19-1 AS DAQMAN DOES ONE-TWO: After a 27-1 double on Tuesday, Daqman yesterday tipped a one-two at Lingfield which paid a 19-1 straight forecast with Ladbrokes: Realize (WON 11-4 from 6.0 on BETDAQ) with Shyron (2nd 7-1). He also had Aso (WON 2-1).
SCEAUX! CAN STAR NAMES WIN? Star names come up to the tapes today – Un De Sceaux and Sire De Grugy among them – with Daqman trying a variety of bets, as he did on Tuesday. And it’s back to the fray in the Daqman challenge to Pricewise (current scores 20-8) for the 2.25 Ascot and 2.40 Haydock.
VROUM VROUM! RUBY PUTS HIS FOOT DOWN
12.40 Ascot Alan King hasn’t had a runner in this since his 12-times winner Balder Succes (2012) took the event to complete a hat-trick.
Balder Succes aspired to a 145 hurdles rating, only 6lb in front of the Paul Nicholls runner here, Connetable. That can’t be right.
Direct opposite of the overblown figure for Connetable is the zero rating of the King horse, Gibralfaro, who has won five out of six, but mainly in the French Provinces with just the one successful hurdles start at Kempton.
Pure guesswork, then, with the pair locked together at the front of the BETDAQ market.
1.15 Ascot Top and bottom of the handicap, Mountain King and Bold Bachelor, are close in the market, 7.2 bar the two, as I write. Front-running Capilla (8.8 offers) could be the one for a trade.
1.50 Ascot Harry Fry (Desert Queen) goes for a race hat-trick after winners at 5-1 and 5-2 but the yard is out of form with his most recent runners both losing favourites.
Yet Desert Queen is the nearest rival in the BETDAQ orange – 10.5 bar two – to Willie Mullins’s Vroum Vroum Mag, seven wins in a row, chases and hurdles, who was odds on, paying 6 for 10, at the time of writing.
Fairytale Theatre, Cannon Fodder and Dark Spirit were all behind in this race a year ago, with Molly’s A Diva pulled up. And Cannon Fodder beat Desert Queen on the last day.
It all adds up to Vroum Vroum as a banker here under Ruby Walsh, with a return of six for 10 looking value for money.
BARON BIRTHDAY TREAT AT 10.5 ON BETDAQ
2.25 Ascot Young horses – aged five and six – have won this every year apart from the 2008-9 domination of old Lough Derg for David Pipe, who now saddles claimed-off Unanimite, 19.5 on BETDAQ this morning.
Unanimite is a Listed runner-up but has won only on his first racecourse appearance, which is always a bad sign.
The smartest recent winner of the race would be Smad Place for Alan King, who sends out Simply A Legend (15.0 best offers) today.
It’s impossible to split Simply A Legend and Baron Alco on their one-two at Kempton last month, and I prefer a horse having his run back behind them that day, Nicky Henderson’s Sugar Baron, under the accomplished Nico De Boinville.
He will appreciate the strong gallop of a big field, and has had this race as his target to celebrate the owner’s 75th birthday today.
The stable also runs Theinval, already a winner at this level, and Kilcrea Vale, who lapped them at Market Rasen on his first start under Rules.
Rock The Kasbah and heavy-ground winner Theo’s Charm are progressive, and the market says that Value At Risk should be taken seriously, despite his failure to complete the last twice.
Some of these are unexposed but, as far as we know, the trio best suited to the trip in these conditions are Rock The Kasbah (9.6 in the BETDAQ orange as I write) and Sugar Baron (10.5), though Theo’s Charm (8.4) should get it on breeding.
VIBRATO COULD TAKE ON BIG TWO AT 14.0
3.00 Ascot (Clarence House Chase) This is the final stepping-stone before the deep waters of the Champion Chase at Cheltenham, and it’s a real kingmaker.
Master Minded, Sprinter Sacre, Sire De Grugy and Dodging Bullets have all won the Clarence House in the last seven seasons on their way to becoming champions in March.
Arkle winner Un De Sceaux has gone clear in the BETDAQ market, paying (at 1.66) slightly better than stablemate Vroum Vroum Mag earlier on the card.
But he was a faller in heavy ground at Leopardstown, possibly because he was a bit fresh after his close-season lay-off, though not for the first time his jumping suffered in a slow-run race.
Better ground in December saw Sire De Grugy return to winning form then run Sprinter Sacre close, albeit he won this race on heavy in 2014. It’s just asking a lot for a 10-year-old to mudlark at speed.
I tipped Dodging Bullets to win this last year, and follow up in the Champion Chase. It’s last chance saloon for his stablemate Vibrato Valtat (14.0) to return to form in time for the championship, with his yard now back swinging.
But the more likely scenario is that, with ground to make up on both Un De Sceaux and Sire de Grugy, he will go up in trip to the Ryanair (2m 5f).
In that case, if I were the trainer, I’d send him off in front today. Just one of the big two in the race has to run below par and Vibrato gets a place at 3.65, four times the odds of Un De Sceaux to win.
If we duck and dive, we’ll get something back: I shall put Un De Sceaux in my Daq Multiples and lay Sire De Grugy. If Vibrato Valtat is runner-up to Un De Sceaux, we are on a triple whammy!
3.35 Ascot Salubrious (6.6) would complete a Paul Nicholls hat-trick in this but I’m inclined to a tad win and place Bernadelli at the weights: 15.0 on BETDAQ.
RICHARDS’ BAY CAN WING THIS..
1.00 Haydock Nicky Richards, who trains Bernadelli, could already be on a winner with Baywing (3.4 offers) in this Haydock opener, hat-trick winner by an overall 34 lengths and stepped up in grade now.
Barafundle is just 2lb higher than when taking the race last year but is 12 now and has more than likely deteriorated, as his recent form suggests.
Shades of Midnight is weighted to reverse November CD form with Island Heights, and Horizontal Speed ran well in a better race at Chjeltenham until found out by the hill finish.
2.40 Haydock (Champion Hurdle Trial) The New One (2015) and Melodic Rendezvous (2014), last two winners of this, clash here, with The New One yet another odds-on favourite offering around six or 6.5 for 10. I’ll put The New One in my Daq Multiples.
This time the place bet at better than the win for the favourite is Fou Et Sage (11.5 on BETDAQ), a heavy-ground French horse just now coming to hand for the ever-burgeoning Dan Skelton.
…AND 30.0 SHOT HAS THE GAS TO BE A TRADE
3.15 Haydock (Peter Marsh Chase) Beware! Winners of this have been 33-1, 20-1 (twice) and 16-1 in the last seven years, with not a winning favourite in sight in that time.
Reve De Sivola is a top-class hurdler who has jumped a fence in public only once in his life (in 2011). Cloudy Too needs to bounce back, and Virak and Co at the top of the handicap will feel like they’re pulling a cart in the mud.
Hennessy fourth Fingal Bay tries a new jockey (Tom O’Brien for Richard Johnson) and Presenting Junior needs good ground.
I shall have a pound on the out-and-out stayer Gas Line Boy, assuming that a new yard and first-time visor can do the trick at 30.0 on BETDAQ. He front runs, so is a potential trade until he runs out of gas!
DAQMAN’S BETS (each one staked to win 30 points, except where stated, and with the banker settled at SP)
GOLD BANKER: 30pts win (nap) VROUM VROUM MAG (1.50 Ascot)
BULL’S-EYE BETS (to win 50): 5.8pts win ROCK THE KASBAH and 5.2pts win SUGAR BARON (2.25 Ascot)
BET (both win and place staked to win 30) 2.5pts win and 10pts place FOU ET SAGE (2.40 Haydock)
LAY 5pts SIRE DE GRUGY and BET (both win and place staked to win 30) 2.2pts win and 11pts place VIBRATO VALTAT (3.00 Ascot)
BET 1pt win and place GAS LINE BOY (3.15 Haydock)
BET 2pts win and (saver) place BERNADELLI (3.35 Ascot)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 4 x 3pts win trebles and 1pt win acca BAYWING (1.00 Haydock), THE NEW ONE (2.40 Haydock), UN DE SCEAUX (3.00 Ascot) and VROUM VROUM MAG (1.50 Ascot) plus 5pts win (stakes saver) BAYWING
NEW !!!
You can now follow BETDAQ updates on Google+
For further details – CLICK HERE
£25 IN FREE BETS
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
