PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives today from Scottish National day at Ayr, Chelmsford, Nottingham, Thirsk, Bangor and Wolverhampton.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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Ayr 1-50: Derek Fox has had double his expected winners over fences at Ayr, he rides Kilbree Chief, currently 8.6, in the first on Scottish Grand National day.
Ayr 3-00: Its another big day for Paul Nicholls in the Trainers Championship trying to catch Willie Mullins. Mullins has the first and second favourite in this race, however Nicholls has a 33% strike rate over hurdles at Ayr, he saddles two – Connetable and Some Plan, both trading 27.0.
Ayr 4-10: Malcolm Jefferson and Jamie Hamilton have won 5 out of 10 when they’ve teamed up, Sun Cloud is 75.0 for the Scottish Grand National.
Willie Mullins sends over Measureofmydreams (13.5) and his strike rate when teaming up with Bryan Cooper is an impressive 37%.
Chelmsford 1-35: John Gosden and Paul Hanagan have a 30% strike rate together when they team up, with well over their expected winners, Taqdeer is 2.08.
Chelmsford 2-10: Ryan Moore has a 50% strike rate from his rides at Chelmsford thus far, he rides Dartmouth, currently 4.2, in the first of the Group races.
Chelmsford 5-00: Hughie Morrison has an impressive 46% with his runners here, he saddles Sarsted in the last, currently 6.2 on BETDAQ.
Nottingham 7-55: Jim Crowley has a 26% strike rate at Nottingham, he rides Baron Bolt at 2.8 in the last.
Thirsk 5-45: Sam James has had double his expected winners at Thirsk, he rides Saltarello who can possible outrun odds of 23.0.
Bangor 3-55: Venetia Williams and Liam Treadwell have a 30% strike rate over fences at Bangor together, Howards Legacy is 8.6. Venetia Williams also has a 27% strike rate at the course.
Bangor 5-05: Caroline Bailey and Adam Pogson have a 27% strike rate when they team up with over double their expected winners, Global Dream is 2.76.
Wolverhampton 9-10: Michael Easterby and Graham Gibbons have a 31% strike rate at Wolverhampton when they team up with over double their expected winner, Qaffaal is 13.0 for the lucky last.
Ayr 4-10: Henry Brooke’s strike rate over fences at Ayr is under 6%, and he should have had nearly three times the amount of winners he has had, Highland Lodge is 18.0.
Ayr 4-45 and 5-20: David Pipe and David Noonan’s strike rate is over 8% and below their expected winners, they team up twice today – Mango Cap is 32.0 and Impulsive American is 10.5.
Chelmsford 1-35: Sir Michael Stoute and Frankie Dettori are 0 from 21 when they team up together, El Hayem is 21.0.
Chelmsford 2-40: A small sample, however Karl Burke is only 1 from 24 runners here, disappointing given his expected was 3, Katies Diamond is 8.8.
Nottingham 4-50: Scott Dixon is 0 from 41 at Nottingham, Sir Geoffrey is 5.7 for the first at Nottingham today.
Nottingham 5-55 and 6-55: Robert Havlin has only had 2 winners from 63 rides at Nottingham, disappointing given his expected was over 8. Coroberee is 14.0 and Clon Rocket is 7.2.
Thirsk 2-55: Tracy Waggott and Connor Beasley are only 1 from 43 when they have teamed up, Mighty Bond is 13.5.
Thirsk 4-05 and 4-40: Mark Johnston and Joe Fanning have only managed 1 winner from 20 tries here, you’d expected better from a good partnership like that, Ravenhoe is 8.2 and Master Of Finance is 14.5.
Thirsk 5-45: Ron Barr is 0 from 37 thus far at Thirsk, he saddles the favourite in the last, Mitchum at 5.4.
Wolverhampton 6-40: Brian Baugh is 0 from 52 at Wolverhampton thus far, he saddles Davids Beauty at 7.6.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: MEASUREOFMYDREAMS 4-10 Ayr, at around 13.5.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: DAVIDS BEAUTY 6-40 Wolverhampton to place, at around 2.4.
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