TODAY: DAQMAN ANNOUNCES WIN-100 BET: Daqman announced he will go ton-up for the rest of the Flat season, as he targets big-race value, with stakes to win 100 points in an individual race. This follows the success of his win-50 bull’s-eye bet.
TOMORROW: BETDAQ RACES AT KEMPTON: His new betting structure starts later in the week. Meanwhile, no worries about the weather tomorrow, with a fascinating card on the all-weather surface at Kempton Park, for which BETDAQ sponsor four attractive betting races.
TON-UP DAQMAN IS GOING FLAT OUT..
I’m never satisfied. Daqman is doing well by any standards. But I’m introducing two ideas at different ends of the betting spectrum to go on the attack this autumn (if you don’t think summer is over, look out of the window).
At big-race meetings – St Leger, Cambridgeshire, Cesarewitch, Champions Day and Arc – I am introducing a Ton-Up Target, stakes ratcheted up to win 100 points with one bet. There could even be one at Sandown at the weekend to launch the bet. It will run until the end of the Flat.
At the other end of the scale, for the ordinary weekday racing, starting on Friday, I shall restrict myself to a maximum of four bets, which require just one winner to cover all stakes.
The idea is twofold: not to lose on a daily basis; to win at weekends, and win big! Here’s how we stand right now:
CHALLENGE: Daqman 97, Pricewise 36
VALUE-50: Bull’s-Eye Bet (to win 50)+ 221 points
VALUE-100: Ton-Up Target (new bet starts Saturday)
MAXIMUM: Banker bets (27 from 39) + 106 points
NAP (since day one at York) + 55 points
LAYS (new series starts this week)
FINANCE IS THE TARGET FOR THE NAP
EPSOM Hopes N Dreams, Links Drive Lady, Arctic Feeling and Prince Regal have the soft-heavy form to bring to the sprint (3.25), all with trainers who have just had a winner.
Normally, you’d look for pace and draw edge, but this is purely a matter of who’s got big feet and a big heart in a mudbath. All five are near enough their weight-carrying mark.
The plot horse must be Hopes N Dreams, who slammed her rivals from the front in this race last year, shot up 12lb afterwards and has only now dropped to a rating within a couple of pounds of the 87 she was set that day.
Her course form is a big asset but Arctic Feeling is also a CD winner and that was class 2 at a higher rating, with Samantha Bell’s claim the equaliser.
I could get 5.7 Arctic Feeling and 8.4 Hopes N Dreams on BETDAQ early mouse – so I dutched them – even after four defections because of the ground.
This race remembers John Akehurst – how many wallets have I filled thanks to his father, Reg – and the next (the 3.55) is for Terry Mills, the South London rough diamond who was, in fact, a gentleman and a scholar.
As a Frank Sinatra addict, Terry might have tipped Mister Musicmaster (11.0 this morning), with Cam Hardie taking his weight down to a feasible level and with a soft-ground Sandown win to his name.
Local horse Brocklebank could bounce back. But, though a CD winner on the soft, he has been so badly out of form this season that he’s hard to fancy.
RIPON The track had its big day yesterday with the Ripon Rowels and the Champion Two-Year-Old Trophy, which went to the usual suspects: Richard Fahey and David O’Meara.
But there are three double-figure fields for handicaps today deserving of your attention, and even your wallet, after six consecutive winners were punter-friendly at SPs of 5-1 or less yesterday.
You are most likely to get a result from the City of Ripon Stakes (4.15), since it is class 3 and the horses at that level can usually be relied upon to run to form. But the BETDAQ market, early mouse, has five horses within 0.6 points of each other! What to do?
Well, I’d have to blow out Stormardal, who has been looking distinctly one paced, and Woodacre (hampered) ought to reverse Beverley placings with Sophisticated Heir on better terms, while Truancy is raised in class and weight and his run could come to an end.
That leaves me ‘expecting’ Master Of Finance, a ‘hidden’ horse – ran abroad, stumbled at Goodwood – dropping down a grade today and likely to ‘do a Johnston’ and try to make all.
SEDGEFIELD The top two trainers in the Raving Post ‘hot trainers’ list have something in common at Sedgefield today: Ben Haslam (3-3 100%) and John Ferguson (5-7 71%) both have one runner; both have booked Tony McCoy.
I shall back them stop at a winner, taking Questioning (4.55 at around evens) to 10 points win and, if it loses, following up with Ever So Much (7.00) to 14 points to earn the original 10-point target and cover the loss on Questioning (but I don’t think the second bet will be needed).
McCoy is leading professional jockey at Sedgefield, currently tops the ‘hot jockeys’ list (as if you couldn’t guess) and is the nonpareil punters’ pal.
DAQMAN’S BETS (each to win 20 points, except the special bet)
BET 4.2pts win ARCTIC FEELING and 2.7pts win HOPES N DREAMS (3.25 Epsom)
BET 2pts win and place MISTER MUSICMASTER (3.55 Epsom)
BET 4pts win (nap) MASTER OF FINANCE (4.15 Ripon)
SPECIAL BET 10pts win QUESTIONING (4.55 Sedgefield), if lose 14pts win EVER SO MUCH (7.00 Sedgefield)
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