LA LIGA MONDAY: Our new European football tipster The Ultra previews LEVANTE v SEVILLA and REAL BETIS v GRANADA on Monday with recommended BETDAQ bets.
The Ultra is a professional football trader with over ten years experience betting on European football. He has gladly agreed to do a weekly column on BETDAQ Tips where you can get all his latest bets.
The Ultra has a staking system between one and five points, with five points for only his most confident bets in Europe. He loves looking at the stats before each game and especially enjoys using xG (Expected Goals) to make a profit.
LEVANTE V SEVILLA
6.30pm Football keeps coming! Isn’t it fantastic to have a full fixture list? We kick off Monday evening with two games in La Liga after an excellent few days. I landed my Sevilla bet when La Liga returned, however they didn’t overly impress me – it was more a case of how bad Real Betis were and Sevilla were justified 2-0 winners with an xG of 2.23 to 0.49. Levante drop down a lot of places in the La Liga table on xG and I can see a dull affair here.
I expect Sevilla to win however I think under 2.5 goals offers a lot of value at 2.26 on BETDAQ Exchange. Sevilla are trading 1.63 and that offers a shade of value too. Levante have only conceded 12 times at home in 13 games, and although xG is nearly double that – Sevilla have only conceded 16 away from home in 14 matches. They’ve only scored 20 too, not far off xG and I fail to see why over 2.5 goals is odds on here. This game is primed for a 1-0 or 2-0 Sevilla win and I’m very happy with 2.26 on unders.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 2.26 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQLevSev
REAL BETIS V GRANADA
9pm Granada returned with a well-deserved win last Friday at home to Getafe and I’m very surprised by the Real Betis price here. They only generated an xG of 0.49 against Sevilla on Thursday night and they haven’t been setting the world on fire at home. The big factor as to why they are so short is Granada’s home form, however as we have seen with the games behind closed doors this isn’t as big a worry as it was with crowds. Granada have been performing consistently with xG and are a couple of places ahead of Real Betis. Both sides are more or less where they deserve to be, give or take one position in La Liga.
A major problem for Granada has been their goal scoring away from home. They’ve only scored 17 goals in 14 games – in line with xG too. Betis have put in some solid performances against the big sides here, but their overall approach doesn’t make them 2.06 here in my view. That prices feels like a great value lay and I fully expect the match not to reflect those odds. No crowd is a big element here that will help Granada and hinder Betis, I’m happy to lay the home win.
The Ultra Says:
Two points (liability) lay Real Betis at 2.06 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQBetGra
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