FOUR WINNING DAYS IN A ROW: Daqman’s nap, easy winner Galileo Gold (WON 10-11), was among three returns out of the four races he bet in at Salisbury and Lingfield yesterday. Responsible for most of 72 points profit from four winning days in a row were:
WON 10-1 Un Temps Pour Tout
WON 9-1 Dawn’s Early Light
WON 7-1 Postulation
WON 7-2 Stravagante
WON 13-8 Golden Horn (banker)
WON 10-11 Galileo Gold (nap)
BETDAQ ANTE-POST CUP PLUNGE: Daqman plays his second Royal Ascot ante-post card with a bet to win 50 points in the Gold Cup, and he finds a second ‘miler’ making a bid for sprint honours. Don’t miss Daqman’s Ascot analysis all next week.
THE MIZZOU SAGARO FORM SHINES LIKE GOLD
ROYAL ASCOT THURSDAY
GOLD CUP: Now and then a sequence horse comes along and dominates the Gold Cup for up to as many as four seasons (like Yeats). Delete those and six of the remaining nine winners this century are four-year-olds.
There is no sequence under way so three four-year-olds among the market leaders demand special attention this time around: Alex My Boy, Mizzou and Vent De Force.
French-trained Alex My Boy steps up beyond two miles for the first time, and his last English appearance was eighth in the 2014 St Leger.
Mizzou made his step up in trip at Ascot in April when beating Vent De Force in the Sagaro Stakes, improving from an 85 in August to officially rate 111 after that.
Vent De Force franked the form by winning the Henry 11 Stakes at Sandown, a recognized trial for the Gold Cup, in which he foiled a four-timer by Trip To Paris after that one’s Chester Cup success.
Ladbrokes, the firm in the know, bet 25% lower about Mizzou than do the majority of bookmakers and, with the favourite, Forgotten Rules, and the French star, Tac De Boistron, likely to be inconvenienced by the fast Ascot surface, the 8.0 on BETDAQ looks a fair offer.
ROYAL ASCOT FRIDAY
DIAMOND JUBILEE: Between 1974 and 1996, three-year-olds had hold of the Diamond Jubilee, winning it 15 times.
They didn’t come resume control until 16 years later, with back-to-back wins from Kingsgate Native and Art Connoisseur. Somewhere around that time, the Aussies arrived.
My old mate, the Canberra-based professional punter, Murray Dwyer, warned me: ‘You might beat us in everything else; but you won’t beat our sprinters.’
Choisir (2003) and the incredible Black Caviar (2012) proved him right in this race, while Takeover Target (2006), Miss Andretti (2007) and Scenic Blast (2009) bagged the Kings Stand.
The last time I saw Murray was in Gai Waterhouse’s box at Royal Ascot. Now here’s the former English actress (who once upon a time appeared in Dr Who) training her own top-line contender, Wandjina, for the Diamond Jubilee.
Wandjina is a three-year-old related to a whole bunch of top Aussie sprinters, who could reach the finish line as fast as a Tardis. First you see him, then you don’t!
But here’s the strange part of the adventure. Wandjina is not known as a sprinter. He’s the Australian Guineas winner! Can Gai wave her magic Wandjina in the face of Europe’s top-class speedsters?
That’s the second day running I’ve been talking about a Guineas horse in a sprint championship. Yesterday was all about Tiggy Wiggy, the 1,000 Guineas third, and her chances in the Kings Stand Stakes.
The difference is that Tiggy Wiggy has won six times over 5f and 6f, and been beaten in a photo-finish for the Queen Mary. At Royal Ascot.
PACE WILL ENABLE MOORE TO FLY ON EXPRESS
3.10 Haydock: Luca Cumani can patch up one end of Bartholomew Fair (bad feet) but is never quite sure when the other end (‘he is difficult mentally’) will become the problem.
Bartholomew Fair has been dropped, from a Group 3 (beaten five lengths in October) to a Listed (last in the Lingfield Derby trial) a month ago, a total of four grades to today’s class-3 handicap.
His Irish Derby entry now looks remote but he’s given a last-chance-saloon bet at an easy 4.6 early mouse on BETDAQ, with Steal The Scene even easier (layers begging for takers at 7.6 as I write) and the trainer reaching for blinkers on another disappointment, Pleiades.
3.40 Haydock: Simply Shining has drifted like a lonely dog on a raft this morning, way over my betting weir at 17.5. And Birdman – back on the surface he loves – is easy to back at 6.8, as I write.
What’s going on? The money is all for Express Himself, who has been staying on late in his races but now has three potential front-runners in his field and the services of Ryan Moore (4-6 for the yard).
TAMADHOR SHOULD UPHOLD THE GUINEAS FORM
7.00 Fairyhouse: On a day of dross, one potential beacon lights up the cards: Tamadhor, runner-up to Legatissimo – and second again n a very hot Blenheim Stakes – as a juvenile, was sixth in the Irish 1,000 Guineas.
She looks shrewdly placed in this, where three-year-olds are getting a lump of weight, and where the older horses are disappointing, not least Geoffrey Chaucer, who is on a fishing trip, dropped back to 7f.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked 1 to 9, banker 10, but ante-post bets are to a fixed-profit yield)
BET 3pts win BARTHOLOMEW FAIR (3.10 Haydock)
BET 5pts win EXPRESS HIMSELF (3.40 Haydock)
BANKER: BET 10pts win (nap) TAMADHOR (7.00 Fairyhouse)
ANTE-POST: BET (to win 50): 7pts MIZZOU (Gold Cup, Royal Ascot, Thursday)
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