PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: The Striker looks ahead to Saturday’s Premier League games all matches previewed with FACTMAN stats and recommended BETDAQ bets.
EVERTON V ARSENAL
12.30pm We have a blockbuster Saturday on BETDAQ Betting Exchange as the Premier League is back in full swing after the break for the FA Cup. We have a huge amount of talking points ahead of a great day of action, and we start with an interesting game too as Everton host Arsenal. After struggling for so long, Frank Lampard and Everton finally parted company and the club have moved quickly to put Sean Dyche in place. It will be very interesting to see how he gets on, and he couldn’t have a more difficult start as they welcome league leaders Arsenal. In the FA Cup last weekend, Arsenal suffered their first loss for a while as they went down 1-0 away to Manchester City. They would definitely rather that happen in the FA Cup, and they still have a nice five point advantage at the top of the table. It’s important that they keep that, as they meet Manchester City in two weeks which is clearly going to be a very exciting game! We might see an improved performance from Everton here as they start life with a new manager – that classic “new manager bounce” and I wouldn’t exactly be rushing to back Arsenal at 1.45 here. Everton were very poor under Lampard – you could clearly see he didn’t improve them looking at their xG figures.
I would expect Dyche to focus on the issues at the back, and try to make Everton as solid as possible. He had success doing this at Burnley, and kept them up for a number of years without much money to spend. Everton are clearly under immense pressure as they sit second bottom, and now they are two points away from Bournemouth and Wolves too. They are conceding an average xG of 1.9 per game this season and only creating 1.2. From that 1.2, they aren’t even taking those chances – their actual average is 0.8 goals per game. Poor at both ends of the pitch, but their defence really looks Championship level. Arsenal have been so good this season it’s hard to see them not winning here; they have been creating a lot and you’d have to expect Everton to make mistakes at the back too. I do expect a little “new manager bounce” though and I also expect Dyche to set Everton up very negatively. I feel Arsenal will grind out a 1-0 or 2-0 win, and Under 2.5 goals looks a nice option at 2.1. Both Teams Not To Score is also of interest at 1.78, but I prefer the Unders.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 2.1 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/EveArs
FACTMAN MATCH STATS
● Everton have won three of their last four Premier League games against Arsenal (L1), as many as they had in their previous 26 against them (D7 L16).
● Arsenal have won 99 of their 202 league games against Everton (D43 L60) and could become the first team in English league history to register 100 wins against a specific opponent.
● Everton have won their last two home league games against Arsenal, last winning three in a row against the Gunners at Goodison Park between March 1977 and August 1978.
● Arsenal have scored at least five goals on five separate occasions in Premier League games against Everton, including a 5-1 victory in their last meeting – no side has scored 5+ goals against another in the competition more often.
● Everton have won just three of their 44 Premier League games against sides starting the day top of the table (D9 L32) – 2-1 against Arsenal in October 2002, 1-0 against Chelsea in February 2010 and 1-0 against Manchester City in April 2012.
● Everton are winless in eight Premier League games (D2 L6), last having a longer run without a win between August and October 1994 (12). They’ve lost each of their last four home league games – only once before have they ever suffered more consecutive defeats on home soil (7 between April-September 1958).
● Arsenal’s last three Premier League away games have seen them win 2-0 (vs Wolves), 4-2 (vs Brighton) and 2-0 (vs Tottenham). The Gunners haven’t won four consecutive away league games by at least two goals since October 1953.
● Only Newcastle (3) have conceded the first goal in fewer Premier League games than Arsenal this season (4). On each of the four occasions the Gunners have conceded first, it’s taken them on average just 17 minutes to find an equaliser.
● New Everton manager Sean Dyche has only lost more Premier League games against Man City (11) than he has against Arsenal (10). However, after losing each of his first nine league games against the Gunners, he’s lost just one of his last five against them (W1 D3).
● Martin Ødegaard has scored more Premier League away goals than any other Arsenal player this season (6). He’s netted in each of his last three on the road, with Olivier Giroud the last Gunners player to score in four in a row (September-November 2015).
ASTON VILLA V LEICESTER
3pm We have a very busy afternoon in the Premier League with five games kicking off at 3pm! We start with Aston Villa hosting Leicester, and we have two sides heading in the opposite direction at the moment. Aston Villa have shot up the table since Unai Emery took over, and they’ve put together back-to-back wins over Leeds and Southampton since getting shocked in the FA Cup by Stevenage. Leicester managed a win in the FA Cup at the weekend, but they have yet to record a win in the Premier League since re-starting their season after the World Cup. They did break a run of four losses with a 2-2 draw at home to Brighton before the FA Cup weekend, but they finished the game conceding a higher xG figure than they created. You have to feel that the World Cup came at a bad time for Leicester because they had just started putting a few wins and good performances together, but at the same time they are now in big trouble if they don’t start playing better football. They are your classic case of “too good to go down” but you cannot say that they aren’t in danger. They have been absolutely all over the place at times this season.
Villa were lucky to pick up a win over Leeds, but they have clearly been playing better football than Leicester. I’m not a huge fan of Aston Villa in general – indeed a lot of times under Gerrard we took on Villa because they offered a lot of value in the market – most times they were too short compared to their performance level. However, you have to respect things when they change, and under Emery they have been playing much better. I’m not going to go mad with stakes here, but I’d have Villa odds on to beat this average Leicester side and the 2.04 is too big to turn down. Leicester have conceded so many sloppy goals this season, I can see Villa getting plenty of chances here.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Aston Villa to beat Leicester at 2.04 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/AstLei
FACTMAN MATCH STATS
● Aston Villa have won two of their last four Premier League games against Leicester (50%), having won just 18% of their first 22 against them in the competition (W4 D9 L9).
● Leicester have won two of their last three Premier League away games against Aston Villa, as many as in their first 10 visits to Villa Park in the competition. However, they did lose this exact fixture 2-1 last season.
● Both teams have scored in 12 of the 13 Premier League meetings between Aston Villa and Leicester at Villa Park, with the exception being a 2-0 win for the Foxes in December 2001. Only Middlesbrough (15 vs Man Utd) and Fulham (14 vs Man City) have played more home games without ever keeping a clean sheet in the Premier League than Villa’s 13 against Leicester.
● Aston Villa have won five of their seven Premier League games under Unai Emery (D1 L1), as many wins as they had in their previous 24 matches in the competition (D6 L13). However, both games they’ve failed to win so far under the Spaniard have come at home (1-3 vs Liverpool, 1-1 vs Wolves).
● Since the Premier League restarted after the World Cup break, no team has lost more games (4) or won fewer points (1) than Leicester City, while only Everton (11) have conceded more goals than the Foxes (10). Leicester had won four of their five games before the World Cup (L1), keeping a clean sheet in each victory.
● Aston Villa have had 11 direct attacks in seven games under Unai Emery, scoring two goals from such situations. It’s one more than they had in their first 13 Premier League games this season (10 direct attacks, 1 goal).
● Leicester City’s away Premier League games this season have averaged a joint-league-high four goals per game, with the Foxes scoring 17 and conceding 23 in 10 games on the road this term. They’ve kept three clean sheets in these 10 games (conceding at least twice in the other seven), while they’ve only failed to score once away from home so far.
● Leicester’s Harvey Barnes has been directly involved in five goals in his four Premier League starts against Aston Villa (4 goals, 1 assist), while only against Leeds (5) has he scored more goals in the competition than his four against the Villans.
● Since his debut for the club in September 2020, Ollie Watkins has been involved in more than twice as many Premier League goals as any other Aston Villa player (40 – 29 goals, 11 assists). However, he’s never scored or assisted in four games against Leicester, only facing Chelsea more often without registering a single goal involvement (5 games).
● Douglas Luiz has the joint-most assists (4) and most chances created (23) of any Aston Villa player in the Premier League this season. He’s been involved in four goals in his last six league games (1 goal, 3 assists), as many as he had in his previous 37 appearances.
BRENTFORD V SOUTHAMPTON
3pm It’s an interesting market here as Brentford host Southampton. I’m sure Brentford will be a very popular bet at 1.93. I have to say I expected to see them trading much shorter when I clicked into the market. Southampton crashed out of the Carabao Cup midweek against Newcastle, but they are still going strong in the FA Cup as they recorded a 2-1 win over Blackpool at the weekend. I said this in my preview of the Newcastle game midweek, but one wonders whether they would have preferred the wins over Crystal Palace and Manchester City come in the Premier League rather than Cup football given where they are in the Premier League! Although the Saints are sitting bottom of the table, they are well in the mix – they are only two points off Bournemouth and Wolves so a win and other results going their way gets them out of the bottom three. The relegation race is actually going to be very exciting this season! Brentford are flying high, starting this matchday sitting in eighth and in general they have been much better at home over the last two seasons.
Brentford’s home form is mainly why I expected them to be trading shorter than they currently are. On the home form table, they sit in sixth and then last season they were desperately unlucky with their results here – some of their xG figures last season were highly impressive but they didn’t get the results! Ironically, Southampton have collected more points away from home this season, they have only managed six at home this season so far! I know Brentford are known at this stage for not taking their chances, but I feel they offer a huge amount of value at 1.93 here – Southampton have been poor this season and while I wouldn’t be as confident if Brentford were away because they seem so settled in their performances at home, I do feel the 1.93 is worth a Max Bet given the set-up of this game and the teams.
The Striker Says:
Five points win Brentford to beat Southampton at 1.93 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BreSth
FACTMAN MATCH STATS
● Following their 3-0 win against them in May, Brentford are looking to secure back-to-back league wins against Southampton for the first time since March 1959.
● Southampton have won two of their last three league games against Brentford (L1), as many as they had in their previous 13 against them between 1955 and 2010 (D6 L5).
● The home side won both Premier League meetings between Southampton and Brentford last season, with Saints winning 4-1 at St. Mary’s in January, before the Bees’ 3-0 win in May.
● Brentford are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League games (W4 D4) – only once as a top-flight club have they had a longer run without defeat, going 14 games between March and September 1936.
● Southampton have won a higher share of their Premier League points in away games than any other side this season (60% – 9/15). Indeed, three of Saints’ four victories this season have come on the road, while they’re looking to pick up back-to-back away league wins for the first time since June 2020.
● Brentford have the highest shot conversion rate of any Premier League side this season (15.84%). Indeed, the Bees are the joint-seventh highest goalscorers in the top-flight this term (32) despite only Bournemouth (167) and Everton (198) having fewer attempts than them (202).
● No side has scored more Premier League goals following a high turnover than Brentford this season (5), while only Everton (36) have faced more shots from these situations than Southampton (31).
● Southampton manager Nathan Jones has taken just one point from his four previous league games against Brentford across spells with Luton and Stoke, with his sides netting just one goal. The Welshman has also lost seven of his last eight league games in London, with the exception being a 2-0 win at Millwall in October last season.
● Brentford striker Ivan Toney has had 30 successful flick-ons in the Premier League this season, almost twice as many as any other player. David Raya has played 99 passes to Toney this term, the most any goalkeeper has found an attacking teammate in the competition.
● Southampton’s Mohamed Elyounoussi has had the most shots (28), joint-most shots on target (8) and highest expected goals figure (2.6) of all Premier League players yet to score so far this season.
BRIGHTON V BOURNEMOUTH
3pm We have the shortest price of the Premier League this weekend as Brighton host Bournemouth! It’s not a usual tag for Brighton to have really – but Liverpool and Manchester City are away this weekend. Brighton are having a fantastic season, and they’re in the mix for a spot in Europe at the moment too. They recorded their second win over Liverpool here recently at the weekend over Liverpool in the FA Cup, and in general they have just been very impressive all season. Their short price isn’t just because of Brighton’s great form, it’s also because Bournemouth have been so poor. It’s hard to see past a home win here as Bournemouth slip further down the table, and I feel it’s a case of how many goals can Brighton score rather than will they win. Bournemouth have only managed five points away from home all season, and they have yet to win since re-starting their season after the World Cup. You could say they’ve had a difficult fixture list having had to play Chelsea and Manchester United in that run, but they were outplayed by Crystal Palace and Brentford – and Nottingham Forest would have been disappointed to only draw 1-1!
Bournemouth are really struggling at the moment, and it’s easy to understand why they are so short to get relegated. Their squad just doesn’t look up to Premier League level. The positive for Bournemouth is that the relegation battle looks very open at the moment, one or two wins could really change things for any sides. However, when you look at the Bournemouth xG figures it’s easy to understand why they are so fancied to go down. They are conceding an average xG of 1.8 and only creating 0.9. When you have Bournemouth conceding so many goals, and Brighton creating an average xG of 1.8 per game I think we’ll see plenty of goals here. I’m actually going to take a chance here and go with a nice price – Any Other Home Win is trading 5.3 which is Brighton to score four or more goals and win in the Correct Score market. Those odds are definitely worth a small investment – we could see Brighton run riot.
The Striker Says:
One point win Any Other Home Win Correct Score at 5.3 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BriBou
FACTMAN MATCH STATS
● Brighton won their last home league game against Bournemouth (2-0 in December 2019), ending a five-game winless run against the Cherries at home (D3 L2). They last won consecutive such games against them in February 2004 (a run of three).
● Bournemouth have lost just one of their last 12 league games against Brighton (W7 D4), going down 2-0 away from home in December 2019.
● Brighton have won nine of their 19 Premier League games this season – only in 2021-22 (12) have they ever won more in a single campaign in the competition, and they didn’t reach their 10th victory until their 35th game in that season.
● Since the Premier League restarted after the World Cup break, Bournemouth have scored the fewest goals (1), won the joint-fewest points (1) and lost the joint-highest number of games (4). Meanwhile, only Everton (11) have conceded more than the Cherries in this time (10).
● Brighton have scored 37 Premier League goals this season, around seven more than their expected goals tally would suggest (29.8). Only Manchester City (10.9) and Tottenham (9.1) are overperforming their xG more than the Seagulls this season.
● Brighton have scored 26 goals in 13 Premier League games under Roberto De Zerbi, with only the top two sides Arsenal (28) and Manchester City (30) netting more than the Seagulls since his first game in charge.
● Both Bournemouth and Brighton have faced a league-high six penalties each this season, while the Cherries are one of just two sides yet to be awarded one this term (along with Liverpool). As it stands, Bournemouth’s six penalties faced is the joint-most without also being awarded one in a single Premier League campaign (also Charlton Athletic in 2004-05).
● 30% of Brighton’s Kaoru Mitoma’s attempted take-ons in the Premier League this season have been in the opposition’s box (12/40), the highest share of any player with at least 30 attempted. The Japanese winger is averaging 1.5 take-ons in the opposition box per 90 minutes, the highest ratio of any player this season (min. 500 minutes).
● Brighton’s Evan Ferguson has three goals and two assists in just 198 minutes of Premier League football this season, with his average of a goal involvement every 40 minutes the best in the division this term (min. 90 minutes).
● 13 of Bournemouth striker Kieffer Moore’s 16 shots (excluding blocked efforts) in the Premier League this season have been headed (81%), the highest share of any player with at least 15 attempts this term.
MANCHESTER UNITED V CRYSTAL PALACE
3pm All eyes turn to Manchester United next as they host Crystal Palace. It’s been a busy week for United – they had their second leg of the Carabao Cup Semi-Final against Nottingham Forest and they needed to sign a replacement for the injured Christian Eriksen before the deadline closed. I think they did a good job getting Marcel Sabitzer on loan from Bayern Munich until the end of the season. I can see him being a big success under ten Hag, possibly the only negative is the fact the loan deal didn’t give the option to buy – maybe we might see United put in a bid during the summer if he’s a hit. His style of play would suggest he’s perfect for the ten Hag system, but let’s wait and see. Despite dropping points in the Premier League recently, United are in a good place at the moment. They were unlucky away to Crystal Palace – they finished the game with an xG figure over three times what they conceded and it was just a wonderful freekick from Palace in injury time. They won at the weekend too over Reading in the FA Cup, and they won’t be unhappy with their draw in the next round. I know plenty of jokes were made about the United “title challenge” after the Palace game, but realistically a Top Four spot would be a great success in ten Hag’s first season and something to build on.
It’s hard to see past a United win here given they were much the better side when Palace had home advantage a few weeks ago. Even though I expect a home win, it’s hard to make the case that United should be shorter than 1.43. Betting is all about getting value, and I feel there isn’t much value in their price here. It’s not like you could price them at 1.3 – I know they have improved this season but they aren’t like the old United yet! United’s average xG created is creeping up as the season goes on, but I’d expect Palace to sit back here and aim for a draw. They picked up a 0-0 draw doing that against Newcastle, conceding an xG of 1.78 while only creating 0.34 but those same tactics worked in the 1-1 draw with United as well. I can see United having to grind out a win here, and Under 2.5 goals at 2.07 catches the eye as does Both Teams Not To Score at 1.8. I feel Palace will be very negative here and won’t create much, with United getting more solid at the back Both Teams Not To Score is my best bet.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Both Teams Not To Score at 1.8 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/MunCry
FACTMAN MATCH STATS
● Manchester United have won just one of their last five Premier League games against Crystal Palace (D2 L2), and are winless in their last two. They’ve not gone three top-flight games without a win against the Eagles since October 1970.
● Crystal Palace have taken seven points from their last four away league games against Manchester United (W2 D1 L1), just one fewer than they had from their first 21 visits to Old Trafford (W2 D2 L17, assuming 3 pts/win). However, they did lose this exact fixture 1-0 last season.
● Manchester United have won their last five Premier League home games, last having a longer run at Old Trafford between May and December 2017 (8).
● Crystal Palace have won just one of their last seven Premier League games (D2 L4), with that win coming at Bournemouth on New Year’s Eve. This is their third consecutive Premier League game against the team in fourth place, following draws with Manchester United (1-1) and Newcastle (0-0) last month.
● Following Michael Olise’s free-kick for Crystal Palace to make it 1-1, and Eddie Nketiah’s strike for Arsenal to make it 3-2, Manchester United have conceded result-altering goals in the 90th minute of consecutive Premier League matches for the first time.
● Manchester United have dropped points having led in their last two Premier League games, having not done so in any of their previous 32 matches. Only once have Manchester United failed to win three consecutive Premier League matches despite leading each time, doing so in December 1998 (draws with Aston Villa, Tottenham and Chelsea).
● Man Utd’s Marcus Rashford has been involved in six goals in his six Premier League appearances since the resumption of the competition following the World Cup (5 goals, 1 assist) – only Erling Haaland (7) has been involved in more in that time.
● Only Kevin De Bruyne (11) has more Premier League assists than Man Utd’s Christian Eriksen this season (7). Eriksen has been involved in seven goals in his last nine league appearances against Crystal Palace (2 goals, 5 assists), while only against Stoke (8) and Southampton (6) does he have more Premier League assists than against the Eagles (5).
● Michael Olise scored Crystal Palace’s equaliser in their 1-1 draw with Manchester United last month – the only Eagles player to score home and away league goals against the Red Devils in the same top-flight campaign was Bobby Tambling in 1970-71.
● No Premier League players have had more successful take-ons this season than Crystal Palace duo Wilfried Zaha and Eberechi Eze (32 each), though Zaha’s have come from 97 attempted (33% success rate) compared to 64 for Eze (50% success).
WOLVES V LIVERPOOL
3pm We finish the 3pm fixtures with a familiar fixture recently as Wolves host Liverpool. These two played twice in the Third Round of the FA Cup after Wolves picked up a 2-2 draw at Anfield – Liverpool then won the replay 1-0, before crashing out of the FA Cup with a 2-1 loss at the weekend against Brighton. Wolves lost their last game 3-0 to Manchester City before the FA Cup break, but you can forgive any side that loss and I feel Wolves will be reasonably happy with their performances since re-starting their season. They picked up wins over West Ham and Everton, and managed a draw away to Aston Villa. They started the matchday just outside the bottom three, but they are still in big danger because they have the same amount of points as Bournemouth in the bottom three. Despite Liverpool coming into the game as the odds on favourites, Wolves will fancy their chances given how they got on in the FA Cup recently and also how poor Liverpool have been at the back. It’s a sign of the times that Liverpool are trading as big as 1.95 here – it would take a brave punter to back them at the moment given all their issues at the back. They are just conceding far too many sloppy goals.
We do have a very interesting market here though. The big question is – can you take the 1.95 on Liverpool even allowing for how poor they are at the back? I have to say, I am tempted this weekend. By and large, we have stayed out of the match odds market in Liverpool games recently and opted to play in the goal markets. It seems a no brainer to back Overs in Liverpool games given how open they have been, but I feel the market has pushed Liverpool too far out here. I fully accept the fact that they are conceding a whopping average xG of 1.7 per game this season which is huge for a club like Liverpool but they continue to be excellent going forward – their average xG created is 2.2. The reason why I want to back Liverpool here is I wonder are Wolves good enough to take advantage of them at the back. Wolves average xG created this season is 1.1, and they aren’t even taking those chances. The actual figure works out at 0.6 per game. I’m going to keep stakes in check, but the 1.95 just feels good value here and worth getting involved in.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Liverpool to beat Wolves at 1.95 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/WolLiv
FACTMAN MATCH STATS
● After winning three home league games in a row against Liverpool between February 1980 and August 1981, Wolves are winless in their last nine against the Reds at Molineux, with three draws being followed by six straight defeats.
● Liverpool have won each of their last 11 Premier League games against Wolves – in their league history, they’ve only won more consecutively against West Bromwich Albion (12 between 1985 and 2010).
● Liverpool’s last three away games against Wolves in all competitions have ended in 1-0 victories, including an FA Cup match last month. They’ve never won twice against Wolves at Molineux in the same season, with Manchester City in 2011-12 the last side to do so.
● Despite losing to Manchester City last time out, Wolves have taken as many points in five Premier League games under Julen Lopetegui as they had in the 10 games before his arrival (7). Wolves are looking to win consecutive league games at Molineux for the first time since a run of three in November 2021.
● Liverpool have lost five of their nine away Premier League games this season (W2 D2), as many as they had across the previous two campaigns combined (W23 D10 L5). They’ve lost 3-1 at Brentford and 3-0 at Brighton in their last two away league games, last losing more consecutively on the road in April 2012 (4).
● Liverpool have failed to score in their last two Premier League games, as many as in their previous 36 matches in the competition. They’ve not gone three games without a goal since December/January in 2020-21 (a run of four).
● Despite having 28 shots following a high turnover in the Premier League this season (the joint-sixth highest number), Wolves are one of two teams yet to score from such a situation, along with Nottingham Forest.
● Just four of Wolves’ 12 Premier League goals this season have come in the second half of games, both a league-low total and percentage (33%).
● Only Kevin De Bruyne (33) has had more shots from outside the box than Wolves’ Rúben Neves (30) in the Premier League this season, with two of the Portuguese’s four goals this term coming from distance. However, Liverpool are the only side yet to concede a goal from outside the box so far.
● Mohamed Salah could make his 200th Premier League appearance for Liverpool in this match, becoming the 17th different player to reach this milestone for the Reds. He’s scored 125 goals in his 199 games so far, just three behind Robbie Fowler’s club record of 128 in the competition.
NEWCASTLE V WEST HAM
5.30pm We finish a cracking day with Newcastle hosting West Ham. Newcastle are having a wonderful season, and they got into the Carabao Cup Final with another win over Southampton midweek. West Ham have managed to put back-to-back wins together in the Premier League and FA Cup, but you have to worry about them coming into this game. They’ve really struggled away from home – they’ve only managed five points from their ten away games in the Premier League this season. Clearly they have issues this season, and their form has dropped off dramatically after being in the mix for the European spots over the last two season. Now it’s Newcastle’s turn to be in the mix for the European spots, and with Liverpool and Chelsea sitting in mid-table Newcastle could actually pull off a Top Four finish! Newcastle dropped points in their last Premier League game with a 0-0 away to Crystal Palace, but once again they bossed the game and created a good xG figure. They finished with an xG of 1.78 and only conceded 0.34. Their figures have been very impressive this season – they are creating an average xG of 2.0 while only conceding 1.1. Those are the stats you usually see from a Top Four side!
When you look at the xG figures from West Ham, I don’t think they are playing that bad. They certainly won’t be involved in the relegation battle despite starting the weekend only one point off the bottom three. They just aren’t firing – it’s nothing to push the panic button about yet, but the system just isn’t working for them. They are struggling to score goals, but they aren’t conceding goals for fun or have any major worries. I just feel it’s hard to see past a Newcastle win here, and the 1.69 offers a little value too. It’s nothing to go mad about, but West Ham are a side to take on away from home and Newcastle have been creating so many chances at home they should get the job done. I don’t fancy anything in the goals market because it’s been hard to know what to expect from West Ham, but Newcastle’s level at home has been excellent and I don’t see the Hammers being able to deal with that here.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Newcastle to beat West Ham at 1.69 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/NewWes
FACTMAN MATCH STATS
● Since losing 3-0 and 2-0 against West Ham in the 2018-19 season, Newcastle have scored in each of their last six Premier League meetings with the Hammers, losing just once (W3 D2).
● West Ham won this exact fixture 4-2 last season, last winning consecutive away league games against Newcastle in October 1998. They’ve scored 11 goals in their last four league visits to the Magpies, as many as they had in their previous 14 at St. James’ Park.
● Three of Newcastle’s last four Premier League games have ended 0-0. Indeed, they’ve had six goalless draws overall this season, their joint-most in a single Premier League campaign (also 1994-95).
● West Ham are looking for back-to-back Premier League wins for just the second time this season, following their 2-0 win against Everton last time out. However, they’re winless in their last eight on the road (D2 L6), since a 1-0 win at Aston Villa in August.
● Newcastle have kept a league-high 12 Premier League clean sheets this season, their most in a single top-flight campaign since 2011-12 (15). They’ve kept a clean sheet in each of their last six Premier League games – the last side to keep seven in a row with an English manager at the helm were Steve McClaren’s Middlesbrough in December 2003.
● Newcastle have been behind for just 80 minutes in the Premier League this season, fewer than any other side. They’ve not conceded in the first half in any of their last 16 Premier League games, with only Aston Villa (18 in 1995-96) and Arsenal (20 in 1998-99) having longer such runs.
● West Ham manager David Moyes will move ahead of Harry Redknapp into outright third for most Premier League games managed in this match (642). The Scotsman’s next victory in the competition will be his 250th – having won none of his first eight away games against Newcastle in the Premier League (D3 L5), he’s won four of his last seven at St. James’ Park (D1 L2).
● Newcastle’s Callum Wilson has scored nine goals in 11 Premier League appearances against West Ham, more than he has versus any other side. His first ever goals in the competition were a hat-trick against the Hammers, in a 4-3 win for Bournemouth at Upton Park in August 2015.
● Newcastle goalkeeper Nick Pope has kept a clean sheet in his last six Premier League appearances – no English keeper has ever done so in seven consecutive games in the competition.
● Only Kevin De Bruyne (63) has created more chances than Newcastle’s Kieran Trippier (59) in the Premier League this season. Trippier’s 59 is the most on record (since 2003-04) by a Newcastle defender in a single top-flight campaign, and most by any Magpies player since Matt Ritchie in 2018-19 (60).
