DAQMAN STORMS TO A SMART HOLIDAY YANKEE: Daqman’s May magic continued yesterday with four winners out of four in a Bank Holiday Yankee for a commission-free Daq Multiples profit of over 55 points to one-point unit stakes. The winners were:
WON 11-10 (STORM MOON) Kempton
WON (dd ht) 15-8 (SAINT THOMAS) Beverley
WON 2-9 (SHARP AND SMART) Bath
WON 6-5 (CHARLOTTE ROSINA) Kempton
NOW IT’S FIVE WINNING NAPS OUT OF SIX: Sharp And Smart was his fifth winning nap from the last six, following Fencing (WON 9-2), Mont Ras (WON 9-4), Duke Of Firenze (WON 6-4) and Dank (WON 4-1). His naps sequence is now 112111.
137 POINTS PROFIT IN TWO DAYS: Daqman also tipped Lion Beacon (WON 6-4) for five Monday winners, after 50 points scored from three successful bets on Sunday. His overall profit on the eight wins in two days is 137 points.
I shall look for the early BETDAQ offers on the Chester Cup in the orange tonight. Tomorrow’s big stamina test on the Roodeye merry-go-round has some significant stats.
Donald McCain has won it for the past two years. David Pipe before that. And Richard Fahey’s also won it.
But tomorrow’s card suggests that McCain is just beyond the limits of success in the race, with Thimaar and Ile De Re both carrying welterweights, and one of Fahey’s contender, Ingleby Spirit, is just below the quality required, if his 91 rating is anything to go by.
Winning marks in the last five seasons have been 93 (twice), 95, 96 and 99, which suggest that Pipe, Fahey and Dermot Weld, along with Philip Hobbs, have their horses placed perfectly with every chance of scoring.
While the Hobbs (Softsong) has plenty of recent form, Fahey (Address Unknown 97), Pipe (Investissement 97) and Weld (Olympiad 95) may field horses that have not run for between 127 and 242 days.
Olympiad and Softsong may need cut in the ground but Address Unknown won first time out in 2011 and took the stayers’ race in the Shergar Cup last August on a firm surface.
And Investissement, who won a staying handicap at Goodwood on firm ground, has been hurdling during the winter. Those are the two I’ll be looking at tonight.
If I can get an early 12.0 offer or so about one or the other, or both, I will back them to win 20 points and charge it to this column!
I’d rather to betting the Chester Cup half-blind than jumping on the Ruler Of The World bandwagon. The world and his wife is guessing that he’ll be Aidan O’Brien’s Derby hope.
As I said yesterday, after the rise and rise of Dawn Approach, I will wait for the trials while there are still 111 ‘runners’ in the Epsom Classic. Today’s spots are:
CATTERICK Good luck to ever-present Eijaaz (6.40), who has finished second four times and third once in this claimer since 2008.
On official ratings, he’ll be only fourth this year behind Party Doctor, Royal Opera and another old-timer, Just Lille.
Heart Of Dubai and Bijou Dan are both previous winners of the two-miler (7.40) but that was Heart Of Dubai’s only win since he broke his maiden in 2008.
Hi Dancer, Sea Cliff and Summerlea haven’t won on the Flat since 2009, and all these long-term losers suggest we ought to have a bet among the others.
With his stable badly out of form, we can also knock out Kodicil. Golden Jess and Grand Art are also pensioners.
Danceintothelight is a winner at Catterick on the Flat and over hurdles, while Brunello shaped on the course in April as though wanting today’s trip.
Maid Of Meft is now down below her last winning mark (on firm) after runs over the wrong trip: 9.6 on BETDAQ as I write. She’s won in a grade higher race.
KEMPTON There’s a double-bonus start to the meeting: the opener is commission free on BETDAQ and only 5% overround.
It will have a long-odds-on favourite in Lewisham, a Group-2 runner-up who is rated 36lb clear of his field.
But here’s another double bonus on BETDAQ: you can bet without the favourite by picking one of the four others for a place at better than even money, massively better than the win odds about Lewisham.
Moreover, in theory, you have two chances of a place, while backers of Lewisham to win have only one though, in fact, I think we’re betting to come second to the favourite here.
Since Bobini has already been 12 lengths behind Lewisham and Nepalese Pearl was stone last of 16 on the debut, I’ll take Sally Bruce who has already finished in front of Guru Baby. I got 2.2 and will settle at that in the account.
Noble Bacchus (2.40) was interesting at 5.2 this morning: gelded on his reappearance and in his first handicap. Conversing has already beaten Knight’s Parade but both are bridesmaids.
Clive Cox put in a good word for Apollo D’Negro (4.40) in his stable tour and, as a CD winner, the five-year-old could go well. In fact, all bar Dream Catcher and Kelly’s Eye are CD winners! And we haven’t even mentioned the favourite yet.
Red Larkspur won convincingly at Lingfield, dropped three grades from a class-2 in insuitable ground at the Cesarewitch meeting.
It all looks rather tricky but the other thing those CD rivals to the Cox gelding have in common is that their tables have all failed to score in the last fortnight, whereas Coxie currently has a 47% win-and-place strike-rate.
NAVAN The Salsabil Stakes (7.05) is a recent Listed-level innovation: all three winners so far have run in an Oaks (two English, one French).
Oaks engaged among today’s field are Magical Dream (Epsom and The Curragh), Alive Alive Oh (The Curragh) and Coolibah (Epsom), with Magical Dream’s Moyglare fourth to Sky Lantern now looking top of the class.
After a winning yankee, I always do at least another double. Otherwise next time I want to do a yankee, I’ll have to follow up four winners. Superstitious or what!
YARMOUTH With Kieren Fallon on the equivalent of a winner a day in May, I shall go for Cross My Heart (4.20), who should beat a poor field from the front.
It’s a desperate card and the only other eye-catcher is Hamble (3.50), disguised by running in France and Italy last season, but a CD winner here.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 5pts place only SALLY BRUCE (2.10 Kempton)
BET 4.75pts win NOBLE BACCHUS (2.40 Kempton)
BET 4.7pts win HAMBLE (3.50 Yarmouth)
BET 12pts win (nap) CROSS MY HEART (4.20 Yarmouth)
BET 4pts win APOLLO D’NEGRO and 2pts win (stakes saver) RED LARKSPUR (4.40 Kempton)
BET 2.3pts win MAID OF MEFT (7.40 Catterick)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 4pts win double CROSS MY HEART (4.20 Yarmouth) and MAGICAL DREAM (7.05 Navan)
DAQMAN’S TARGETS: A day of dross apart from the Navan trial. I need two returns to finish in front: stakes are all to win 20 points, apart from the place-only bet. And the magic multiples, of course!
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