105 POINTS FROM 5-2 NAP AND ANOTHER TREBLE Daqman, who landed 93 points profit from three out of three on Monday, did the trick again yesterday: single bets and three winners in Daq Multiples doubles and a treble made a total of 105 points from eight successful tips, one of them his 5-2 nap. A feature of the returns, as usual, was huge morning value on BETDAQ. In time order, his tips finished 2111132:
WON 3-1 AARON LAD from 7.6 on BETDAQ
WON 5-2 IRISH LASS (nap and in treble)
WON 7-4 BIG KITTEN (treble) 3.55 on BETDAQ
WON (3rd 9-1 w/p) EL HOMBRE 17.5 on BETDAQ
WON 4-9 ALPHA DES OBEAUX (treble)
23.0 BET TO PUT THE WIND UP THEM AT ASCOT Daqman today finds a race (2.40 Ascot) in which most of the field have had wind operations and the favourite has form figures of P3PPP. He picks one out at 23.0 on BETDAQ, and said this morning: ‘This horse is progressive and you’ll get your money back in future if he needs the race today.’
AL DANCER IS FAST ON HIS FEET
1.10 Ffos Las Montanna has to give 12lb to most in this, having won twice over further on summer ground, one of them here.
His trainer, Peter Bowen, currently has only a 10% strike rate, with most of his runners unfancied (50-1 and 66-1 twice in the last six days), but his last three favourites have returned 211.
Al Dancer finished last season with fourth in a big-field Grade-2 bumper at Aintree and stayed on strongly to take his first hurdle at Carlisle a month or so back. The second horse that day scored easily next time out.
‘He works fast at home and has the pace to drop back to a speedy 2m,’ said Sam Twiston-Davies afterwards. Here’s his chance to prove it, as the hub of today’s Daq Multiples.
1.00 and 1.30 Ascot Nicky Henderson has the first two favourites, here today in a novice chase and maiden hurdle, but then swerves the rest of the meeting: Wenyerreadynicky! Another for mixed bets.
1.50 Catterick Sue Smith, who won this last year, runs both top and bottom weight, Straidnahanna and The Paddy Pie.
Straidnahanna (at BETDAQ 8.4 this morning) has such excellent form at Catterick – 1111 including the North Yorkshire Grand National – that he could be your automatic choice.
But, in three of those four hits, he had Danny Cook doing the steering yet today, with Straidnahanna returning from a 216-day layoff, Danny prefers The Paddy Pie at a difference of four years and 13lb.
Paddy (4.7 offers) has never raced at Catterick and won only once, over five furlongs shorter over hurdles, but has youth on his side.
DARBY DAY BUT SUN IS RISING
2.05 Ascot The winning SP has been 4-1 or shorter for eight years now – five favourites have won – but five last-time winners make today’s renewal more interesting than that.
Get a position on something that might close; you can save on the favourite later on (unless you’ve been lucky and your early punt IS the favourite!)
Strangely, no sign of Paul Nicholls or Nicky Henderson, who have won four out of seven between them. Alan King took it one year but he’ll need to have sharpened up Rock Steady, who stumbled here at Ascot on the debut. Rock Steady he was not.
The runner-up to Thomas Darby (BETDAQ 2.72) at Cheltenham won a Grade 2 there next time out, but that one was trained by Colin Tizzard, who has a dark horse here today in Highest Sun (12.0).
WINNER BLOWING IN THE WIND
2.40 Ascot Does wind surgery always bring results? According to the Racing Post computer, first run after the op has only a 12% strike rate (118 wins from 1002 runners).
And common sense tells me not to put my money on a favourite with form ‘figures’ P3PPP, albeit his run before that, almost exactly two years ago, was success over today ‘s course and distance on similar ground.
The Press (and trainer Hobbs) make a big thing about his dropping like a stone in the handicap but in fact he’s just 4lb lower than his winning mark that day.
Nigel Twiston-Davies thought that Flying Angel would ‘go to the top’ but he, too, required wind surgery and has failed to sparkle in two runs since. Visor tried now.
Ridgeway Flyer? He’s had wind surgery, too (twice), but with seemingly good results when second on his return. So, too, Dream Bolt, who has failed to score in five attempts since.
Cobra De Mai? Yep, he had a wind op a year ago and has won twice since, improving 10lb. Stablemate Value At Risk is an in-and-out performer but has the main jockey booking.
Royal Village has reached the frame in 10 of 13 starts. He’s improved 9lb since July, after – altogether now – wind surgery!
More Buck’s has been punished 18lb for back-to-back success in the summer. Mr Medic has won here but been absent nearly a year, and Casse Tete is also returning after a break.
The question for me is whether Robert Walford has Mr Medic ready for this (he won when fresh in October 2016). He’s worth a pound at 23.0 on BETDAQ on his Ascot win in December.
The form book says: ‘Outstanding jumper and tanked through the race before knuckling down on the run-in. Now 4-7 over fences, he’s adaptable when it comes to underfoot conditions and could be just the sort to land a big handicap.’
PENN LANE IS IN MY EYES..
2.50 Ffos Las The favourite looks hard to beat here, Gardiner’s Hill getting at least 13lb from all bar the amateur ridden Shadow’s Boy. But is it all that it seems?
The worries are that he seeks a hat-trick inside 15 days, and switches from fences to hurdles raised two grades and with 11lb more than when second here over the smaller obstacles in October.
We haven’t seen 4.8 offer Penn Lane since January but he doesn’t stand much racing and he’s scored twice when prepared fresh for a hit.
He might have won his first handicap but met the burgeoning First Assignment who would go on to a Graded place at Sandown and back-to-back wins at Cheltenham including a recent Listed. The 10-lengths third, Larry, won his next two starts.
Rocco has won just a small novice vent and Lamanver Odyssey has left Harry Fry, while Sneaky Feeling has been beaten a total of 185 lengths in his last three starts.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.50 Catterick (each to win 20)
BET 5.5pts win THE PADDY PIE
BET 2.5pts win STRAIDNAHANNA
2.05 Ascot (win 10 and win 20)
BET 5.5pts win THOMAS DARBY
BET 1.75pts win and place HIGHEST SUN
2.40 Ascot (win 50)
BET 2.25pts win and place MR MEDIC
2.50 Ffos Las (win 30)
BET 8.25pts win (nap) PENN LANE
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3pts win treble Wenyerreadyfreddie (1.00 Ascot), Al Dancer (1.10 Ffos Las), Penn Lane (2.50 Ffos Las)
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