PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We preview Saturday’s busy set of Premier League games starting with TOTTENHAM v WEST HAM at 12.30pm all with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended stats.
TOTTENHAM V WEST HAM
12.30pm Spurs would have been absolutely delighted to see the results of Manchester United, Arsenal and Chelsea after they lost to Manchester City at this time last week and now they are in a great position for a Top Four finish. It could have been a different story had they all won but it seems like nobody wanted the Top Four last weekend! This should be a tough London Derby for Spurs, as West Ham have played some good football at times this season and Spurs also have to massive Champions League semi-final coming up on Tuesday night too. The good news for Spurs fans is West Ham come into this fixture having lost seven of their last eight away Premier League games and although Spurs have had a tough run away from home recently – they have been rock solid at home. We expect a comfortable home win here and given West Ham have conceded two goals or more in all six of the recent games, we feel Spurs can cover the handicap here too. They’re currently 2.3 -1.5 goals which looks very good value to start the Saturday action!
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Tottenham -1.5 goals to beat West Ham at 2.3.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQTtmWes
MATCH STATS
- Tottenham are looking to complete their first league double over West Ham since the 2012-13 campaign, having won 1-0 at the London Stadium back in October.
- West Ham have only won one of their last 16 away league games against Spurs (D6 L9), picking up a 3-0 victory in October 2013 at White Hart Lane.
- Following a run of five consecutive home league clean sheets against West Ham, Spurs have conceded in each of their last six at home against the Hammers in the Premier League.
- This will be the 12th different campaign in which Tottenham and West Ham have met at least three times in all competitions – Spurs have won both games so far, but have never beaten the Hammers three times in the same season before.
- Only Chelsea (22) have earned more points in Premier League London derbies than Spurs this season (19), with Mauricio Pochettino’s side winning three of their four at home (D1).
- Following an unbeaten run of five games away from home (W3 D2), West Ham have lost seven of their last eight on the road in the Premier League (D1), including each of the last four. They last lost five away league games in a row in January 2014.
- West Ham have lost their last six away league games against ‘big six’ opposition by an aggregate score of 3-16. Indeed, they’re winless in 20 such matches (D6 L14) since a 2-1 win at Man City in September 2015.
- West Ham have conceded at least twice in their last six Premier League games – they’ve never shipped 2+ goals in seven consecutive games in the competition, last doing so in the top-flight between November 1970-February 1971 (10 games).
- Only Arsenal (11) have had more different goalscorers in Premier League London derbies this season than Tottenham (10), with Harry Kane (4), Dele Alli (2) and Son Heung-min (2) the only players to score more than once for the club in such fixtures.
- Mark Noble and Felipe Anderson are the only West Ham players to have scored away from home in the Premier League in 2019. The Hammers have scored fewer goals on the road than any other side in the competition since the turn of the year (2).
CRYSTAL PALACE V EVERTON
3pm Everton arrive here after dishing out a 4-0 win over Manchester United last weekend and while much of the talk was about how poor United were; let’s not forget Everton have beaten United, Arsenal and Chelsea within their last five games. Those games have all came at Goodison Park however; and in between that superb run at home they have been beaten 2-0 away against Fulham – who have been poor this season, and they also got beat 3-2 away against Newcastle recently too. The good news for Everton fans though is Palace have been woeful at home this season – only Huddersfield have recorded less points in front of their own fans this season. It’s been a totally different story away from home, they even beat Arsenal 3-2 last weekend. It’s hard to expect anything other than a very close game here and perhaps the best play is the draw at 3.45 – Everton aren’t as good away from home and Palace aren’t that good at home – we can see a stalemate here and it’s worth backing at the odds.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Draw at 3.45.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQCrlEve
MATCH STATS
- Crystal Palace are winless in their last eight Premier League meetings with Everton (D4 L4) since a 3-2 win at Goodison Park in September 2014.
- Everton are unbeaten in their last seven away games against Crystal Palace in the Premier League (W4 D3), with their last defeat against them at Selhurst Park coming in October 1994.
- Crystal Palace have alternated between victory and defeat in their last nine Premier League games, winning 3-2 at Arsenal last time out.
- Only Huddersfield (8) have won fewer home points in the Premier League this season than Crystal Palace (16). Indeed, the Eagles have won 10 points more on the road (26) than they have at Selhurst Park this season (16), the biggest such difference in the competition.
- Everton have won four of their last five Premier League games (L1), as many as they had in their previous 17 (W4 D3 L10). They’ve kept a clean sheet in each victory, losing their last eight games in a row in which they’ve conceded at least once.
- Everton have won four points from their four Premier League games in London this season (W1 D1 L2). They last won more points in the capital in the 2014-15 campaign (W3 D0 L3).
- Crystal Palace’s Christian Benteke netted his first Premier League goal of the season last time out against Arsenal – the Belgian last netted in back-to-back games in April 2017.
- Everton’s Gylfi Sigurdsson has been involved in seven Premier League goals against Crystal Palace (3 goals, 4 assists), only against Manchester United (9) has he been involved in more in the competition.
- Luka Milivojevic has scored 50% of Crystal Palace’s home Premier League goals this season (7/14). The Serbian is the only Palace player to score more than once at Selhurst Park this term.
- Crystal Palace’s Wilfried Zaha has scored nine Premier League goals this season – he’s never reached double figures in a single top-flight campaign before. However, eight of his nine goals this term have come away from home.
FULHAM V CARDIFF
3pm Every game is absolutely massive for Cardiff at the moment and while they may have seen this fixture as a good chance to get three points a couple of weeks ago; Fulham have won their last two against Bournemouth and Everton so it seems that they are playing a little better since relegation was confirmed. Cardiff need to win and hope Brighton lose when hosting Newcastle later on today and then they will be level on points – a loss for Cardiff here and a win for Brighton would be a huge blow. Cardiff may have lost seven of their last nine league games but Fulham look a bit short here at 2.46 – the home side may be playing with a bit of freedom now their fate has been sealed but Cardiff are playing for their lives and we expect the away side to make the match closer than odds of 2.46 suggest on Fulham. There’s no doubt Fulham have been poor this season, as have Cardiff, but we’re happy to lay the 2.46 from a value point of view.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Fulham at 2.46.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQFulCar
MATCH STATS
- Fulham have lost just one of their last eight meetings with Cardiff in all competitions (W3 D4), though it was the reverse fixture back in October (2-4).
- Cardiff have won all three of their Premier League meetings with Fulham, picking up a 2-1 victory in their only previous visit to Craven Cottage in the competition.
- The home side hasn’t lost any of the last 23 Premier League meetings between two promoted clubs (W15 D8), since Leicester won 1-0 at Burnley in April 2015. The last seven sides to win away at a fellow promoted side have all avoided relegation.
- Cardiff have lost nine of their 11 previous Premier League games in London (W1 D1 L9), with their only victory in the capital coming at Fulham in September 2013.
- Fulham have won their last two Premier League games, last winning three in a row in the competition back in March 2012 under Martin Jol.
- Fulham have kept a clean sheet in their last two Premier League games, as many as they had in their previous 37 games in the competition.
- Cardiff have lost seven of their last nine league games (W2), conceding at least twice in each loss while keeping a clean sheet in both wins.
- Cardiff are looking to secure back-to-back top-flight away wins for the first time since February 1957, having won at Brighton in their last game on the road.
- Aleksandar Mitrovic has scored the winning goal in five of Fulham’s six Premier League victories this season. The Serbian has scored the highest percentage of his side’s winners among all players in the competition this season (83%).
- Cardiff’s Bobby Reid has scored in each of his four league starts against Fulham in the league, also providing an assist in the Bluebirds’ 4-2 win in the reverse fixture in October. In fact, against no side has he scored more league goals than he has against Fulham (4).
SOUTHAMPTON V BOURNEMOUTH
3pm Southampton are one of those sides who could be dragged into a relegation battle on the last day, but lots of results would have to go massively against them. They control their own fate as they sit three points ahead of Brighton and six ahead of Cardiff; but as we all know – things can change quickly in the Premier League. They have been finishing the season very strongly – they’ve won three of their last four games here; as many as they had won in the previous 24! Bournemouth recently had nine away losses in the league but they have won two of their last three away of home – including a 5-0 win at Brighton. It’s fair to say that Brighton have been very poor this season, and Bournemouth did lose against Fulham last weekend too. We feel that Southampton have great momentum here and they can notch up another win at home and seal their place in the Premier League next season – they look worth backing at 1.95.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Southampton to beat Bournemouth at 1.95.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQSthBne
MATCH STATS
- Southampton have lost just one of their last 11 meetings with Bournemouth in all competitions (W6 D4), a 0-2 loss in March 2016.
- Bournemouth have never won away against Southampton in any competition, drawing five and losing nine of their 14 meetings.
- Southampton have won three of their last four home league games, as many as they had in their previous 24 at St Mary’s (W3 D11 L10).
- Southampton have scored at least once in their last 12 Premier League home games – only Man City (19), Arsenal (17) and Liverpool (13) are enjoying a longer such run in the competition.
- After a run of nine consecutive away league defeats, Bournemouth have won two of their last three on the road. The Cherries’ last away game saw them pick up their biggest ever top-flight away win (5-0 vs Brighton).
- None of Bournemouth’s last 20 away league games has ended in a draw (W6 L14), with the winning side netting at least twice every time.
- In the last five Premier League games in which he’s scored, Bournemouth’s Ryan Fraser has also provided at least one assist – the longest such run in the competition’s history.
- Southampton’s Danny Ings has only scored in one of his last eight home league appearances, scoring twice in Saints’ 3-2 win against Arsenal in December.
- Southampton’s Shane Long has scored in his last two home appearances in the Premier League, having netted in just one of his previous 32. He’s never scored in three successive home games in the competition before.
- Just two of Bournemouth striker Josh King’s 11 Premier League goals this season have come away from home, with the Norwegian’s last seven coming at home.
WATFORD V WOLVES
3pm This fixture will bring back some bad memories for Wolves, who lost to Watford in the FA Cup semi-final. That results seemed to have really hurt them as they lost to Southampton and drew with Brighton afterwards; however they got back to winning ways on Wednesday night against Arsenal. As we all know though, Arsenal have been poor away from home lately. It’s hard to see anything other than a very close game here, as we seen in the FA Cup semi-final. Both sides are only separated by one point in the league table and will be very keen to finish seventh behind the Big Six as they are called now. Wolves will want revenge for the semi-final defeat and perhaps Watford will start to have one eye on the FA Cup Final. We feel that Wolves should be a few ticks shorter than the current 3.0 – Watford failed to beat Southampton here on Tuesday and Huddersfield also scored against them last weekend (they did manage to win 2-1 however) but we can see Wolves making 3.0 look pretty big here and we’re happy to back them from a value point of view.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Wolves to beat Watford at 3.0.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWatWls
MATCH STATS
- In the 19th different campaign in which they’ve met, Watford are looking to do the league double over Wolves for just the second time, also doing so in 2007-08.
- Wolves have won two of their last three away league games against Watford (L1), as many as they had in their previous 15 at Vicarage Road (W2 D5 L8).
- Watford have won both meetings with Wolves in all competitions this season, once in the league and in the FA Cup semi-final. They’ve never won three in a row against Wolves before.
- Watford have lost just one of their last 11 home Premier League games against promoted sides (W6 D4), winning the last three in a row.
- Wolves haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last 13 Premier League away games, the longest current run in the competition. They had kept two clean sheets in their first four league games on the road this season.
- Wolves are winless in their last five Premier League away games (D2 L3), having won three of their five on the road previously.
- Troy Deeney has scored in three of his five previous meetings with Wolves for Watford in all competitions, including finding the net in each of his last two against them.
- Raul Jimenez has been directly involved in 41% of Wolves’ 17 away Premier League goals this season (4 goals, 3 assists), netting three of their last five on the road.
- Gerard Deulofeu has been involved in 10 goals in his last 10 games in all competitions for Watford (8 goals, 2 assists). However, he’s not scored in any of his last eight at Vicarage Road, since netting against Cardiff in December.
- Andre Gray has scored four goals in his last six home games for Watford in all competitions, having netted just three in his first 23 appearances at Vicarage Road for the Hornets.
BRIGHTON V NEWCASTLE
5.30pm You have to wonder do teams check the results when a game ends so close to their kick off time? Surely they do! Brighton will have to have one eye on Cardiff’s game with Fulham today as a win for Cardiff would put them level on points with Brighton. This is a huge game for the home side; as all games are at this stage of the season when you’re fighting to stay up. Cardiff recently beat Brighton 2-0 here and you’d have to worry that they’ve lost their last three games here; is the pressure getting to them? Newcastle are always well set up and given the lack of goals in this Brighton side it’s hard to see why they’re trading as short as 2.38. Brighton have failed to find the net in their last six games in all competitions and we simply can’t have them at this price given their run of form – at 2.38 they look like the best value lay of the weekend in the Premier League.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Brighton at 2.38.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBriNwc
MATCH STATS
- Brighton are looking to complete the league double over Newcastle for the first time since the 1978-79 second tier campaign, following their 1-0 win at St James’ Park in October.
- Newcastle have failed to score in all three of their Premier League meetings with Brighton, losing 0-1 twice and drawing the other 0-0.
- Newcastle have only won one of their last 10 Premier League away games on the south coast (D4 L5), beating Bournemouth 1-0 in November 2015. Their last four such games have all ended in a draw.
- Brighton have lost their last three home Premier League games, scoring none and conceding eight. They’ve not lost four league games in a row at home since January 2009 when they were in League One.
- Brighton have failed to score more than once in their last 10 home Premier League games, failing to find the net at all in five of their last seven and the last three in a row at the Amex Stadium.
- Newcastle’s win at Leicester in their last away match ended a run of eight consecutive away league games without a win (D3 L5). They last won consecutive matches on the road back in January 2018.
- Glenn Murray has failed to score in his last 10 Premier League home games for Brighton, last netting at the Amex Stadium back in December.
- Newcastle’s Ayoze Perez has scored six goals in his last six Premier League games, as many as he had in his previous 30 in the competition.
- Newcastle’s Salomon Rondon has scored nine Premier League goals this season – he’s never reached double figures in a season in the competition before.
- Ayoze Perez (10) and Salomon Rondon (9) are Newcastle’s highest Premier League goalscorers this season. The last time two Newcastle players scored 10+ goals in a single top-flight campaign was 2011-12 (Demba Ba and Papiss Cisse).
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