4-1 AND 7-2: DAQMAN KNOWS! Cheltenham? Daqman can’t wait for the Flat season, after a sensational two out of two in the Ladbrokes-sponsored races, which included the Lincoln Trial, at Wolverhampton yesterday. His bets on both won by a nose:
WON 4-1 Keystroke
(from 5.5 on BETDAQ)
WON 7-2 Mister Universe
(from 5.6 on BETDAQ)
30 WINS AGAINST PRICEWISE: Keystroke took his current total over Pricewise to 30. So the scorers are now 30-12 for the NH season (276-108 overall). He hopes to reach at least 280 over Cheltenham, and 300 by Royal Ascot.
CREATE BONUS BETTING AT CHELTENHAM: Before Daqman renews battle with Pricewise at the Festival on Tuesday, he warns today of essential value betting, and advises how to make more from your own bonus plan. TOMORROW: create your own prices.. and don’t fall for the losers!
BETDAQ IS YOUR BEST BUY AT CHELTENHAM
Cheltenham money was stolen yesterday. The two big handicaps at Sandown were a betting farce, as horses that had never won a race were made favourite in both markets. Two Taffs and Affaire d’Honneur both finished fourth.
As I said in my column, it was ‘quite exceptional double vision by punters preferring potential to winning ability.’
And, whether you laid them or bet against them, the value was with BETDAQ, where offers within single-figure overrounds were available in the morning.
What did the bookies do? They loved this punters’ mad rush to back losers, topping up the Novices’ Handicap Hurdle Final to 127% at SP.
They couldn’t lose. They watched money pour in for non-winners, all the while knowing they had a 27% take-out before the race was even run!
Nice work if you can get it.. and they started the night before. Pricewise tips were available at 8pm on Friday to Racing Post club members but they had the nerve to advertise the same odds the following day.
Here’s what I suggest you do at Cheltenham. Stick with BETDAQ, backing in a punter-friendly market, a near-level playing-field. And as well as betting to win, use your Lay power and make more money backing those absurd favourites to lose! Now read on:
MAKE-YOUR-OWN-MONEY FESTIVAL BETTING
Everyone can win on BETDAQ. But not by begging on to the biggest price of the day, the so-called ‘value’ of the uninformed in columns like Pricewise.
Even if he is lucky enough to buy into some value (it happens sometimes), he’s lost the races before he even begins, because he is betting pointlessly. Literally.
He puts a single unit, level stake, on all his bets. If ever that was a waste of value, that one is. The bookies whose advertising he boosts with his tipping column must be laughing all the way to the cocktail bar in their tax haven.
My attack earlier this month, The 10 Failings of The Pricewise Column (archive, 04 March) was long overdue.
It is frankly a disgrace that the only daily trade paper for racing is not playing on the punter’s side; no proper tipping; no staking plan for selections at a time when anyone can win at racing. Instead, the chummy nonsense like lads in a betting-shop that has also cost the Channel-4 team its contract.
The level staking on Pricewise tips completely destroys any value achieved. Read about it on this site. Declan Meagher for instance:
QUOTE: Level stake staking is hugely flawed; you should almost never be having the same amount on a 20/1 shot as a 1/1 one.
The bookies have stolen the narrative by ironically claiming to safeguard against ‘headless betting.’ As we saw in the Sandown handicaps on Saturday, punters continue to be mugs because the real information is lacking.
Despite living in an age of technology, you are still sticking pins in to the racecard, while the bookies are computerised and digitalised, and whatever else, treating you as an idiot. And making you pay for being an idiot!
BETDAQ wants everyone to win, and tells you how; even provides the maths and computer structure to do it.
There’s a BETDAQ article that tells you how to create your own betting market; to price up each horse, and so spot the value when layers make their offers.
From such a money-market basis for betting you can use a simple staking plan which not only seizes the value but gives you a bonus, sometimes doubling your return.
Here’s what to do:
PRICE UP: Learn the rudiments of how to make your own market and ‘play’ for small stakes with your own odds list on a daily basis until you feel confident you know what is, and is not, value for money.
BET: Press the Back button only when the offer is bigger than you think it should be.
PROFIT: How much do you want to win? (Yes, you really need to count your chickens before they hatch).
If you want to win £100, every time you bet, you will need £10 on a 10-1 shot, £5 at 20-1 and so on.
OFFER: Ok, you want 10-1 (stake £10 to win 100) and you see 16.0 offered – that’s 15-1 on BETDAQ – so you think, great! I don’t have to spend so much; I can reduce my stake to make my £100 profit.
STAKE: Wrong! You have found a possible mistake by the layers; they are giving you 15-1 about a 10-1 shot. Now make them pay for it!
Stand by your assessment of 10-1 x £10 and stick to the £10 stake, so your bet is 15-1 x £10.
Result, if you’re right, will be a return of £150, a 50% bonus on your 100 target.
ANTE-POST: Even more ludicrously, Pricewise picks ante-post shots for Cheltenham with the same one-point level stakes.
The whole purpose of ante-post betting is to buy money so that you can sell it. If you can get that 15-1 and the horse shrinks to 10-1, you can do a trade.
When you buy and you sell – using Back and Lay – it must be at stakes which will give you the edge in the trading.
FESTIVAL FOLLIES: It is sad that there is no trade paper showing you real odds, real ways of winning, genuine value and its application.
Don’t allow these Festival Follies. Don’t let them treat you as mugs on behalf of their masters: do you want the bookies to be the real bankers at Cheltenham when you’ve got the freedom of your own market on BETDAQ?
WE’RE WITH TWISTON, THE MAN IN FORM
Who’s on top for Cheltenham? That’s another essential question pre-meeting. How about three winners from six starters in two days, including a master plot hatched and landed in a big Sandown handicap with Flying Angel.
We couldn’t have a better man on our side for Cheltenham than Nigel-Twiston-Davies to steer our ante-post bets on Blaklion and Bristol de Mai.
3.40 Warwick Twiston is leading trainer at Warwick and has runners in both class-3 races, Abigail Lynch in the novice event (2.30) and Ballyrath here.
What’s intriguing about Ballyrath for a stable that does particularly well with stayers is that he was made favourite first time over a marathon trip.
That was only seven days ago and he fell early. The youngest horse in the race at six, he could bounce back at 9.4 offers in the BETDAQ orange, early mouse.
The favourite, Streets Of Promise, is not bred for this trip and has a penalty for winning over shorter.
Twice a CD winner, Emma Soda has returned to form, but another who looks poised to bounce back is the 2014 winner of this, Loughalder (8.6 offers)
With the overround on BETDAQ only half what it is with the bookies, you can afford more than one chance to win the money!
STRONG FANCY LE PREZIEN IS THE BANKER
2.55 Kelso Many Clouds is finally back on the Grand National trail but 2.32 looked stingy from the BETDAQ layers this morning with the handicapper saying that Sausalito Sunrise actually has the edge of a pound.
This will be no sunset for Many Clouds if he’s beaten here on his way to Aintree by Sunrise, who is strictly the value at around 2-1 in a two-horse race.
3.30 Kelso I’ve been keeping my powder dry for Cheltenham with the bankers but there is a very strong word for Le Prezien.
To be beaten by Yanworth when his stable was out of form was more like a victory, and there’s odds against this morning (2.4) in a 104% BETDAQ orange.
Le Prezien’s trainer, Paul Nicholls, was the bogey to our early ante-post bets on Cheltenham, since which time we’ve sided with Twiston, which is where I came in.
DAQMAN BETS
BET (to win 20 points) 10pts win SAUSALITO SUNRISE (2.55 Kelso)
BANKER: BET 20pts win at SP (nap) LE PREZIEN (3.30 Kelso)
BET (to win 20 points) 2.7pts win LOUGHALDER and 2.3pts win BALLYRATH (3.40 Warwick)
£25 IN FREE BETS
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
