PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We preview Saturday’s Premier League games with recommended BETDAQ bets and extended stats.
BOURNEMOUTH V TOTTENHAM
12.30pm It’s the last Saturday of the Premier League season and we have an action packed day ahead! We start with Spurs traveling to take on Bournemouth as the battle for a Top Four finish continues. Spurs would have been gutted to lose their Champions League semi-final against Ajax during the week and it’s fair to say that they will have one eye on that tie on Wednesday night too. Given the poor results of Chelsea, Arsenal and United they have a little cushion to work with; but they simply can’t afford to lose their last two games. Bournemouth have consistently come up short against the Top Six in the Premier League and they come into this fixture without a win in their last five home games. While Spurs may be focused on the Champions League; a win here would put them in the Top Four and with the amount of away results they have grinded out in games like this all season – we’re happy to back them at 1.94 which looks at least ten ticks too big.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Tottenham to beat Bournemouth at 1.94.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBneTot
MATCH STATS
- Bournemouth have lost six of their seven Premier League meetings with Spurs (D1), netting just two goals in those matches.
- Tottenham have won two of their three Premier League away games against Bournemouth, winning 5-1 in 2015-16 and 4-1 last term. The other match finished 0-0.
- Tottenham average 3.1 goals-per-game in the Premier League against Bournemouth (22 goals in seven games), their best such record against any side in the competition.
- Bournemouth are winless in five Premier League home games (D2 L3), losing the last two in a row. They last lost three consecutively at the Vitality Stadium in April 2016.
- Bournemouth have never lost their last home Premier League game of the season, drawing one and winning twice. The last time they lost their final home game in a league campaign was in 2010-11 in League One (1-2 vs Rochdale).
- Until the end of January, Tottenham had won more away games (11), more away points (33) and scored more away goals (30) than any other Premier League side this season. Since then, they’re one of just two sides not to earn a single point on the road along with Huddersfield (L5).
- Tottenham have lost 12 Premier League games this season, last losing more in a single campaign in 2008-09 (15). Only two teams have ever lost more than 12 Premier League games and still finished in the top four – Chelsea in 1997-98 (15) and Everton in 2004-05 (13).
- Tottenham’s Son Heung-min has scored five goals in his last four Premier League games against Bournemouth – against no side has he scored more in the competition (also five vs Watford).
- Christian Eriksen has either scored or assisted a goal in six of Tottenham’s seven previous Premier League meetings with Bournemouth (3 goals, 4 assists). The only game in which he didn’t ended 0-0 in October 2016.
- Bournemouth’s Callum Wilson has been directly involved in 10 goals in his last nine Premier League games, scoring six and assisting four.
WEST HAM V SOUTHAMPTON
3pm Southampton have really finished the season strongly and they can enjoy their last two games now that they are safe. The one big difference that seems to have turned their season around is they are now scoring goals and this should be a very good game. It’s hard to see anything but an open and attacking game here with both sides effectively having nothing to play for; they can enjoy their football. West Ham went to Spurs and won last week; however they were without a win in four heading into that fixture – having lost three of those games! That just about sums up West Ham this season; they have been predictably unpredictable! We expect this to be an entertaining game with plenty of goals. Southampton seen six goals in their fixture last weekend and the away side have scored in their last nine Premier League games. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.7 and that looks cracking value with both sides being able to play with freedom.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Over 2.5 goals at 1.7.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWhuSth
MATCH STATS
- West Ham are looking to do the Premier League double over Southampton for the first time since the 2000-01 campaign, following their 2-1 win at St Mary’s earlier this season.
- Southampton have lost three of their last four Premier League meetings with West Ham (W1), as many as they had in their previous 12 against them (W5 D4 L3).
- None of the last 15 Premier League meetings between West Ham and Southampton in London have been drawn, with West Ham winning 11 to Southampton’s four.
- West Ham have come from behind to win in seven different Premier League games against Southampton, more than they have versus any other side.
- West Ham have won just one of their last five Premier League games (D1 L3), though it did come last time out at Spurs. They’ve not won back-to-back league games since a run of four in December.
- Southampton have scored in each of their last nine Premier League games – they last found the net in 10 consecutive top-flight matches between September-December 2002 under Gordon Strachan (a run of 12).
- 24 of Southampton’s 36 Premier League games have seen both teams score this season – only Manchester United (25) have had this happen in more.
- A different West Ham player has scored a brace in each of their last three Premier League meetings with Southampton (Javier Hernandez, Marko Arnautovic and Felipe Anderson).
- West Ham’s Michail Antonio is looking to score in three consecutive Premier League matches for the first time since September 2016.
- Shane Long has scored in four of his last five Premier League games for Southampton. On three of those occasions he’s netted the opening goal of the game, but Saints haven’t gone on to win any of them (D2 L1).
WOLVES V FULHAM
3pm What can you say about Fulham? They arrive here having won their last three and it seems like being relegated has given them new life. It’s always a strange thing but it happens quite often when players relax and the pressure goes, or they’re trying to keep their place at the club for next season – or hoping some other Premier League club buys them! Wolves come into this fixture unbeaten in their last seven home Premier League games and apart from the few games after they were knocked out of the FA Cup by Watford; they have been impressive. Having said that – the home side look very short here at 1.58 – there’s no doubt that they have been excellent this season but we fully expect this Fulham side to make the match a lot closer than odds of 1.58 on Wolves suggest. They are playing with new life for the last few weeks and from a value point of view, we’re happy to lay the home side.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Wolves at 1.58.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWolFul
MATCH STATS
- Wolves have lost none of their last 14 home meetings with Fulham in all competitions (W10 D4), since a 0-4 loss in the second tier in April 1985.
- In the Premier League, Fulham have lost three of their four meetings with Wolves at Molineux (D1), conceding exactly twice in each defeat.
- Wolves have won 15 Premier League games this season, with the last promoted side to win more in a Premier League campaign being Reading in 2006-07 (16).
- Wolves are unbeaten in seven Premier League home games (W5 D2), since a 0-2 loss against Crystal Palace in their first match of 2019.
- Already relegated Fulham have won three consecutive Premier League games without conceding a single goal. They last won four top-flight games in a row in April 1966 (a run of five).
- Fulham have won as many points in their last three Premier League games (9) as they had in their previous 20 in the competition (W2 D3 L15).
- Fulham’s Ryan Sessegnon has scored in his last two league meetings with Wolves, though both of these games have been at Craven Cottage.
- Aleksandar Mitrovic has been involved in 36.3% of Fulham’s 432 total shots in the Premier League this season (127 shots, 30 chances created), the highest ratio of any player in the division.
- 80% of Diogo Jota’s goals in all competitions for Wolves this season have come at home (8/10). Indeed, the Portuguese has scored seven goals in his last eight appearances at Molineux.
- Fulham’s Ryan Babel has scored five Premier League goals this season, his best ever return in the competition. Indeed, 29% of his total goals in the competition have come in his 14 appearances for the Cottagers (5/17).
CARDIFF V CRYSTAL PALACE
5.30pm Losing against Fulham last weekend would have been a massive blow to Cardiff; however with Brighton having such a tough run-in – they still have a chance to stay up. They simply have to win both games and hope Brighton lose, and that starts this evening. The problem for Cardiff though is Crystal Palace have been excellent away from home this season and their form shows no sign of stopping with a 3-2 win over Arsenal away from home very recently. We all know Arsenal haven’t been playing great, but they are a good side at home and Palace impressed when scoring three goals. Cardiff come into this game having lost eight of their last ten Premier League games and although we might see a lot of punters back them because of the ‘need to win’ feeling; we feel they look very short here at 2.64. In 2019 only Manchester City have won more points away from home than Crystal Palace and we’re very happy to lay the home side here at 2.64. Palace are worth backing for the brave punters out there at 2.74, but the Cardiff lay at 2.64 is the best lay of the Premier League this weekend.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Cardiff at 2.64.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQCarCry
MATCH STATS
- Cardiff have failed to score in all three of their Premier League meetings with Crystal Palace, losing twice and drawing the other.
- Crystal Palace have only won one of their last nine away league games against Cardiff (D4 L4), though it was their last such match in April 2014 (3-0).
- Defeat for Cardiff will see them relegated back to the Championship. They would be the only team to play in more than one Premier League season and be relegated in 100% of them.
- Cardiff have lost eight of their last 10 Premier League games, with victories against West Ham and Brighton the only exceptions in that run.
- Since the turn of the year, only Manchester City (21) have won more away points in the Premier League than Crystal Palace (16). The Eagles have won four of their last five on the road, losing only at Spurs in that run.
- Crystal Palace have kept a clean sheet in their last four away league games against promoted sides (W3 D1), winning each of the last three by a 2-0 scoreline.
- Only Huddersfield Town (14) have lost more home league games than Cardiff this season (10).
- Since his first season as a Football League manager in 1987, Cardiff manager Neil Warnock has won 13 of his 25 meetings with Crystal Palace in all competitions – the only sides he’s beaten more in his managerial career in England are Preston and Wolves (14 each).
- If Cardiff lose and are relegated it will be manager Neil Warnock’s third relegation from the top-flight, with each one coming with a different club in a different decade (Notts County 1991-92, Sheffield United 2006-07).
- Crystal Palace’s Wilfried Zaha has scored five goals in his last six away league games. Indeed, eight of his nine strikes in total this season have come on the road.
NEWCASTLE V LIVERPOOL
7.45pm Liverpool must dust themselves off after a 3-0 loss away to Barcelona midweek and bounce back with a win here. They have been simply incredible this season, however they still need Manchester City to slip up in one of their two games remaining to claim the Premier League title. Rafa Benitez would love to stop Liverpool in their tracks here and we expect him to set his side up to defend and hopefully frustrate Liverpool. However those tactics haven’t worked for any side this season and it’s hard to see anything other than a smooth Liverpool win here. They arrive into this fixture having won their last seven Premier League matches under immense pressure and they will continue that winning run here. Given that they have scored 20 goals in those seven games, we like them to cover the 1.5 goals handicap which looks great value at 2.1.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Liverpool -1.5 goals to beat Newcastle at 2.1.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQNwcLiv
MATCH STATS
- Newcastle United have only lost one of their last seven home Premier League games against Liverpool (0-6 in April 2013), winning four and drawing the other two.
- Liverpool have won their last two Premier League games against Newcastle – they haven’t won three in a row against them since a run of four between November 2007 and May 2009.
- Liverpool have lost 10 away Premier League games against Newcastle, only losing more against Man Utd (16), Chelsea (14) and Spurs (12).
- Newcastle have won their last four home league matches in the month of May, scoring 13 goals and conceding just once.
- Newcastle have won six of their last seven Premier League home games, netting at least twice in each victory (L1).
- Liverpool have won their last seven Premier League matches, scoring 20 goals and conceding five. The Reds are on the longest current unbeaten run in the Premier League (15 games, W11 D4).
- Newcastle manager Rafael Benitez has only faced Birmingham City (8) more often in the Premier League without winning than he has versus former side Liverpool (P5 W0 D3 L2).
- Newcastle’s Ayoze Perez has scored in three consecutive Premier League games, netting five goals in total. Indeed, he’s scored seven goals in his last seven games in the competition, as many as he had in his previous 33.
- After a run of six Premier League games without a goal, Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah has scored four in his last four in the competition.
- Liverpool defender Andrew Robertson has provided 11 Premier League assists this season – no defender has ever supplied more in a single campaign in the competition. The Scotsman has provided the most assists of any player not to score themselves in the Premier League this season.
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