PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives for racing on Saturday. There’s a NAP at York and a LAY at Stratford.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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Curragh 3-20: Jessica Harrington and Colm O’Donoghue have had over double their expected winners together, they start their day on Irish 2000 Guineas day with Lady Beware at 19.0.
Curragh 5-40: AP O’Brien and Seamie Heffernan have had over 10 more than their expected winners when teaming up at The Curragh, can Air Vice Marshal (11.0) outrun his stablemate Air Force Blue (4.0)?
Curragh 6-15: Ger Lyons and Colin Keane have an excellent long-term strike rate of 21%, they team up with Ainippe at 6.2.
Haydock 2-30: Sir Mark Prescott very close to double his expected winners at Haydock, he saddles Matorico at 3.15.
Haydock 3-40: David Lanigan and George Baker have a nice 28% strike rate together, they have the favourite here Interception at 4.5.
Haydock 4-10: William Haggas and Paul Hanagan have won 8 from 14 when teaming up at Haydock, Muthmir is 9.4.
Haydock 5-20: Richard Fahey and Graham Lee have a 33% strike rate when teaming up together, Young John is 19.5.
Goodwood 3-25: Saeed Bin Suroor and Kevin Stott have a healthy 32% strike rate when teaming up, Strong Challenge is currently 9.2 on BETDAQ.
Goodwood 4-00: Mick Channon and Andrea Atzeni have had over double their expected wins together, Shawami is 16.5.
Newmarket 2-20: Richard Hannon and James Doyle have a 28% strike rate together for over double their expected winners, Storm Rising is 6.0.
Newmarket 2-20 and 5-15: A small sample but Luca Cumani and Tom Queally have won 5 from 13 together, War Story is 4.8 and Laurence is 5.2.
York 2-05: William Haggas has a nice 22% strike rate from his runners at York, he saddles an outsider here, Valley Of Fire at 21.0.
York 4-55: Ed Dunlop and Silvestre De Sousa have an impressive 38% strike rate together, they team up with Sagely at 2.58.
Chepstow 6-50: Andrew Balding has a 23% strike rate with his runners around Chepstow, he starts his evening there with Shongololo at 6.6.
Stratford 7-05: Warren Greatrex has a 32% strike rate with his runners over hurdles here, he saddles Good Of Luck at 9.8.
Curragh 3-20 and 4-30: AP O’Brien and Ana O’Brien are 0 from 37 so far at The Curragh, Sweetasaver is 19.0 and Hyzenthlay is 22.0.
Curragh 3-55: Jim Bolger has a less than expected 9% strike rate with his runners at The Curragh, he saddles Sanus Per Aquam in the Irish 2000 Guineas at 29.0.
Haydock 1-55: Andrew Balding has saddled less than his expected winners in the past 14 days, he starts his day at Haydock with Emperor Napoleon at 7.6.
Goodwood 2-15: Richard Hannon and Jimmy Fortune only have an 8% strike rate together, they have Black Cherry at 11.5 in the first today at Goodwood.
Goodwood 2-50: Robert Havlin is only 1 from 54 with his rides around Goodwood when his expected was 5, Mr Singh is 4.8.
Newmarket 2-55: Robert Cowell should have had nearly twice the amount of winners he has saddled at Newmarket, he has two in the 2-55 – Sir Robert Cheval at 16.0 and Bahamian Heights at 21.0.
Newmarket 5-15: William Muir and Martin Dwyer are 0 from 32 together at Newmarket, they have Truth Or Dare at 14.5.
York 2-05: Michael Dods and Phil Dennis have had less than half of their expected winners thus far, Glen Moss is 10.0.
York 2-40: George Chaloner’s strike rate from his rides at York is just 3%, it should be more than double that, he starts his day on Angel Gabrial at 10.5.
Chepstow 7-20: Philip Prince is 0 from 42 at Chepstow thus far, he takes the ride on Sir Billy Wright at 8.6.
Stratford 6-05: Paul Nicholls has saddled less than half of his expected winners over hurdles at Stratford, he has the favourite here – The Outlaw at 2.04.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: SAGELY 4-55 York, at around 2.58.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: THE OUTLAW 6-05 Stratford, at around 2.04.
Prices quoted reflect those available on BETDAQ at the time of writing and are subject to fluctuation thereafter
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