PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives for racing on Friday. Recommended NAP at Newmarket and LAY at Newbury.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
Whether you are a BETDAQ backer or layer – you can combine the PROFORM generated stats below with the latest BETDAQ markets to help with your betting.
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York 2-20: Frankie Dettori has been in superb form over the past two days at York and he starts his day on Dheban at 23.0 on BETDAQ.
York 3-30: Hugo Palmer and Graham Gibbons have a 42% strike rate when they team up, they have an outsider here, Peru is 44.0.
York 4-40: Ed Dunlop and Silvestre De Sousa have an impressive 37% strike rate with over double their expected winners, Oasis Fantasy is 7.8.
Newbury 2-00: Ed Dunlop has been in superb form recently with over double his expected winners in the past 14 days, he saddles Oceanus at 4.6 who goes up against Frankel’s first runner as a sire, Cunco at 2.64.
Newbury 3-10: Saeed Bin Suroor has a nice 22% strike rate at Newbury, above his expected, he saddles Kickboxer at 12.5.
Newbury 3-45: David Lanigan and George Baker have a solid 28% strike rate when they team up, they have Dream Free here at 15.5.
Newmarket 2-10: Ed Dunlop and Pat Cosgrave have a 29% strike rate together and as noted above Dunlop is in superb form, Al Nafoorah is 4.6.
Newmarket 3-55: Luca Cumani and William Buick have a 33% strike rate when they team up together, Shakopee is 3.3.
Aintree 5-25: Warren Greatrex and Sam Waley-Cohen are won 5 from 13 when they have teamed up in the past, The Missus is 6.4.
Aintree 7-05: Nicky Henderson has a decent 23% strike rate with his runners over hurdles here, with nearly 10 more than his expected, Lough Kent is 11.0.
Hamilton 5-45: David Brown has a 29% strike rate with his runners at Hamilton, Rapid Rise is 11.0 on BETDAQ.
Kilbeggan 8-20: Mark Walsh has had over double his expected winners over fences here, Down Under is currently 6.8.
Dundalk 8-00: Damian Joseph English and DW O’Connor have had over double their expected winners for a 29% strike rate, Ask Dad is 5.6.
York 3-30: Jeremy Noseda is yet to saddle a winner at York from 30 runners, he has Memoralia at 2.08 in the 3-30, however an in-form Frankie Dettori is riding.
York 4-40: A relatively small sample but Mark Johnston and Frankie Dettori are 0 from 14 together, Fire Fighting is 15.0.
Newbury 1-30: Oisin Murphy should have had over double the amount of winners he has had thus far at Newbury, he starts his day with War Of Succession at 10.0.
Newbury 3-45: Michael Murphy is 0 from 29 with his rides at Newbury, he takes the ride on Gunmetal currently 12.0 to lay on BETDAQ.
Newmarket 2-45: Tom Dascombe should have had nearly three times the amount of winners he has had at Newmarket, he saddles Swansway at 15.0.
Newmarket 5-00: Karl Burke and Martin Harley strike rate together is only 7%, less than half of what it should be, Yourartisonfire is 15.0.
Aintree 5-55: David Pipe and Tom Scudamore have had under their expected winners when they have teamed up over fences here, Skylander is 7.6.
Aintree 7-35: Aidan Coleman is only 1 from 40 over fences around Aintree, he takes the ride on Loose Chips at 11.0.
Hamilton 6-50: Tony Hamilton should have had more than double the amount of winners he has had at Hamilton, he rides Normandy Knight at 9.2.
Kilbeggan 6-40: Gordon Elliott’s strike rate over hurdles at Kilbeggan is only 9%, a good bit less than expected, Walkabout is 5.3.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: SHAKOPEE 3-55 Newmarket, at around 3.3.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: GUNMETAL 3-45 Newbury to place, at around 3.15.
Prices quoted reflect those available on BETDAQ at the time of writing and are subject to fluctuation thereafter
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