BANKER WIN IS NINTH OUT OF 12: After a quiet week, Daqman unleashed a double banker at a value price at Wincanton yesterday, Big Fella Thanks (WON 5-6), giving his maximum-stakes bets the sequence (9 out of 12) of 111111132121. The winning bankers are:
WON 4-11 Josses Hill
WON 1-1 Kingscourt Native
WON 6-4 Don Cossack
WON 3-10 Top Notch
WON 8-11 Twentytwoâs Taken
WON 6-4 Hurricane Fly
WON 6-5 Vibrato Valtat
WON 4-9 Devilment
WON 5-6 Big Fella Thanks
THEREâS ANOTHER ONE TODAY: Thereâs another banker at Ludlow today, while Daqmanâs Monday tip in the Forbra Gold Cup holds good, and a race at Thurles is last-chance (Cheltenham) saloon for some massive festival outsiders. On BETDAQ, of course.
MASSIVE FESTIVAL OUTSIDERS ON BETDAQ
3.15 Thurles Theyâre still trialling for Cheltenham. Rubi Light (2.45), third in the 2011 Ryanair, is prepping for one of the handicaps at the festival in two weeksâ time.
And this novice hurdle has Sub Lieutenant trying to pick up the pieces for a crack at the Supreme or the Neptune (though 335.0 and 235.0 respectively for those races in the BETDAQ ante-post orange this morning; as low as 40-1 with bookmakers).
Sub Lieutenantâs second in the Leopardstown Future Champions and sixth in the Deloitte gives him a big chance this afternoon in first-time cheekpieces, dropped in class.
But the Willie Mullins pair, Milsean and Sambremont, and Paul Nolanâs Fine Theatre are also engaged at the festival.
I could find 96.0 Fine Theatre, 132.0 Sambremont and 184.0 Milsean for the Neptune, but Milsean is only 39.0 for the Albert Bartlett and Sambremont 168.0.
Milsean, who was a top bumper performer, should stake his claim here but, at the offers, Iâll give Sub Lieutenant another chance (I took 4.7 with evens Milsean the stakes saver).
WHAT A RECORD WITH HIS FANCIED HORSES
3.20 Ludlow (Forbra Gold Cup) Did you get on when BETDAQ opened the orange last night? I told you on Monday that What A Good Night is expected to win this race (Daqman Archive).
Since then, trainer Dan Skelton has made it four wins from nine starters in 11 days, all easy to pick, if youâre a market follower.
âEasyâ, if there is such a word in racing, because the money was down when they won (3-1, 1-4, 2-1 and 11-8) and the losers were not fancied (at 8-1, 14-1, 33-1, 25-1, 5-1).
So Good Night is not so good this morning, in to 3.2. On the other hand, you may have been wise to wait for the market confirmation that we see in those stable returns.
You wouldnât think that What A Good Night had already won a class 3, since he creeps in here off bottomweight of 10st 5lb. In fact, he carried 10st 3lb when he won in this grade at Wetherby, and has been raised 9lb.
That suggests that todayâs race is better quality, whereas he in fact trounced a 128 and a 130 that day, and itâs hard to find anything in this handicap that is a trustworthy threat.
I couldnât back Tony Star. He hadnât won a race since October, 2012 (hurdle), and had to be dropped back into noviceâchase company to score over todayâs CD a month back. Thatâs shot him up the ratings higher than heâs ever won off.
You have to go back even further to find Alfie Spinnerâs last success (December, 2011), though this is the first time heâs been dropped below class 2 since that day, and has Lizzie Kellyâs 7lb claim to give him a live chance.
Itâs A Steal is unexposed under Rules over this trip but is up 17lb on his latest success on todayâs course over shorter. Global Power has been a big disappointment, not yet reflected in his rating; in fact, raised again for being placed without winning.
4.25 Ludlow I will play up my winnings from one hunter-chaser, Big Fella Thanks, on another one today, Out Now, once placed in the Irish Grand National, having been bought by David Maxwell for the Aintree Fox Huntersâ Chase.
Out Now goes up a grade after his easy win at Warwick recently but this class 5 should be a doddle, if he is to be competitive in the class-2 Fox Hunters. A shade of odds against on BETDAQ this morning.
BLINKERS MIGHT GALVANIZE AMANTO
3.30 Taunton (Royal Bath & West Hurdle) I couldnât believe that Dragonâs Den had descended so low that last week they entertained a jam-and-marmalade-making duo who wouldnât have beaten my old granny.
The turning point for me came when the dragons were offered shares in a company which made bedsheets with a line down the middle for separating Mr and Mrs at sleepy-time. Thereâs a much cheaper way; snore loudly and you get the bed to yourself.
Dragonâs Den, the horse, was too noisy at Exeter last May and at Cheltenham in October: he got thumped by the handicapper and is struggling 9lb higher, albeit back down in class today.
Is there an alternative to Alternatif? David Pipe, who has just had four winners from five starters, has been quiet with this youngster since he won on his debut over here, after being bought in France âfor silly money.â
What is worrying is the addition of aids, first a tongue-tie, now cheekpieces. He may win this but I canât see him recouping that âsilly money,â tnough might get some of it back when chasing.
Saint Breizâs second to Ned Stark, giving the winner weight, would be good enough here, but that was 307 days ago. Iâll take a chance on Amanto, back to his best trip and blinkered first time.
DAQMAN (1 to 9, according to strength; banker 10)
BET 6pts win on each SUB LIEUTENANT and MILSEAN (3.15 Thurles)
BET 7pts win WHAT A GOOD NIGHT (3.20 Ludlow)
BET 5pts win AMANTO (3.30 Taunton)
BANKER: BET 10pts win (nap) OUT NOW (4.25 Ludlow)
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