PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our ProForm stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives today at Haydock, Newton Abbot, Carlisle, Kempton and Cork.
Positives:
Haydock 2-00: Daryl Jacob has won on 7 of his 20 rides over fences at Haydock, he rides Ballybolley at 8.0.
Newton Abbot 5-25: Charlie Longsdon and Richard Johnson have a 27% strike rate together from a sample of over 130, they team up with Western Miller, currently 4.8.
Kempton 2-50: Stuart Williams and Oisin Murphy have a 30%+ strike rate together, Pactolus is 11.0.
Kempton 4-00: Ralph Beckett has a strike rate of 20% at Kempton from a sample of over 300, with over 10 winners more than his expected.
He saddles two in the 4-00, Cape Banjo at 2.6 and Justice Grace at 10.0.
Kempton 4-35: Of the 15 times Ian Williams has jocked up Adam Kirby, they’ve won 8! Midtech Star is 4.7. Ian Williams is in great form too, with 3 above his expected winners in the last 14 days.
Carlisle 2-55: Megan Carberry has won on 5 of the 11 times she’s teamed up with Brian Ellison, Our Kylie is 8.6.
Carlisle 4-05: Nicky Richards and Brian Harding have a 45% strike rate together at Carlisle, winning on 10 of the 22 times they’ve teamed up – Takingrisks is 8.4. Nicky Richards also has a 33% S/R here.
Negatives:
Haydock 1-25: Tim Easterby and James Reveley strike rate together is only 7%, Attention Seaker is 16.5.
Haydock 2-00: James Reveley has yet to have a winner over fences at Haydock from 23 rides, when 3+ winners were expected, Special Catch is 10.5.
Newton Abbot 2-05: Ian Popham is 0 from 52 over hurdles at Newton Abbot, he rides Vanishing at 11.0.
Kempton 2-50: Timmy Murphy has only won once from 50 rides at Kempton, Cayirli is 20.0. Franny Norton also has a poor record at Kempton, with a S/R of just below 7% and 5 less than the expected winners, Dutch Uncle is 7.2.
Kempton 3-25: David Barron and Graham Gibbons are 0 from 12 together, a small sample however the expected winners of those was 2+, Steelriver is 4.7. David Barron is also 0 from 21 at Kempton, when the expected was 3+.
Carlisle 2-20: Tony Kelly is 0 from 25 over fences at Carlisle, Mo Rouge is 6.8.
Cork 3-35: Colm O’Donoghue is 0 from 39 rides at Cork, Camile is 5.5.
PROFORM BETS
Betdaq BACK of the day on stats: Midtech Star 4-35 Kempton, at around 4.7.
Betdaq LAY of the day on stats: Steelriver 3-25 Kempton, at around 4.7.
£25 IN FREE BETS
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