LONGCHAMP SUPERNAP IS A STAR TURN, SAYS DAQMAN: There’s no Brexit for Daqman today! Racing knows no boundaries and he’s touring Europe, taking in England, France and Ireland in the search for winners. He’s convinced there’s an Andre Fabre star turn at Longchamp, deserving of a supernap. These extra-stakes best bets are currently three out of four.
QUALITY RACING FESTIVALS IN BETDAQ TIPS NEXT WEEK: Tomorrow Daqman sets the scene for a the Punchestown festival and the Newmarket Guineas meeting. It’s all quality racing, with quality assessment and big value betting opportunities on BETDAQ.
EXCLUSIVE: NOT ALL EXCLUSIVITY
2.00 Salisbury A busy eight race card on Sunday kicks off with a class 3 fillies race for two-year-olds. All eyes will be on Exclusively after she justified favouritism to make a winning debut at Redcar earlier in the month – the runner-up has won since – so the form looks pretty good already.
However, Salisbury heats are usually tougher than Redcar and she does have a penalty to defy – so there may be some BETDAQ value elsewhere. In any event I wouldn’t be rushing in at odds-on (1.91 time of writing) in a field with interesting debutants including Love Love who is trained by Richard Hannon who has an exceptional record in this race winning it four years in a row 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016. Love Love cost the princely sum of 600,000 guineas so he may well have targeted a decent early season sort for this prize once again.
I’ll take a chance though with Good Vibes, who although finished a five length runner-up to the odds-on Chasing Dreams at Newmarket, still had the rest of the field well strung out and she got better as the race went on. The Godolphin owned winner of the race could well be out of the top drawer and the form may already be quite decent.
VERSATILE, FAST! ITS MORGAN MAGIC
2.50 Longchamp (Prix Allez France) With 11 winners in a fortnight, and form in the last five days of 123111101, Andre Fabre is clearly the man to follow at Longchamp today.
He has two in the Ganay but first stop with a Group horse is the Prix Allez France for fillies and mares, named after the 1974 Arc winner who was the Enable of her day.
His stayer Morgan le Faye was suddenly dropped from third placings in the Cup races of Cadran (2m 4f) and Royal Oak (1m 7f) in the autumn to a Listed 10-furlong start to the season here at Longchamp.
She showed amazing versatility, and breathtaking nerve by the ever-adventurous Mickael Barzalona. Waited with; hampered two out; smooth headway to lead last 150 yards and go clear in faster than average time.
She remains at that trip to bid for this Group-3 prize by repeating her reappearance dominance of Shahnaza and Lady Sidney.
The lightly-raced grey, Lunch Lady is interesting. So, too, William Haggas’s Dramatic Queen, who also steps down from longer distances. But her back-to-back wins in the autumn were both on AW.
JUST ABOUT GHAIYYATH’S GANAY..
3.25 Longchamp (Prix Ganay) Allez France won this twice, and it’s been a strong Group 1 year on year between Mill Reef (1972) and Cracksman (2018).
Today has a small field but a quality one. Prix Jean Prat (Group 1) winner Intellogent – scoring that day for this column – was only five-lengths third to the Godolphin horse, Ghaiyyath (made all; impressive), on their seasonal debut in the Harcourt.
Ghaiyyath is the improver, while Waldgeist is the hidden horse. Hidden where? Answer: in the shadow of Enable, fourth and fifth behind her in the Arc and then the Breeders Cup.
The Ganay is a few yards more than 1m 2f, when Waldgeist’s winning form in senior races is all over 1m 4f, in fact four in a row on good, good to soft and soft.
But Andre Fabre has put Soleil Marin in the tactical mix, the gelding that finished second in Ghaiyyath’s prep race, running on from the rear when Ghaiyyath made all.
A hot quintet is completed by the French Derby winner Study Of Man, who goes well fresh for Pascal Bary. You have to call Ghaiyyath but they’re likely to make it as difficult for him as possible.
DERBY ENTRANT HANDICAP DEBUT
3.35 Salisbury Htilominlo starts handicap life on what I think could be a competitive mark.
The Sylvester Kirk trained runner is a steady improver and ran his best race yet at Kempton last time out when a 20/1 third in a novice event.
The step up in trip should suit. Interestingly, he holds an Epsom Derby entry and whilst that might prove overly ambitious, it perhaps gives an indication of how much he is thought of at home.
IT ALL ADDS UP TO TARNAWA
3.40 Navan (Salsabil Stakes) Only Listed level so a lure to the black-type-hungry breeder, but it produced summer-ground Group-2 winner Bocca Baciata in 2015 and Group-3 Munster Oaks scorer Pretty Perfect the following year.
Aidan O’Brien, who has saddled three winners since 2012, aims three arrows at this target from the Navan oche this afternoon.
The Camelot filly Pink Dogwood has her Epsom Oaks prep – she’s one of those at the front of the market – while Credenza brings experience to the table and Chablis just one run (one win).
Chablis, a sister to 107-rated The Pentagon, traveled well to score from a big field on her debut but has an outside stall (10) today.
Three factors make me fancy Tarnawa. She’s had a race this season (an impressive win at that). She’s got stamina, which means she should cope with today’s stiff finish. She’s got the one draw, and stalls 1, 2 and 3 have won this five times in the last six seasons.
A HERITAGE HANDICAP
5.10 Salisbury Heritage holds Star Of War on a Newmarket maiden race and like so many of Clive Cox’s runners could be a progressive sort. She ran well here on her second start – chasing home Manuela De Vega and now starts off in handicap company on her fourth career start.
Ice Gala is favourite with Listed form to her name but her only career win so far has come on soft ground.
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.00 Salisbury (win 20)
BET 4pts win GOOD VIBES
2.50 Longchamp (supernap)
BET 20pts win MORGAN LE FAYE
3.35 Salisbury (win 20)
BET 4pts win HTILOMINLO
3.40 Navan (win 20)
BET 5pts win TARNAWA
5.10 Salisbury (win 20)
BET 2.85pts win HERITAGE
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