked rock solid in the big Kempton chase yesterday, showing all the dash and jumping skills of his fifth in the National last year. And more.
More? He looked really stylish and comfortable yesterday after his summer-break wind operation which may well have improved him several pounds – ‘I think this is the best we’ve had him,’ says Paul Nicholls – yet he’s down 2lb on his 2014 rating at Aintree.
Bookmakers expect odds about Rocky Creek for the champion stable and Shutthefrontdoor for the champion jockey to shrink even further, come the day (April 11 at Liverpool). It’s already 20-1 bar two in most places.
SILSOL LOOKS FONTWELL BANKER MATERIAL
2.10 Fontwell (Josh Gifford Cup) Two quite disparate stables – those of big gun old-Etonian Nicky Henderson and that great mucker Gary Moore – have turned the Champion Chase into a race, not a procession.
Not good news for us, in that we took 5.1 Dodging Bullets, thinking he would be left alone, out in front of the market. Then, consecutively, Henderson’s Sprinter Sacre, Champagne Fever and now Moore’s Sire De Grugy blew back into town, and suddenly it’s a five-horse fantasia that will steal the headlines from the Gold Cup.
Fantastic work with their one-time invalids by Henderson and Moore, who has just the one runner today at Fontwell in this Josh Gifford memorial (oh, the great days of Ryan Price!)
And Moore’s Leo Luna is head-to-head with Nicholls’ Wilton Milan, 15.0 bar two, on a day when the racing comes with a wallet-health warning – ‘it will be tough’ – from the course clerk, who waived an official inspection.
Leo Luna is an unreliable jumper, and a novice at that, so I shall include in my Daq Multiples the more experienced Wilton Milan, who has already stepped up from class 3 to class 2 (both placed) in open handicaps.
2.40 Fontwell (Certain Justice Challenge Trophy) Gary Moore’s great rival on the Sussex track, Chris Gordon returns Herecomesthetruth to an open handicap for the first time since the Spring of 2012.
He hasn’t won for more than five years but is a staggering 50lb lower, and has raced only 22 times despite his age. He’s only missed the frame three times, still standing.
The other end of the scale are the novices Regal Flow, a Plumpton winner, hampered or he would have scored again at Taunton, and De Kerry Man, November winner for a small Points yard, now switched to David Bridgwater. I’ll go with the Flow; the Brdigwater yard is badly out of form.
3.10 Fontwell (National Spirit Hurdle) I was on last year’s winner of this, Kayf Moss, in the Welsh Champion Hurdle at Ffos Las, but he was well outpointed by Silsol, ‘no chance with winner’.
Under the conditions of this race, Silsol, rated 158, gets 8lb from Kayf Moss, rated 143, though he was the equivalent of 7lb better at Ffos Las. That’s a banker situation, though I’ll keep to low-level stakes because of the state of the ground.
LOOSE CANNON CAN OUTGUN MULLINS PAIR
3.20 Naas This novice hurdle is a kingmaker. It has had among its winners Champion Chase hero Newmill, Supreme Novices winner Go Native, Neptune runner-up Felix Yonger, Grand National runner-up Black Apalachi, and 10 wins-in-a-row Annie Power. And that’s only in the last decade.
Max Dynamite won well at Thurles and is still being considered for three novice events at Cheltenham, despite his Limerick drubbing by subsequent Red Mills Trial hero, Kitten Rock.
The 3m winner Lean Araig was well beaten by Max’s Willie Mullins stablemate, Aminabad, last time he was seen over a trip close to the minimum, but he in turn was no match for All Hell Let Loose when they were second and fifth at Punchestown on the first day of the month, though Aminabad may have needed the race that day, and he is also entered up at Cheltenham.
But, if ‘Hell’ can let loose his November form when he ran up to Deloitte winner, Nichols Canyon, he would romp this, and 4.5-plus on BETDAQ was added sugar to my cornflakes this morning.
3.50 Naas The 2012 winner was Seabass on his way to a magnificent third in the Grand National for trainer’s daughter Katie Walsh, with this column holding a 60.0 ante-post bet in its BETDAQ Aintree wallet.
After back-to-back wins with Days Hotel, Henry De Bromhead brings in Moscow Mannon to try to land the treble in this Grade-2 chase but the yard is currently out of form.
Twinlight had Moscow Mannon and Mallowney behind at Leopardstown over Christmas but has disappointed since, losing this column money at Punchestown when his good run behind Dodging Bullets and Sprinter Sacre seemed to set him apart.
But I can’t get Mallowney right either. I raved about him as a novice (the horse, not me, though I’m not so sure) but let him run at 8-1 when he won at Fairyhouse recently.
Mallowney is a Naas specialist – three times a winner, hurdles and fences – so that gives him the edge for me.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked 1 to 9; bankers are 10 points)
BET 6pts win REGAL FLOW (2.40 Fontwell)
BANKER: BET 10pts win (nap) SILSOL (3.10 Fontwell)
BET 6pts win ALL HELL LET LOOSE (3.20 Naas)
BET 8pts win MALLOWNEY (3.50 Naas)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 3pt win doubles and 1pt win treble WILTON MANILA (2.10 Fontwell), SILSOL (3.10 Fontwell), MALLOWNEY (3.50 Naas)
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