PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our ProForm stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives today from Fairyhouse, Hexham, Southwell and Wolverhampton.
Positives:
Fairyhouse 3-55: Willie Mullins has a 31% strike rate in Fairyhouse chases, so you’d certainly assume impressive level stake returns from the Champion Trainer but it’s even better than expected. Twinlight is trading at 6.4 for this and his partner Ruby Walsh has a 35% strike rate in chases here.
Fairyhouse 4-30: Tony Martin and Paul Townend have a 24% strike rate when they team up, Kinnitty Castle is 13.0.
Hexham 2-00: Kenneth Slack and Henry Brooke have a 34% strike rate together, Tontos Spirit is 36.0. Slack is also in great form with 5 winners from 12 runners in the last 14 days.
Southwell 3-30: Dan Skelton and Harry Skelton have a 35% strike rate at Southwell when they team up, Churchtown Champ is 3.45. Harry Skelton also has a profitable S/R at Southwell on his own, with nearly double his expected winners.
Wolverhampton 5-00: James Bethell and Ted Durcan have won on 6 of the 13 times they’ve teamed up at Wolverhampton, Burneston is 14.0.
Negatives:
Fairyhouse 3-55: Henry de Bromhead has only 1 winner from 35 runners over fences at Fairyhouse, when his expected was over 5, Days Hotel is 10.5.
Hexham 2-30: Barry Murtagh is only 1 from 33 over fences at Hexham, while also only 1 from 36 when teaming up with the jockey, Trouble in Paris is 6.8.
Hexham 4-15: Henry Brooke has only had 1 winners from 48 rides over fences here, when his expected was over 5, Urban Gale is 12.5.
Southwell 2-55 and 3-30: Brendan Powell is 0 from 28 over hurdles here, he rides Giveitachance at 6.4 and Present View at 3.1.
PROFORM BETS
Betdaq BACK of the day on stats: Churchtown Champ 3-30 Southwell, at around 3.45.
Betdaq LAY of the day on stats: Trouble In Paris 2-30 Hexham, at around 6.8.
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