HE’S KING OF THE BANKERS AGAIN: Daqman landed his banker, Pemba (WON 1-2), at Catterick yesterday and sticks with the same Alan King stable for another maximum-stakes bet this afternoon, this time staging a double whammy by laying the morning joint favourite in the same race.
15.0 KNIFE-EDGE BETDAQ GAMBLE: Daqman could be forgiven for turning away and counting his BETDAQ winnings big time on the same Catterick card! Alto des Mottes (2nd 10-1) skipped over the last two fences in the North Yorkshire Grand National, taken at 15.0 on BETDAQ, but emptied out in the last few yards and was caught half a length in a knife-edge finish.
TODAY: Daqman analyses two quality races at Dundalk tonight. TOMORROW: Back on the attack against Pricewise, whom he now leads 20-8 this NH season (266-104 overall).
FIND THE VALUE AND NAME YOUR PRICE..
Make your own price! That’s the message of Daqman articles next week, in which he explores the luxury of BETDAQ exchange betting, as well as putting you in the picture about the value in the feature races.
Daqman will explain how you can get better odds in ordinary races but how you can make sure you have big value in quality races like these:
Thyestes Chase (next Thursday, Gowran Park)
Clarence House Chase (next Saturday, Ascot)
Irish Champion Hurdle (next Sunday, Leopardstown)
Arkle Novice Chase (next Sunday, Leopardstown)
..THEN YOU PLACE YOUR MONEY TO WIN
There’s a time and a Place. Daqman will link his value hunting with a check on all his betting methods in the column next week.
But we can’t let yesterday’s results go by without pointing out how much they illustrate both of his main rules for place betting in one day.
BIG FIELDS: Daqman bets win and place in big fields at big offers when a quarter or a fifth the odds are potentially as good as a winner at 3-1, 4-1, maybe even 5-1 or more.
So it was with Alto des Mottes in the North Yorkshire Grand National, a 15.0 chance on BETDAQ in the morning (but 10-1 SP).
SMALL FIELDS: Daqman bets for a place in small fields when the place offers for the selection in the BETDAQ orange exceed the win offers about a short-priced favourite.
So it was with Wounded Warrior (2nd 10-1), second of four, in the race won by 1-8 Don Cossack yesterday. If he could finish first OR second, he was a ‘winner’ at far better odds than the favourite. He did.
DOUBLE-WHAMMY WITH BANKER KING HIGH
1.50 Huntingdon The best racing today is on AW in Ireland but this maiden was attractive with 2.2 each of two at the front of the BETDAQ market, virtually true odds since the bar was 33.0; not a halfpenny for anything else.
But which one to go for, The Unit or Tippmanboy? Alan King did the business for the banker yesterday with Pemba, and he thought enough of The Unit to run the Newbury winner in a Listed bumper at Cheltenham.
Tippmanboy, a chaser by his make-up, has had eight chances without winning and his three-in-a-row bridesmaid seconds have been expensive for punters, with the money down as favourite the last twice.
It’s time to play Double Whammy again! We’ll back The Unit to win and lay Tippmanboy.
2.50 and 3.20 Huntingdon Kingy can land a short-priced double via Sceau Royal (2.50), yet another this week too short to back individually.
The King treble bid with L’Unique (3.20) may be foiled by Three Faces West. L’Unique needs plenty of time to get going (has jumped slowly over hurdles) and hasn’t won since April, 2014.
Three Faces West prefers to bowl along in front and, with Ballybolley and Buckhorn Timothy both likely to be in touch, L’Unique could be left with a lot of work to do on a surface that will not make it easy to make up ground.
BET IT’S A MARISE REPRISE ONE WEEK ON
7.30 Dundalk A cracking mile contest on Polytrack for the winners of 32 races, but which the punter usually gets right (no winners so far bigger than 7-2)
Victory has been to the younger horses who are improvers higher up in the weights. But I doubt the prize will go to the top one, Grey Danube.
He steps up to a mile for only the second time since 2011, although his first ever run at the trip was a good effort in trying to make all, third over this CD in March.
His problems today start with Hat Alnasar, another front-runner, who gets the Dundalk mile well. And Reckless Lad has won three times here over this trip.
But the one I like is Marise, who was the ‘moral’, giving 5lb beaten a neck, over 7f here a week back, as a 10.5f winner crying out for at least today’s trip. A repeat of that effort should be good enough.
With Grey Danube and Hat Alnasar haring clear of the pack, Marise should be able to dog them from trap 5 and grab the line in the closing stages.
VERDICT: Marise’s rider, Ronan Whelan, won two from four starts at Dundalk last Friday and, according to the Racing Post, trainer Michael Cunningham is getting 100% out of his horses. I took 4.6 on BETDAQ this morning.
‘TELLIE’ MAY HAVE MARMITE ON TOAST..
8.30 Dundalk County Louth is called the Land Of Legends. And here it is playing host at Dundalk tonight to a jockey legend from Dublin, Richard Hughes, just 11 winners down the long road to top-trainer status.
Hughsie, having his first runner in Ireland, has a 26% AW strike-rate in England, his success including three wins since November for Duchess Of Marmite, who was his first winner as a trainer.
That’s cost her a 16lb rise overall, but – as a tricky ride who has to be saved until the last stride or kidded along to hold her lead – she has won by a neck (twice at Kempton) and a short-head, and the handicapper is never sure of such a winner what is really in the tank.
Her runner-up at Chelmsford in November has scored since and the second one home on the last day at Kempton was not disgraced in a class 2 after. Tonight’s two-miler is the equivalent of a class 4 in England.
Tagietelle and Modem are high-level hurdlers, attracted by tonight’s big pot. Taglietelle needed first-time blinkers to get him back in the winner’s enclosure here in November for the first time on the Flat since June, 2013, though he’s won five hurdles in the meantime.
Modem’s last AW appearance was for Rod Millman at Lingfield in 2014 (unplaced) but he scored back-to-back wins on turf in the autumn for Jessica Harrington, though they were seen as of such little consequence by the handicapper that he was raised just one pound!
Asian Wing used to be a standing dish at Dundalk but that was when 17lb lower; Jan Van Eyck has won on the course over shorter and at a lower level; Bittern scored here at a slightly higher level but over 12f.
We know very little about the Ballydoyle runner (do we ever!), Egyptian Warrior, and currently the O’Brien runners are few, knocking at the door a couple of times but no success in 2016 so far.
VERDICT: Gordon Elliott has had six winners in the last week and Taglietelle looked hard to beat at 4.2 on BETDAQ this morning, despite the big weight.
There was no money for Modem, and Duchess Of Marmite seemed the danger as an improver, three years younger than the selection. I just feel that ‘Tellie’, now a 154-rated Grade-1 hurdler, has the batteries to power-drive past the quirky filly.
DAQMAN BETS (staked to win 20 points, except the opening double whammy and the Daq Multiples)
DOUBLE WHAMMY: LAY 10pts TIPPMANBOY and BANKER: BET 20pts win (nap) THE UNIT (1.50 Huntingdon)
BET 8.5pts win THREE FACES WEST (3.20 Huntingdon)
BET 5.5pts win MARISE (7.30 Dundalk)
BET 6.5pts win TAGLIETELLE and 2.2pts win (stakes saver) DUCHESS OF MARMITE (8.30 Dundalk)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 4 x 1pt win trebles and 1pt acca The Unit (1.50 Huntingdon), Sceau Royal (2.50 Huntingdon), Three Faces West (3.20 Huntingdon) and Marise (7.30 Dundalk)
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