DAQMAN BANKER AND DOUBLE UP: Daqman, who landed three winners on Tuesday, including a 14-1 shot, for 66 points profit, had three more winning bets yesterday, making more than 20 points profit to reduced stakes. They included The Graduate (WON 11-4). He doubled his banker, The Last Lion (WON 10-11), with Delve (WON 5-6).
TWO BIG POT-OF-GOLD PUNTS: On Eclipse day today he’s back on the big-race scene, finding another banker and two more Pot Of Gold bets to follow on last Saturday’s 16-1 scorer, as he takes on Pricewise in the feature races (latest score Daqman 52, Pricewise 23). The soft ground means that his Fortune Cookies are rerouted (new list of dates on Monday).
BETDAQ THE CONQUEROR OF BIG VALUE
2.00 Sandown (Charge) Three-year-olds are four out of five in this, and there’s been only one winner over the age of four since 2006.
Add to that the draw factor – nine out of 10 winners come from the four lowest stalls – and Willytheconqueror is worth a swipe at his at 12.5 on BETDAQ this morning.
He’s a bull-s eye bet, one of three win-50 punts today, but he’s not getting pot-of-gold treatment because it’s a sprint.
But, whatever you back in it, you are in that value area (point one of the pot-of-gold rules) because the BETDAQ orange added up to only 103% this morning! Amazing!
A KING’S RANSOM FOR THIS 21.0 OFFER
2.35 Sandown (Challenge) Four-year-olds are 8-10 and it’s been the worst of times for Best of Times, who on the surface of his form looks a hidden horse of the right age here.
He was denied a run at Chester on his reappearance and faltered when leading at today’s distance in the Wolferton handicap at Royal Ascot.
But he’s had problems in a race too often for me (lost his action in a one at Goodwood last year) which all adds up to a warning sign at the price he is this morning (5.9 BETDAQ offers).
Mutamakkin is also a lightly raced sort but I haven’t had any ‘messages’ for him, whereas there is a buzz for White Lake, yet another one with a sparse CV. Pity he has a high draw.
Secret Art gets his ground and a favoured low draw, and prefers a right-hand track. But he’s never won above class 3 and is a bit old to start.
In the end I went for King’s Pavilion, who has mixed it with all-aged handicappers and finds himself in his ideal conditions down among the bottom weights, a 21.0 shot.
On their one-three over CD, King’s Pavilion must be an 11.0 shot at worst if Mutamkakkin is worth 6.0 in the orange this morning. I’ll back him as if that is his mark.
THE MARKET SAYS IT’S MIGHTY GURKHA
3.45 Sandown (Eclipse, See ABC Guide in the Daqman Archive, Wednesday) Time Test wants ‘really quick ground’, as I reported in my ABC Guide, which seems to leave The Gurkha and My Dream Boat in a match race.
My Dream Boat Has shot up 21lb in four wins from five races since last backend, from Listed to Group 3, ever upwards until the defeat of Found and Western Hymn in a thrilling finish to the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes at Royal Ascot.
It makes him the only older horse with Group-1 winning form, and older horse currently hold sway, eight out of 10 over the three-year-olds.
The Gurkha is the Classic generation’s front-man, backed this morning as if defeat is out of the question. Travels well and will love the cut in the ground. First try beyond a mile but dam related to an Arc winner.
Split Guineas winner Galileo Gold and Awtaad at Royal Ascot, beaten odds-on favourite after lying too far out of his ground, though jockey Ryan Moore had no reason to fear the trip or the soft surface.
VERDICT: If find My Dream Boat far too easy to back at 6.4 this morning, well obver my betting weir, with a top-of-the-ground horse ahead of him in the market.
Since it may have been a mistake not to include The Gurkha in my Fortune Cookies, I’ll make up for it now with a gold banker bet.
THE FORCE BE WITH HUGHIE’S COMBINATION
4.20 Sandown Ayrad yesterday boosted the form of his Newbury Group-3 conqueror, Astronereus, but that marks down Astronereus for a penalty in this.
CD winner Pallisator (Group-3 Henry 11 Stakes) has the same problem, with Cavalryman the only penalized winner since 2008.
The one that gets off lightly is Vent De Force, who also landed a Group-3 success over CD but that was earlier last year and the penalty doesn’t apply.
Vent De Force’s last five races have all been in the Pattern, and his stable is in fine form. He goes well fresh, second in the Sagaro first run back last Spring to the subsequent Gold Cup runner-up Mizzou.
His stablemate Fun Mac drops all three rungs of the Pattern ladder into this Listed after three Group-1 attempts, following fourth to Pallisator in the 2015 Doncaster Cup after runner-up in the Ascot Stakes.
A third Hughie Morrison runner, Nearly Caught, is a handicapper but Roger Charlton’s Quest for More was second in the Goodwood Cup after taking the 2015 Northumberland Plate.
Quest for More has to be feared but the Hughie Morrison duo, Fun Mac (7.6 on BETDAQ) and Vent De Force (13.0) look a lethal combination.
MUD-LOVER PAVILION FOR GODOLPHIN HIT
2.50 Haydock (Old Newton Cup) Four-year-olds are eight out of 10 in the decade, including last year’s winner, Notarised, who is back for more., 4lb higher and 6lb worse off with the half-length runner-up Watersmeet.
Both are front-runners in the typical Mark Johnston style, and today’s surface seems much deeper. Forget Notarised’s run behind First Sitting, whose hopes are probably dashed by topweight in the mud.
Desert Encounter has seemingly improved a stone for his hat-trick and has to be considered
Paddys Motorbike, Revision and Snoana are also improving four-year-olds, and Duretto looked unlucky at Epsom, losing a shoe when he came to challenge Green light. Duretto is now 7lb better off. Both have won on the soft.
Penglai Pavilion at 14.0 on BETDAQ this morning looks a hidden horse, brought back from hurdling in the Ascot Stakes.
He landed a hurdles hat-trick last autumn, but was a 118 hors e on the Flat for Andre Fabre – now 24lb lower – and twice won on heavy.
Godolphin horses are always a few points over the top and only three races ago in the Charlie Appleby stable schedule he won me the Northumberland Plate at 16-1.
With Andrew Balding just now striking form, Duretto must be top of the four-year-olds; 6.0 offers and you wouldn’t want to take less, but I reckon Penglai Pavilion should SP at around 10-1, which rates five points to win 50 but grabs more in my pot-of-gold method.
TWO POT-OF-GOLD BETS WIN 100 AND 65
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.00 Sandown: Bull’s Eye Bet
BET 4.3pts (win 50) and place at 12.5 WILLY THECONQUEROR
2.35 Sandown: Bull’s Eye Bet given Pot Of Gold status
BET 5pts win (to win 30) WHITE LAKE and 5pts (to win 100) and 5pts place at 21.0 KING’S PAVILION. We want 10-1, requiring 5pts for a bull’s-eye bet, but we get 21.0 and keep the same stake.
2.50 Haydock: Bull’s Eye Bet given Pot Of Gold status
BET 6pts to win 30 DURETTO and 5pts (to win 65) and 5pts place PENGLAI PAVILION. We want 10-1, requiring 5pts for a bull’s-eye bet, but we get 14.0 and keep the same stake.
3.45 Sandown: Gold Banker race
BET 30pts win (nap) THE GURKHA
4.20 Sandown
4.5pts win FUN MAC, and 2.5pts win and place VENT DE FORCE
£25 IN FREE BETS
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