PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives for racing on Friday – the final day of the Cheltenham Festival.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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Cheltenham 1-30: Barry Geraghty has a nice 20% strike rate with his rides over hurdles at Cheltenham, Apples Shakira is 2.44.
Cheltenham 2-10: Nick Williams has had more than double his expected winners over hurdles at Cheltenham, he saddles Flying Tiger at 13.5.
Cheltenham 2-50: Nico de Boinville has rode more than double his expected winners over hurdles at Cheltenham, Santini is 4.7.
Cheltenham 3-30: Nico de Boinville also has a healthy 20% strike rate over fences at Cheltenham, he rides Might Bite at 5.2.
Cheltenham 4-50: Nicky Henderson and JC Bowen have had close to double their expected winners together, Diese Des Bieffes is 10.0.
Musselburgh 11-30: Sandy Thomson has had more than double his expected winners over hurdles at Musselburgh, he saddles Nendrum at 3.35.
Musselburgh 1-10: Donald McCain and Brian Hughes have an impressive 29% strike rate together, they have Nefyn Bay at 3.15.
Fakenham 3-55: Lucy Wadham has a healthy 23% strike rate with her runners over hurdles at Fakenham, Potters Midnight is 9.4.
Fakenham 5-10: Ali Stronge and Adam Wedge have had double their expected winners together, Heresmynumber is 3.65.
Lingfield 1-40: Tom Dascombe has an impressive long-term strike rate of 21% at Lingfield, he saddles Fire Diamond at 11.5.
Lingfield 3-00: James Doyle has an excellent long-term strike rate of 24% with his rides at Lingfield, Amazing Red is 11.0.
Wolverhampton 6-45: Jim Goldie and PJ McDonald have had more than double their expected winners together, Fintry Flyer is 10.5.
Wolverhampton 7-45: Lewis Edmunds has a healthy 23% strike rate with his rides at Wolverhampton, Rock On Baileys is 5.0.
Dundalk 8-00: Mick Halford and Pat Smullen have a nice 23% strike rate together, they have Rummaging at 8.0.
Cheltenham 3-30: Noel Meade is not far away from only having half of his expected winners over fences at Cheltenham, he saddles Road To Respect at 13.0.
Cheltenham 4-10: Declan Queally and DL Queally have had less than half of their expected winners together, Minella For Value is 38.0.
Cheltenham 5-30: Jamie Moore is very close to only having one third of his expected winners over fences at Cheltenham, he rides Gino Trail at 28.0.
Musselburgh 11-30: Susan Corbett is very close to only having one third of her expected winners over hurdles at Musselburgh, she saddles Morning With Ivan at 6.0.
Musselburgh 1-50: Chris Grant has only had half of his expected winners over hurdles at Musselburgh, he saddles Blunder Buss at 6.4.
Fakenham 2-00: Johnny Farrelly is very close to only having half of his expected winners over hurdles at Fakenham, he saddles Ascendant at 1.76.
Fakenham 2-40: Aidan Coleman has only had half of his expected winners over fences at Fakenham, his mount After Aspen is 2.78.
Fakenham 5-10: James Evans is very close to only having half of his expected winners over fences at Fakenham, he saddles Alpha Indi at 3.6.
Lingfield 1-00: Rhiain Ingram is very close to only having half of his expected winners at Lingfield, he rides Secret Return at 6.4.
Lingfield 2-20: PJ McDonald has had less than half of his expected winners from his rides at Lingfield, his mount Dalileo is 4.1.
Wolverhampton 5-45: Danny Brock has had less than half of his expected winners at Wolverhampton, he rides Cat Royale at 11.5.
Wolverhampton 6-15: Nathan Evans is very close to only having half of his expected winners at Wolverhampton, his mount Shanghai Elastic is 6.4.
Dundalk 5-20: Gerard O’Leary is quite close to only having half of his expected winners at Dundalk, he saddles Cherry Kool at 16.5.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: MIGHT BITE 3-30 Cheltenham, at around 5.2.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: AFTER ASPEN 2-40 Fakenham, at around 2.78.
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