WE BET FAIR ALL DAY ON BETDAQ: Amazing value, Daqman called it BEFORE he had the evidence of the track bookies take on yesterday’s seven races at Cheltenham. Now he can compare the morning BETDAQ offers with the Total SP, he finds that, even reckoning in the 2% commission, you were better off all day by between 9% and 29%. Here are the overrounds race by race (Betdaq’s as recorded by him in his column yesterday):
BETDAQ %: 101, 102, 103, 100, 102, 101, 105
Total SP %: 120, 113, 132, 119, 123, 132, 129
HE’LL STILL BE TOP OF THE GAME: After places at 11-2, 7-1 and 14-1 on Tuesday, Daqman had second-day near misses at 10-3, 4-1, 8-1 and 9-1, the 9-1 neck defeat of Topofthegame (from BETDAQ 14.0) the most painful. ‘I say more than ever that this is a star of the future,’ says our man, who now stands at:
Five winning naps from seven
Three supernaps out of four
Daqman 25, Pricewise 11
(Daqman +28, Pricewise -34 to single-unit stake)
MAN WHO MAKES THE HEADLINES: Daqman’s the tipster who makes the headlines! And here are this afternoon’s winning lines..
WILLIE FOR A JLT ONE-TWO
GLEN LOW IN THE HANDICAP
SO HERE’S YOUR SUPERNAP
SPINNER TO LAND BIG FISH
TIZZARD DUELLING GUITARS
WILLIE FOR A JLT ONE-TWO
1.30 Cheltenham (JLT Novices’ Chase)
STATS The Irish have won six out of seven since the name change, including the last three for Willie Mullins, all favourite.
FORM Monalee’s second in the RSA yesterday boosts Invitation Only, who was beaten only a length by that one at Leopardstown on the last day.
Terrefort is a ‘wonderful jumper’, according to Nicky Henderson. He’s also game, if his neck defeat of Cyrname at Sandown is any guide.
Benatar beat Finian’s Oscar in winning his second successive three-horse race, Finian’s now festooned with official notices of a wind op, tongue-tie and first-time cheekpieces. That’s not my kind of script for an Oscar.
Second in the Champion Bumper and sixth in the Coral Cup, Modus has been well backed to make it third time lucky at the festival.
VERDICT/BETDAQ VALUE Terrefort is a year young for this on past results and Modus a year too old. But they don’t know that.
What we punters know (or at least we are told) is that Modus and Benatar mightn’t like the ground. Willie Mullins has had five winners and four placed already this week.
But we also know that second strings have been winning (yesterday Bleu Berry, won 20-1, with stablemate Max Dynamite, 8-1, last of 22; and Tiger Roll, won 7-1, with Cause Of Causes, 100-30, pulled up).
So, if we take the BETDAQ 4.2 Invitation Only, we also have to invest in 15.5 Kemboy, described by Willie as ‘having a good chance, jumping very slickly’.
GLEN LOW IN THE HANDICAP
2.10 Cheltenham (Pertemps Hurdle Final)
STATS David Pipe has picked this twice with older horses but six-year-olds (four out of five) seem to have taken over. The last two winners had been third and fourth in the Punchestown qualifier.
FORM Glenloe finished fifth in last year’s Punchestown qualifier when Presenting Percy was fourth before winning this final (and making mincemeat of yesterday’s RSA opposition).
Glenloe is preferred in the Press this morning by Gordon Elliott over stablemate Delta Work, who was third and Sort It Out fourth in the same Punchestown qualifier last month, with Delta Work hampered and unlucky but said to prefer better ground.
Louis Vac Pouch beat Forza Milan at Aintree in November, before that one was second in the Ladbrokes Hurdle at Newbury behind the fifth horse home in yesterday’s Coral Cup.
Forza Milan, therefore, seems ideal for this cavalry charge, with trainer Jonjo O’Neill, having won the Final four times already.
VERDICT/BETDAQ VALUE So let’s try Glenloe (7.0 BETDAQ offers) and Forza Milan (14.5), young horses down the bottom of the handicap with good credentials.
SO HERE’S YOUR SUPERNAP
2.50 Cheltenham (Ryanair Chase)
STATS This has had dynamic winners like Cue Card (2013) and last year Un De Sceaux. Both are back for more!
FORM Cue Card ran a cracker in the Ascot Chase (Frodon well behind) but – aged 12 now – is giving two years and 2lb to Un De Sceaux, according to the official ratings.
And his Cheltenham chasing exploits are chequered (U21FF) alongside those of Un De Sceaux (1211), who has scored 20 times from 26 starts.
Sub Lieutenant was runner-up last year and a more likely threat on recent form from Balko Des Flos (seven-year-olds have won three of the last five) may be spoilt by further rain.
He was second in the Christmas Chase at Leopardstown behind the Gold Cup hope Road To Respect but he’s placed only (three times) without winning since the Galway Plate (a handicap) but the handicapper insists that he’s a 166 – same as Cue Card – and only a couple of pounds off Un De Sceaux.
Cloudy Dream was also second on the last day to a Gold Cup hope (Native River). But his bridesmaid figures put you off (222212222).
Paul Nicholls has come up short at the big meeting so far this week (P00240P) but Frodon loves Cheltenham (2-2 on this New course) and the mud.
VERDICT/BETDAQ VALUE: The crowd will roar for Cue Card, and the ITV giggle squad will set him up to be shot at, as the people’s hero. But form of F2F22 reveals how the poor beast now struggles.
I could get eight for 10 on BETDAQ Un De Sceaux for a supernap, with 10.0 Frodon for a place and a super forecast!
SPINNER TO LAND BIG FISH
3.30 Cheltenham (Stayers Hurdle)
FORM Supasundae would be a Big Buck’s if he took this, with the speed (to beat Faugheen) at 2m and the stamina to win this three-miler (beaten by Yanworth and Apple’s Jade in his two attempts at the trip).
He is locked on 164 with Sam Spinner, who won the traditional Long Walk trial (winners of this were 1211111 in that Ascot race).
Just a pound behind on 163 are Yanworth (like Bacardys has changed course from chasing) and Unowhatmeanharry who, like The New One (first attempt at 3m), is looking long in the tooth, aged 10.
Wholestone is rated 16lb higher than when placed in the Albert Bartlett a year ago and his Cheltenham form is 1211312.
VERDICT/BETDAQ VALUE: Wholestone looked far too big at 21.0 on BETDAQ this morning but Sam Spinner (4.8) has the Long Walk credentials that fast track success in this race.
TIZZARD DUELLING GUITARS
4.10 Cheltenham (Stable Plate) Huge odds win this: 33-1 twice, 50-1 and 66-1 in the decade.
Viconte Du Noyer has had a wind op, stays further and has win at Cheltenham: 34.0 for the revivalist Team Tizzard.
Northern trainers have done well recently. And Nicky Richards has Guitar Pete down the handicap at 20.0 on BETDAQ on ground he loves.
DAQMAN’S TIPS
1.30 Cheltenham (to win 30)
BET 9.25pts win INVITATION ONLY
BET 2pts win and place KEMBOY
2.10 Cheltenham (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET 8.25pts win GLENLOE
BULL’S-EYE BET 4pts win FORZA MILAN
2.50 Cheltenham (1.8 and 10.0 taken)
SUPERNAP: 20pts win UN DE SCEAUX
BET 2pts win and place FRODON
3.30 Cheltenham (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET 2.5pts win and place WHOLESTONE
4.10 Cheltenham (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET 2.5pts win and place GUITAR PETE
BULL’S-EYE BET 1.5pts win and place VICONTE DU NOUYER
Cheltenham Fortune Cookies (10pts win each)
3.30 SAM SPINNER
5.30 BRAQUEUR D’OR
5.30 TINTERN THEATRE
Stick-In-The Mud (10pts win)
4.10 TULLY EAST
DAQ MULTIPLES
BET 5 x 2pt win doubles and 2 x 1pt win trebles UN DE SCEAUX (2.50), with SAM SPINNER and WHOLESTONE (3.30) and LAURINA (4.50)
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