Chicago Bears (1-1, 1-1 ATS) @ New York Jets (1-1, 1-1 ATS)

*ATS= against the spread 

BETDAQ Line: New York -2.5 (44.5)

Significant Injuries

Chicago: WR Alshon Jeffery (questionable– hamstring), WR Brandon Marshall (questionable– ankle), DE Trevor Scott (doubtful– foot), C Roberto Garza (out– ankle), LB Shea McClellin (out– hand), CB Sherrick McManis (out– quadricep), DT Jay Ratliff (out– concussion), G Matt Slauson (out– ankle)

New York: WR Eric Decker (questionable– hamstring), CB Dee Milliner (doubtful– ankle)

Recent Trends

Chicago is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Monday night games

Chicago is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these 2 teams

Chicago is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win

New York is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Week 3 games

The OVER is 13-3 in Chicago’s last 16 road games

The UNDER is 4-1 in New York’s last 5 games following a loss

The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these 2 teams

Three reasons to back Chicago

1. The Bears finished 2nd in the league in total offense last season and they’re off to a good start on that side of the ball in 2014. The Jets, meanwhile, surrendered 31 points and nearly 400 total yards to Green Bay last week.

2. The Jets have a terrible, mistake-prone offense that is led by a terrible, mistake-prone quarterback: Geno Smith. To make matters worse for Smith and the passing attack, Eric Decker, the team’s best receiver, is officially listed as questionable for this game with a hamstring injury. Even if Decker plays he’ll likely be limited.

3. In Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery, Chicago has the league’s best tandem of wideouts. That’s especially important in this game because the weakness of the New York defense is the cornerback position, and the team’s top corner, Dee Milliner, is listed as doubtful with an ankle injury. The Jets simply won’t have an answer for the Chicago passing attack.

Three reasons to back New York

1. The Jets have exceeded expectations so far this season, winning in Week 1 and nearly upsetting the Packers in Green Bay last week. The Bears, meanwhile, needed some ridiculous Colin Kaepernick turnovers in the 2nd half of last week’s game to avoid an 0-2 start.

2. The strength of the New York offense is their running game, a three-headed monster that is averaging a league-best 179 yards per game on the ground this season. This week they face a Chicago defense that finished 32nd (a.k.a. dead last) in rushing defense in 2013 and hasn’t shown any signs of improvement, as they’re currently ranked 31st against the run after allowing 320 combined rushing yards over the last two weeks.

3. The Bears have been very one-dimensional on offense this season (averaging just 66 rushing yards per game) and the offense as a whole has underperformed, producing fewer that 330 total yards per game. It’s going to be tough sledding for them against the Jets, who enter this week ranked 3rd in total defense.

Prediction


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