TUESDAY FA CUP REPLAY: The Striker previews WOLVES v BRENTFORD with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
WOLVES V BRENTFORD
7.30pm We have the FA Cup Third Round replays this week on BETDAQ Betting Exchange with plenty of action across Tuesday and Wednesday night. It’s easy to just say that most clubs don’t want these extra fixtures, but there’s no major clubs involved and everyone should really be aiming for an FA Cup run to be honest! Wolves v Brentford is the focus on Tuesday, and surely these two should be making the FA Cup a priority given that they aren’t going to achieve anything in the Premier League. As we’ve seen in the past though, that’s not always the case!
I have generally kept stakes reasonably low in the early FA Cup rounds because you just don’t know how sides are going to approach the competition. Brentford will be very disappointed to be here – Wolves had a man sent off in the 9th minute and with home advantage, you’d have expected Brentford to win from there. They did take the lead in the 41st minute but Wolves levelled it up after 64 minutes and the game finished 1-1. Wolves deserve massive credit for getting a draw, and now they can enjoy home advantage.
They come into this game as the marginal odds on favourites. The home win is trading 1.99 with Brentford 4.2 and the draw is 3.75 at the time of writing. Wolves aren’t a side to trust backing at odds on, but Brentford have been in desperate form this season. They are at the stage where they could easily get dragged into the Premier League relegation battle. They are “lucky” that the bottom three have been so poor this season. The draw between Burnley and Luton Town was a good result for them at the weekend, and they have a three point cushion on the relegation zone but they do have games in hand.
Wolves are much further up the table, comfortably sitting in 11th and no danger of a relegation battle despite being on plenty of lists at the start of the season. Brentford have much better stats this season, but they can’t buy a result. Their average xG created is 1.41 while for Wolves it’s only 1.13. They are both conceding the exact same volume of chances with an average xG conceded of 1.49. Both sides are average at the back – Wolves have been massively over-performing in front of goal this season while Brentford have been under-performing a little.
Brentford have been on a desperate run in the Premier League putting together five straight losses. A 4-1 loss to Wolves is included in that run, and that was when Brentford had home advantage too. While the 1.99 on Wolves might feel a little short, I don’t want to lay them here given Brentford’s poor form. We should have an open game here and I do expect some goals – Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.95 while Both Teams To Score is 1.86. I couldn’t put anyone off either bet, however I marginally prefer Both Teams To Score at 1.86. Both sides are poor at the back, and we should see plenty of chances here.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Both Teams To Score at 1.86 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/WlvBre
