SATURDAY PREMIER LEAGUE PREVIEW: It’s the penultimate weekend of the Premier League and although the title is decided there’s plenty still to resolve at both ends of the table.
Norwich v Manchester United 12-45
A tricky match from a betting point of view to start this weekends Premier League action. Norwich have been in poor form at home lately, winning just one of their last seven and losing four of those – and they’ve failed to find the net in their last three games. However, it’s difficult to back United at odds on away from home, they’re currently 1.91 in the 90 minutes market but they have only managed two wins in their last ten away games in the league, losing five of those. Ironically enough the two wins were against Manchester City and Liverpool but they’ve scored just four goals in their last six away league games. Under 2.5 goals could be the best option here at around the 1.95 mark, as it could become cagey with United going for a top four spot and Norwich battling to stay up.
You can see all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQNorMan
Aston Villa v Newcastle 3-00
For the last few weeks we have noted in this column that teams have been very short facing Aston Villa, but with 11 straight losses who can blame the markets for opposing them so strongly. Yet again we’re faced with the question, would you want to back Newcastle away from home at 1.69? Before their draw with Liverpool, they had lost nine in a row away from home. Aston Villa are really struggling, indeed they have had the most embarrassing season they probably ever will have, but it’s still hard to back Newcastle away from home at 1.69. Last week Watford traded at a high of 112.0 before scoring two late goals to beat Villa 3-2 – maybe it’s worth waiting for bigger prices in-running on Newcastle for this one.
You can see all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQVilNew
Bournemouth v West Brom 3-00
Bournemouth seem to have been on holiday early recently, losing their last three at home while conceding ten, their only win in their last six being against Aston Villa. It’s hard to lump on them here at 1.98, however West Brom have won just one of their last 13 away from home, but have at least drawn six of those so the Bournemouth lay at 1.98 is an option from that point of view. There have also been plenty of goals in Bournemouth’s games of late, with over 2.5 goals winning in all of their last six – West Brom aren’t a great side to be backing overs though, and they’ve seen under 2.5 in four of their last six – scoring only twice in that time. Bournemouth could drag them into an attacking game here though, and over 2.5 goals is worth a small bet at 2.0 or bigger.
You can see all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBourBrom
Crystal Palace v Stoke 3-00
A few were questioning whether Stoke had their holidays booked early after conceded 12 goals in their three games before the 1-1 draw at home to Sunderland, and given Sunderland’s form this season, maybe that question was left unanswered there. There’s no doubt however that Crystal Palace’s concentration has been on the FA Cup – so far in 2016 they have only managed to collect eight points, as bad as Aston Villa who also have eight – that’s the level they’ve been at! So it’s hard to back them at 2.14 given that run, even allowing for Stoke’s recent lackluster efforts. Despite Stoke’s recent poor defensive efforts, maybe under 2.5 goals is worth a bet here at around 1.85 – Palace have had under 2.5 goals in their last five league games.
You can see all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQPalSto
Sunderland v Chelsea 3-00
Chelsea seem to be a good bet here at 2.5 or bigger in the 90 minutes market, possibly even a better value bet at around the 1.82 mark given that they have lost just one of their last nine away games in the Premier League – winning six of those. Sunderland too have won just one of their last nine in the league, failing to score in their last three at home. The markets could be overestimating the fact that Sunderland are fighting to stay up and Chelsea have little to play for – Chelsea seem very good value at 1.8 draw-no-bet.
You can see all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQSunChe
West Ham v Swansea 3-00
West Ham are having their best season ever collecting 59 points already, their season high before this was 57 – they should be able to deal with Swansea here but at 1.47 in the 90 minutes market, maybe it’s worthwhile looking elsewhere for a bit of value. West Ham have only failed to find the net once in their last 21 home league games, an impressive stat and while they’ve seen over 2.5 goals collect in all of their last six – over 3.5 has collect in four of those. Swansea have also seen over 3.5 goals in three of their last six – while over 2.5 is trading 1.7 and looks to be a shade of value, it’s worth taking a bit of extra risk here and backing over 3.5 goals at 2.8 or bigger.
You can see all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQHamSwa
Leicester v Everton 5-30
Let the party begin! This column has noted that Leicester have been highly underestimated by the markets for the last few weeks with their prices in the 90 minutes market, however on this occasion there are reasons for laying them at 1.95. We all seen the great scenes during the week from Jamie Vardy’s house where the team watched Spurs draw 2-2 with Chelsea and crown them Champions and the great scenes from the team bus going through Leicester, you’d have to wonder is their eye on the job here after a week like that? It’s definitely a reason for not backing them at odds on anyway. Everton have been poor at home this season, but they have been very good away, only losing three of their last 18 – and they should be able to spoil the part here, and are worth backing at 4.2 or bigger.
You can see all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQLeiEve
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