PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives for racing on Sunday. Two from the last three NAPS have won at 3/1 and 11/4.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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Carlisle 1-00: Richard Johnson has won on 8 of his 13 rides over hurdles at Carlisle, impressively nearly double his expected, Steal My Thunder is 11.0.
Carlisle 2-45: Maurice Barnes has saddled over double his expected winners with his runners over fences at Carlisle, Carrigdhoun is 13.5.
Carlisle 3-15: Nicky Richards has a very healthy 33% strike rate with his runners over hurdles at Carlisle, he saddles Top Billing at 32.0.
Carlisle 3-50: Nigel Twiston-Davies and Daryl Jacob have a nice 34% strike rate together, they team up with Bristol De Mai at 2.28.
Huntingdon 2-30: Noel Fehily has a nice 32% strike rate with his rides over fences at Huntingdon, he takes the ride on Norse Light at 5.5.
Galway 1-45: John Patrick Ryan and Danny Mullins have had more than double their expected winners when teaming up together, Georges Conn is 18.0.
Galway 3-25: Willie Mullins has a healthy 30% strike rate with his runners over hurdles around Galway and he saddles Rupert Lamb at 12.0.
Wexford 12-55: Ruby Walsh has won with 6 of his 10 rides over hurdles around Wexford, he starts his day on Aretesone at 6.6.
Wexford 3-40: Garrett Power and Paul Townend have teamed up together to have more than double their expected winners, they have Curragh Golan at 7.4.
Carlisle 2-10: Lucinda Russell has saddled less than half of her expected winners over hurdles around Carlisle, Spoils Of War is trading 18.5.
Carlisle 3-15: Danny Cook has rode less than a third of his expected winners over hurdles at Carlisle, his mount Definitly Red is 5.4.
Carlisle 3-50: Jonjo O’Neill has had less than a third of his expected winners over fences at Carlisle, he saddles More Of That at 2.52.
Huntingdon 3-00: Tom Cannon is very close to only having one third of his expected winners over hurdles at Huntingdon, his mount Monbeg Farmer is 11.5.
Huntingdon 4-05: Nigel Twiston-Davies has saddled less than half of his expected winners over fences at Huntingdon, Ballybolley is hot favourite at 1.41.
Galway 1-10: Gordon Elliott and Mark Walsh have teamed up together to have less than half of their expected winners, Canelie is trading 1.7.
Galway 1-45: Mark Walsh is also quite close to only having half of his expected winners over fences at Galway, his mount Peoples Park is 6.4.
Wexford 12-55: Gordon Elliott and Keith Donoghue have well below their expected winners together for a strike rate of 8%, Calin Des Ongrais is 3.65.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: BRISTOL DE MAI 3-50 Carlisle, at around 2.28.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: CALIN DES ONGRAIS 12-55 Wexford, at around 3.65.
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