PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We preview Saturday’s Premier League games with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended stats for each match. The action concludes at 5.30am with MAN U v WEST HAM.
TOTTENHAM V HUDDERSFIELD
12.30pm We kick off Saturday in the Premier League with Spurs hosting the already relegated Huddersfield in a must win game for the home side. Spurs had a wonderful result midweek in the Champions League when beating Manchester City 1-0 and now they will go into the second leg full of hope, but they still have a job to do in the Premier League. After creating some distance between themselves and Chelsea, United and Arsenal they have now dropped back to join them in the battle for a Top Four finish and they simply have to win games like this. It’s hard to know whether Huddersfield will play with freedom given they are already down, but it’s fair to say that they have been woeful this season and they’ve lost nine of their last ten away league games. We expect one way traffic here and Spurs to cover the handicap, Spurs are currently 2.06 -2 goals on the Asian Handicap (stakes void if they win by exactly two) which looks great value to start Saturday.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Tottenham -2 goals Asian Handicap to beat Huddersfield at 2.06.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQTotHdd
MATCH STATS
- Tottenham are unbeaten in eight matches in all competitions versus Huddersfield (W5 D3), since a three-match losing streak between April 1955 and April 1956.
- Huddersfield have lost all three of their Premier League meetings with Spurs by an aggregate score of 0-8, with the Terriers landing just nine shots on target.
- Only versus Cardiff have Tottenham won their first four Premier League games against a team without conceding a goal.
- Tottenham have won just one of their last six Premier League games (D1 L4), though it was their last such match, beating Crystal Palace 2-0.
- Huddersfield have lost nine of their last 10 away Premier League games (D1), with their only point in that time coming against fellow relegation strugglers Cardiff.
- Tottenham have played (57) and subsequently lost (13) more Premier League games against sides starting the day bottom of the table than any other side in the competition. Their last such defeat came in May 2018 at West Bromwich Albion.
- Since beating Man Utd 2-1 in October 2017, Huddersfield have lost 17 of their 19 Premier League games against ‘big six’ opponents (D2), including each of the last 10 in a row. However, their only two points in that run have come away from home (vs Chelsea and Man City in May 2018).
- 12 of Tottenham’s last 14 Premier League goals have been scored in the second half of games, including eight of their last nine at home.
- Tottenham striker Harry Kane has been directly involved in five goals in three Premier League appearances versus Huddersfield (four goals, one assist).
- Huddersfield goalkeeper Ben Hamer has conceded 17 goals in just six Premier League appearances this season, conceding a goal on average every 27 minutes.
BRIGHTON V BOURNEMOUTH
3pm Brighton are one of those sides who could get sucked into a battle for relegation if Cardiff can put a few wins together, and this is a superb chance to put a bit of extra distance between themselves and the bottom three. Bournemouth have been terrible away from home this season and they were also beaten 3-1 at home against Burnley last weekend. They have lost 14 of their 19 away Premier League games, and their most recent away win came against the lowly Huddersfield. Brighton have lost their last three games coming into this clash, however they have had to playing Manchester City and Chelsea back-to-back with both games coming away from home too. Prior to that they had been in good form and with Bournemouth terrible away record, we expect them to bounce back to winning ways here. The 2.34 on a home win looks good value – it’s hard to see Bournemouth’s away record changing any time soon.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Brighton to beat Bournemouth at 2.34.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBriBne
MATCH STATS
- Brighton are looking to win consecutive competitive matches against Bournemouth for the first time since January 2008, following their 3-1 win in the FA Cup third round in January.
- Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last nine league games against Brighton, winning five and drawing four.
- Brighton have lost only one of their last 14 home matches in all competitions against Bournemouth (W7 D6), losing 0-2 in April 2015 in the Championship.
- Brighton have lost three of their last five Premier League home games (W1 D1), as many as they had in their previous 17 at the Amex Stadium (W9 D5 L3).
- None of Bournemouth’s last 19 away league games have ended level (W5 L14), with the winning side netting at least two goals each time in those games.
- Bournemouth won six of their opening 10 Premier League games this season (D2 L2), taking them up to sixth in the table at the end of October. Since then, they’ve won just five of their 23 league games (D3 L15) with only relegated Fulham (17) and Huddersfield (18) losing more Premier League games than the Cherries since November.
- Only Fulham (44) have conceded more away Premier League goals this season than Bournemouth (37).
- Bournemouth’s Callum Wilson has scored in both of his league appearances against Brighton at the Amex stadium, netting two goals.
- Brighton striker Glenn Murray has failed to score in his last eight Premier League home games – he last had a longer goalless run at home in the English leagues (excluding play-offs) between October 2011-April 2012 with Crystal Palace (14 games).
- Bournemouth’s Ryan Fraser has provided more assists away from home than any other player in the Premier League this season (6), with the Scotsman setting up four of Bournemouth’s last eight goals on the road.
BURNLEY V CARDIFF
3pm This is a massive game towards the bottom of the table as Cardiff get desperate for points to close the gap between them and the pack. They go into the weekend five points of Southampton in 17th position and they really need to put some wins together and hope the others slip up. Burnley are just out of the danger zone on 36 points and they have hit form when it matters in recent weeks to shoot up the table. They have won their last two against Wolves and Bournemouth, and they look absolutely massive here at 1.94. Cardiff have lost five of their last six Premier League games and in general they have been a better side in front of their own fans rather than away from home. Burnley look at least twenty ticks too big at 1.94 and appeal as the best bet of the day in the Premier League.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Burnley to beat Cardiff at 1.94.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBurCar
MATCH STATS
- Burnley haven’t lost a home game against Cardiff since May 1988 (1-2), winning six and drawing eight since then.
- Cardiff haven’t lost consecutive matches against Burnley since the 1999-00 campaign in the third tier.
- Burnley manager Sean Dyce has never lost against Neil Warnock, winning four of his five matches against the Cardiff boss (D1).
- Burnley have won their last two Premier League games, each by a margin of two goals. The last time they won three in a row by 2+ goals in the top-flight was back in October 1968 (a run of four).
- Cardiff have lost five of their last six Premier League games (W1), with a victory against West Ham the only exception in that run.
- Burnley have lost just one of their last 14 Premier League games against sides starting the day in the relegation zone (W7 D6), though that loss was earlier this season against Fulham.
- Burnley’s Ashley Barnes has had a hand in four goals in three league starts against Cardiff (three goals, one assist), although his last goal against them came back in March 2012.
- Cardiff’s Victor Camarasa has scored two goals in his last three Premier League games, as many as he’d netted in his previous 21 in the competition.
- Ashley Barnes has scored 10 league goals for Burnley this season – only Danny Ings in 2014-15 (11) has netted more in a single Premier League campaign for the Clarets.
- Cardiff’s nine away league goals this season have been netted by eight different players, with Sol Bamba the only Bluebird to score more than once on the road.
FULHAM V EVERTON
3pm Fulham caretaker manager Scott Parker has already commented saying that the club are planning for next season in the Championship so it’s hard to know what to expect from them between now and the end of the Premier League season. The reality is that they just didn’t have the quality needed to be competitive in the Premier League and just as things were looking worrying for them; they went on their worst run of the season. They conceded way too many goals to get the points they needed and with Everton in good form coming into this game – we expect another loss for Fulham. Everton beat Arsenal 1-0 last weekend, and come into this game off three straight wins with the other two coming against West Ham and Chelsea. Fulham have lost 12 of their last 13 Premier League games, and have conceded at least twice in all 13. We can’t get away from Everton here at 1.79 which looks at least ten ticks too big against this Fulham side.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Everton to beat Fulham at 1.79.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQFulEve
MATCH STATS
- Fulham have failed to win any of their last 10 meetings with Everton in the Premier League (D2 L8); their longest winless run against the Toffees in league competition.
- After losing their first seven away Premier League games against Fulham, Everton have won three of their last six (D2 L1).
- Everton have lost only one of their last 19 Premier League away matches against newly promoted teams (W7 D11), losing versus Burnley in October 2016 (1-2).
- Already relegated Fulham have conceded at least twice in each of their last 13 Premier League games, losing 12 of them (W1). The only teams to have conceded 2+ goals in more consecutive top-flight matches are Manchester United (16 games from April- October 1930) and Newcastle United (14 games from May-October 1977).
- Everton are looking to win four consecutive Premier League games for the first time since September 2016.
- Everton have won three of their six away league games so far in 2019 (L3) – they only won four of their 18 on the road in the whole of 2018 (W4 D4 L10).
- Everton won their last league visit to London, beating West Ham 2-0. They’ve not won consecutive league games in the capital since May 2015.
- Fulham have had fewer different goalscorers (exc. own-goals) than any other side in the Premier League this season (9).
- Everton’s Gylfi Sigurdsson has scored four goals in four Premier League matches against Fulham, including netting twice in this season’s reverse fixture in September.
- Before joining Fulham, Ryan Babel had won all 11 Premier League games in which he scored. He’s since netted in three games for the Cottagers, losing all of them.
SOUTHAMPTON V WOLVES
3pm Wolves have to dust themselves off after a gutting extra-time loss to Watford in the FA Cup semi-final last weekend. They went into that game as the favourites and it would have been fairytale season for them to finish 7th and also reach the FA Cup final but it wasn’t to be. They can still finish 7th, but they have to finish the season strongly and that begins here. Southampton are fighting to stay in the Premier League with them sitting in 17th position coming into this game and we expect an excellent affair here. Southampton are actually hitting form as we come to the end of the season, they’ve only lost three of their last 12 games and they have won five of those games – which is actually just one off what they won for the whole of the 2018 season! The thing is though, they do look a little short at 2.64 – Wolves are having a great season and although last weekend would have hurt, they shouldn’t be underestimated here. We like the draw at 3.25 here – a Southampton lay was very tempting but we feel the draw offers a little more value.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Draw at 3.25.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQSthWol
MATCH STATS
- This will be just the second time Southampton will host Wolves in a Premier League match, with the only other such meeting coming in September 2003; Saints won 2-0 thanks to a James Beattie brace.
- After 17 matches without a victory (P17 W0 D7 L10), Wolves have beaten Southampton in each of their last four meetings in all competitions, keeping clean sheets in their most recent three.
- Only Aston Villa (42) and West Ham United (44) have lost more Premier League games against newly promoted sides than Southampton (37), who have lost five of their last six such matches (W1).
- Southampton have dropped a league-high 23 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season, 15 of which have come in games at St Mary’s.
- Southampton have won five of their 12 Premier League games so far in 2019 (D3 L4). They only won six in the whole of 2018 in the competition (P37 W6 D13 L18).
- Wolves haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last 12 Premier League away games, and are without a win in their last four on the road (D2 L2).
- Southampton striker Charlie Austin has scored in two of his three league appearances against Wolves (two goals), including in his last home match against them for Burnley back in November 2012.
- Wolves’ Raul Jimenez has been directly involved in 19 Premier League goals this season (12 goals, 7 assists). The last non-British/Irish player to record 20+ goal involvements for a promoted side in the competition was Peter Odemwingie for West Brom in 2010-11 (15 goals, 7 assists).
- Raul Jimenez has been directly involved in 48% of Wolves’ 40 Premier League goals this season (12 goals, 7 assists) – only Eden Hazard (49%) has been involved in a higher share of his teams goals.
- Southampton’s Shane Long scored just his second Premier League goal of the season in his 20th appearance against Liverpool last time out. He last scored in back-to-back games in the competition in May 2016.
MANCHESTER UNITED V WEST HAM
5.30pm We end the day with Manchester United hosting West Ham in a must win game for the Red Devils. They lost valuable ground in the race for a Top Four finish against Wolves in their last Premier League game and they simply can’t afford anymore slip ups. The honeymoon period for Solskjaer is definitely over with four losses in five games – two of these have came in the Premier League and they now sit back down in 6th. It’s great that Solakjaer gave them a chance of a Top Four finish as it looked unlikely, but they have to get back to winning ways quickly. West Ham have had a very up and down season and they have been tough to call. They’ve lost their last two coming into this clash and although they beat Huddersfield prior to that, they also conceded three times. We can see plenty of goals in this tie with both sides happy to play an open game. Over 2.5 goals is 1.58 and that looks worth backing – United look a little short at 1.42 in the match odds market, but not short enough to lay.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Over 2.5 goals at 1.58.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQMnuWhu
MATCH STATS
- After winning 11 out of 12 top-flight matches against West Ham between May 2008 and September 2014, Manchester United have only emerged victorious in two of their last eight such meetings (P8 W2 D4 L2).
- Following their 3-1 victory at the London Stadium in September, West Ham are looking to complete the league double over Manchester United for the first time since 2006-07 under manager Alan Curbishley.
- Only against Fulham (11), Leeds and Arsenal (both 12) are Manchester United on a longer unbeaten run at Old Trafford in the Premier League than against West Ham (10 – W8 D2).
- Manchester United have lost two of their last three Premier League games (W1), as many as they had in their previous 22 in the competition (W14 D6 L2).
- Manchester United are winless in their last four Premier League games immediately following a European fixture, losing at Man City, Liverpool and Arsenal and drawing at Southampton.
- West Ham United have lost six of their last seven Premier League away games (D1), failing to score in each defeat. The Hammers were unbeaten in five away games prior to this run (W3 D2).
- After winning away against Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City at the start of the 2015-16 season, West Ham are winless 19 away league games against ‘big six’ opposition (D6 L13), losing all four this season by an aggregate score of 1-10.
- Manchester United striker Romelu Lukaku has scored in his last five home games against West Ham in the Premier League (six goals); only four other players in the competition have netted in more successive home matches against a single opponent (Alan Shearer v Everton (6), Thierry Henry v Aston Villa (6), Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink v West Ham (6) and Sergio Aguero v Liverpool (7)).
- Of managers to have faced Man Utd at least five times in the Premier League, only Pep Guardiola (60%) has a higher winning ratio against the Red Devils than current West Ham boss Manuel Pellegrini (4/7 – 57.1%).
- Manchester United’s Paul Pogba has 11 goals and nine assists in the Premier League this season. One more assist will see him become the first Frenchman to record double figures for both in a single Premier League campaign since Thierry Henry in 2004-05.
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