DAQMAN BOWLS AT EARLY STRIKE: They’re already toe to toe at the Cambridgeshire meeting! It’s Daqman v Pricewise in the 4.15 Jockey Club Rose Bowl, as Newmarket’s three-day event kicks off with Daqman 85-14 up on winning bets in Pricewise nominated races since the start of the Flat season.
A BANKER AND A BIG OUTSIDER: Two-year-olds are to the fore: Daqman starts the day with a banker and is strong on a French raider for the big juvenile trial. But he has a 16.5-offered Hidden Horse in the sprint handicap.
HIDDEN-HORSE BOND’S GIRL BIG AT BETDAQ 16.5
2.00 Newmarket I put up Linguistic as a two-year-old to follow and, if he is to justify his Dewhurst and Racing Post entries, must do the business here. It’s 10.5 bar one on BETDAQ this morning.
3.10 Newmarket Yesterday, I opposed a three-year-old taking a sudden step up from winning a class-4 among his own generation when moving to a senior race in class 2.
The outcome was that Scrutinise won under hands and heels riding (and looks like the winner of the November Handicap).
But, when Queen’s Pearl tried to leap from an all-aged class-4 victory to a Listed, she failed. Should we now back her as she goes into reverse?
This a single step back down the ladder to class 2, but there are other experiments going on: after three seconds over 7f and 1m, Wordcraft tries this 6f; Risen Sun’s form is similar; Accipiter is up in trip.
As well as a pound on Queen’s Pearl, I’m having a bit of win and place Bond’s Girl at 16.5, because I think she’s become a bit ‘hidden’.
Bond’s Girl started her season in the Nell Gwyn Stakes, took on Twilight Son at York and did nothing wrong, second over today’s trip on soft on the July Course.
Her last two starts were Newmarket (6f, badly drawn) and Salisbury (a trip too far, 7f soft). Back to six now, she has better than an outside chance.
LAWMAKING TO LAND THE TRIAL FOR FAB FABRE
3.40 Newmarket (Somerville Tattersall Stakes) Master-trainers Andre Fabre and Jim Bolger rarely raid Headquarters, unless they have a real shot at a big race or a two-year-old trial such as this one.
Fabre has already hit the Somerville Tattersall target (1991) and his 4.8 offer this morning, Lawmaking, looks like starting shorter, partly on the strength of his narrow Group-3 defeat at Longchamp earlier in the month.
But it’s more about his stable. And his stunning pedigree. His sire is brother to Guineas-winner Zafonic and his dam a sister of Arc winner Rail Link.
Bolger’s Sanus Per Aquam, second twice at Group-3 level, already looks a nearly horse, and I prefer Tasleet, though this extra furlong is a finding-out mission after his excellent CV over 6f, including runner-up at Goodwood to Shalaa, also reckoned a sprinter.
I’ve been pressing Shalaa to be treated as a 7f sort, if not a Guineas colt, and the heat will be turned higher if Tasleet can take this.
THE FORCE IS WITH YOU IN THE BETDAQ ORANGE
4.15 Newmarket (Jockey Club Rose Bowl) A flying dismount after this one would have Frankie Dettori’s head in the clouds, Flying Officer is so massive.
Flying Officer has raced only seven times in his life. But down Bury Road at the Clarehaven Stables – built from a huge coup landed on the Cesarewitch – they won’t hear that he’s a ‘glass’ horse, just prone to ‘niggles’ because of his size and that there’s no question that the guv’nor, John Gosden, can hold him together after his recent return, no more than a canter over a small field at Salisbury.
Eye Of The Storm has already won a Listed, beating Angel Gabrial a head at Sandown, but is now conceding 3lb because of that success.
Gale Force has moved swiftly up the ladder – by 18lb – from a class-5 win at Kempton in July to class-2 at Goodwood on the first day of the month.
James Fanshawe has Gale Force in the Cesarewitch and in a Group 2 on Champions Day, whereas no such entries are planned for Flying Officer.
Front-runner Forever Now, who led the Gold Cup field for a long way, and Arabian Comet are also pencilled in for the stayers’ championship.
Arabian Comet has always looked as if this step up to 2m would suit but has to bounce back from a poor effort in the Park Hill Stakes.
The verdict? BETDAQ to the rescue. While Pricewise fans must call up nine different bookmakers in the hope that the ‘Best-price Percentage 104’ is still there – and the one they want is still the price advertised! – the BETDAQ mouse can go to a 106% orange this morning, with no more to do.
Just move the cursor to 8.2 Gale Force and 14.5 Arabian Comet and you have two solid offers against the favourite.
I’m not laying Flying Officer; I just think he’s too short, particularly when dutching those two is still less expensive than his price.
DAQMAN’S BETS (each staked to win 20 points, except the banker, settled at SP)
BANKER: BET 20pts win (nap) LINGUISTIC (2.00 Newmarket)
HIDDEN HORSE: BET 1.3pts win and place BONDS GIRL, plus 6pts win QUEEN’S PEARL (3.10 Newmarket)
BET 5.2pts win LAWMAKING (3.40 Newmarket)
BET 2.7pts win GALE FORCE, and 1.4pts win and place ARABIAN COMET (4.15 Newmarket)
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