WINCANTON DOUBLE-BANKER BET: It’s slow going waiting for Cheltenham and Daqman keeps his stakes low, barring the hunter-chase at Wincanton, where he rates one worth double the day’s standard banker stake.
15 MEETINGS IN THREE DAYS: Things hot up tomorrow with five meetings a day on Thursday, Friday and Saturday before Daqman starts his countdown to Cheltenham. There’s more news of his festival bets in today’s column.
DON’T FORGET THE CHELTENHAM HILL . .
What will Willie do? With More Of That out of the race, the Ladbrokes World Hurdle has been left wide open, and can expect its biggest field since the first two Big Buck’s wins from 14 starters in each of 2009 and 2010.
Annie Power is odds on for the mares’ race but Willie Mullins must be wondering again about the World, given she was second to More Of That last year and has several verdicts over Zarkandar who is new joint favourite with his stablemate, Saphir Du Rheu (‘not a lot between them,’ says Paul Nicholls).
The alternative view is that Willie has not given up hope that the luckless Briar Hill can come through on the big day at Cheltenham next Thursday.
Briar Hill drifted alarmingly after his defeat in the Galmoy but was about to turn that form round by a stone when he fell at the last in the Boyne Hurdle.
This morning he is significantly back down to 14-1 with Ladbrokes, just about spot on our take from BETDAQ offers (15.0 to win 50).
My NH Chase bet for this column has halved in price. If there’s no lay offered, you can trade with your own offer in the orange! There’s more than one way to skin a cat.
The animal in question, Gordon Elliott’s Cause Of Causes, was last night 22.0 on BETDAQ, taken on this page at 44.0 to win 50 points.
If you fancy Petite Parisienne for the Triumph Hurdle, the 8-1 with most bookmakers is mean alongside orange offers on BETDAQ of 12.5 this morning.
My bet in the race, Pain Du Chocolat (at 39.0 to win 100 points) is down to 18.5 in the BETDAQ list, generally 16-1 with bookmakers.
Next stage in the run-up to Cheltenham is to see the weights for the handicaps. That will coincide with my survey next week, as I reveal stats and facts and more value, on the same day-to-day basis, Tuesday to Friday, as the festival itself.
BIG FELLA A STONE IN FRONT AT WINCANTON
It’s been hard to make waves this week. But I reckon Atlantic Roller (3.10) should get back in the money for me and for Ditcheat, after his fall over CD a month back.
Sun Wild Life, the one Sam Twiston-Davies has to beat, according to the market, had to drop back into novice company to score at Taunton on the last day.
Another Ditcheat morning favourite, Alto Des Mottes (3.40), has Risk A Fine (3.40) to beat, both making their debut in handicap company.
Risk A Fine made a procession of it at Exeter when he broke his maiden, then tried a bridge too far, up in grade and failing to cope with the likes of Qewy, who is as short as 16.0 in the BETDAQ ante-post lists for the Supreme Novice Hurdle on the opening day at Cheltenham.
No shame there, then. Risk A Fine can be forgiven that and, despite the weight concession, Alto Des Mottes, has a tough task to overall him. The ratings have them dead-heating.
I rarely get involved in hunter chases but Big Fella Thanks, who won on the course at this time 13 months ago, is still a stone better horse, despite his age, than anything in the small field for the Dick Woodhouse Trophy (4.40).
Close second in a Grade 3 at Cheltenham last month, so this class-6 is a drop of seven grades, yet he meets his two class-4 market rivals at level weights.
COULD IT BE A TRICK OF THE LIGHT AT 13.0
The beginning of the End. It’s been the beginning of the end for Tony McCoy in February but what a display, with form figures showing only once out of the first four, still standing, in the last week: 4114301441112212.
Mackerye End (3.25) will be his only mount over obstacles at Bangor today, and his protracted battle with Wyck Hill on heavy ground in January suggests he’ll be too much for Saint John Henry, who is unexposed at five, but might have been beaten in class 4 had his rival not made a hash of the last over this CD at the turn of the year.
I was hoping for a better price in the big-field handicap hurdle (4.25) but it’s big field no more, with defections because of the ground.
However, eight runners (hope it stays that way) is a punter’s delight, with three chances of a place in this hurdle. Flying Light has dropped 18lb below the chase form he brought over from Ireland and the trip may suit at this stage in his career: 13.0 on BETDAQ as I write.
DAQMAN’S BETS (1 to 9 stakes show the strength; 10 is a banker)
BET 8pts win ATLANTIC ROLLER (3.10 Wincanton)
BET 8pts win MACKERYE END (3.25 Bangor)
BET 6pts win RISK A FINE (3.40 Wincanton)
BET 1pt win and place FLYING LIGHT (4.25 Bangor)
DOUBLE BANKER: BET 20pts win (nap) BIG FELLA THANKS (4.40 Wincanton)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 1pt win doubles and 2pts win treble ATLANTIC ROLLER (3.10 Wincanton), MACKERYE END (3.25 Bangor) and BIG FELLA THANKS (4.40 Wincanton)
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