THREE BANKERS UP OUT OF FOUR: Daqman scented a favourites day yesterday and livened a low-level week with four odds-on bankers, landing three winners and a second. But he wished he’d been at Wolverhampton where the market leaders all won for a 647-1 accumulator. Today’s stories:
NATIONAL COUP: Daqman is already in a trading position on a 29.0 Grand National bet, now around 10-1.
LINCOLN LAUNCH: There are whispers surrounding the launch of the Flat season on Lincoln Handicap day.
TODAY’S NAP: Today at Southwell, Daqman fancies a stable at the forefront of the Lincoln market. His nap is at Newton Abbot.
NATIONAL BONUS IN THE BAG FOR DAQMAN
Daqman has the layers up the creek again. His latest ante-post coup is the 29.0 BETDAQ offer he took for this column on February 21, the day the horse won his Kempton Park prep race.
Rocky Creek is the name. Aintree is the game. Not quite a Grand National coup yet, you say, even though Rocky Creek is now down to 11.0 and, similarly, 10-1 with bookmakers and bellowed bullishly by champion trainer Paul Nichols on the front of this morning’s Racing Post
But Daqman’s ton-up wager was paid for on the day by a bet on Rocky Creek for that Kempton prep race (some prep! it was a Grade 3) and he can now decide to ‘let it run’ as a free bet or trade some of his ‘overs’.
He’s landed two big Aintree trades in three years. In the 2012 Grand National, Daqman nominated the subsequent 8-1 favourite Seabass (third) at 60.0 on BETDAQ and last year was on Balthazar King (2nd 14-1 from 39.0).
Earlier this month at the Cheltenham Festival, Daqman cashed in on Cause Of Causes, taken at 44.0 ante-post on BETDAQ for the NH Chase (WON 8-1).
TURNER COULD LORD IT OVER FLAT LAUNCH
First winner Welsh or French? The Brocklesby for two-year-olds which launches the Flat at Doncaster on Saturday already has a turf winner among the probables.
French Encore may run for Stan Moore only four days after winning for him at Saint-cloud, and is the first horse I can remember with a turf-win penalty in the Brocklesby.
The strongest whispers are bound to be about for whatever Bill Turner runs; he has won the race four times in the decade, and has chosen Just That Lord from four entries.
But, if there is no French encore, the race may go to a Welsh raider David Evans, who apparently has the Iffraaj colt Raj To Riches (related to a Group-3 sprint winner) working well.
Another to look out for is the Elusive City filly Silk Bow, getting weight from the colts and geldings – that’s most of the field – and with trainer James Given in good form with four winners in the last fortnight.
FIGHTER FANCIED FOR LINCOLN STABLE
3.20 Southwell (Ladbrokes Handicap) Heads up for a class-2 handicap. And all eyes on the trainers with Lincoln Handicap probables.
David O’Meara, who has Mondialiste towards the front of the Saturday big-race betting, saddles the top two in this handicap, with Frontier Fighter visored first time and 7.4 on BETDAQ as I write.
The 2014 winner of this, Frontier Fighter has won four times at Southwell. Six of his seven career wins have come in the first three months of the year, three of them in March.
And today he’s back down to his last winning mark over today’s course and distance, following a foray to Dubai, twice down the field at Meydan.
When he won this last year, Frontier Fighter gave 9lb to the runner-up Noble Citizen (only 2lb today) and was in receipt of a pound from his O’Meara stablemate Dubai Hills (fourth), as he is today.
Patriotic, first ride back for Silvestre De Souza, has never won off so high a mark; Loyalty needs further; Ifwecan is hard to win with (has scored once in two years).
Pearl Nation (4.3 this morning) would also have to win off his highest mark and there’s not much between him and Patriotic on their placings over a mile here in January.
The likely favourite, Two Moons, 211021 at Southwell, made the transition from class 4 to class 3 last here time but now has to climb another grade.
For all his success, the handicapper thinks he’s only a 5lb better horse since this time last year. I shall lay him.
4.40 Newton Abbot It’s ultra-consistent Giveitachance versus quirky-Gerty Black Narcissus, with the rest nowhere in the BETDAQ orange this morning.
Black Narcissus refused to race at Uttoxeter but got it into her head to run on the last day, winning at Exeter a week ago, albeit in a novice event.
Giveitachance is 1113133 in handicaps in the last three years, lightly raced but cleverly placed and almost always up to the task when the ground is good to soft or better. Nap.
7.45 Kempton The outsider of the day may be Speed The Plough, once far superior to these and reappearing under Seb Sanders (one ride here, motoring on from Lingfield).
Speed The Plough, 19.5 this morning on BETDAQ, has been gelded, had a long holiday and been switched to a yard that does well at Kempton.
DAQMAN BETS (1 to 9 for strength; 10 is a banker)
LAY 5pts TWO MOONS, and BET 5pts win PEARL NATION and 3pts win FRONTIER FIGHTER (3.20 Southwell)
BET 8pts win (nap) GIVEITACHANCE (4.40 Newton Abbot)
BET 1pt win and place SPEED THE PLOUGH (7.45 Kempton)
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