DAQMAN TAKES 244-POINT LEAD ON TO GREAT DOUBLE BILL: Daqman kept up his winner-a-day sequence yesterday with Whelans Way (WON 2-1) but close finishes went against him including a 17-2 third. Today is a double bill with bets at big BETDAQ value: 20.0, 15.0, 13.0 (twice), 11.0 and 10.0, some of them designed to boost Daqman’s 244.50-point lead over Pricewise (winners score 16-6).
➡️ YORK: The Fortune Cookie we’ve been waiting for at the May meeting in July!
➡️ NEWMARKET: July Meeting for three days with the first Group tests for 2yo.
Headlines
🔹 GABRIAL IS THE ONE AT BETDAQ 13.0
🔹 CLASSIC WINNER LOVE LOOKS VALUE
🔹 O’BRIEN’S JULY STAKES ACE TO PLAY
GABRIAL IS THE ONE AT BETDAQ 13.0
⭕ 12.55 York Fans of the draw will find that this (1m 4f) is generally a trip too far for the low numbers: winners by stall in the last decade, 17, 19, 2, 19, 14, 14, 12, 10, 9, 7. However, just 12 runners here, with four-year-olds 8-10, and showers about.
I’m laying the favourite, top-weight Fox Vardy. A quirky sort, unlikely to put two wins together, and Sandret has not raced beyond 1m 2f.
Any showers will help Cockalorum (BETDAQ 10.0). He is another untried at this trip, though good second in a big field for this grade here at York in the autumn (1m 2.5f).
Sweet Celebration is 3-4. All on AW yet putting her turf mark up 12lb since she was second here at York almost a year ago. Purdeys Gift has also won only on AW
Dark Lochnagar is 1-14 since the start of 2019 and that win was at Chester, which doesn’t suggest that York is the ideal setting for a comeback.
On the other hand, Gabrial The One (13.0), whom he beat at Chester, may have been there a little bit under sufferance as a player for Dr Marwan Koukash.
With Chester cancelled, Gabriel came into his own over todays’ trip at Newcastle and Thirsk, prepping for York today instead of the Koukash holy ground of the Roodeye, with stablemate Sootability from the one stall potential for a strong pace.
⭕ 2.05 York The stands’ side of the group in the V formation down the centre of the track invariably wins this. Stalls 6, 7 and 9 are eight out of 10.
That’s where you’ll find the early 2.5 favourite, Queen Mary fourth Sardinia Sunset (from 7), and Miss Nay Never (9), whose name betrays her lineage from the sire of Wichita and Ten Sovereigns, and whose trainer, John Quinn, is in fine form.
Snag is both like to get on with it and, with Miss Nay Never (11.0 offers) dropped back to the minimum trip, it could be a humdinger. Your chance to practice some in-running deferment.
CLASSIC WINNER LOVE LOOKS VALUE
⭕ 2.40 York (Musidora Stakes) Usually a sighter for the Oaks, but rarely with the actual star herself on parade, nor does it belie its Group-3 status again today. John Gosden has won it five times in nine years.
Unfortunately we have lost his original number-one, Franconia (Fortune Cookie), so Frankie Dettori switches to Ricetta.
Ricetta is a Camelot filly related down the dam’s line to Kingman and could be a more than able deputy, despite a 19lb deficit to Pocket Square in the ratings.
Gosden should know all about Pocket Square. He ran up to her at Deauville with Run Wild in the autumn.
UAE Guineas winner in Meydan, Dubai Love is consistent and was a smart third in the Sandringham at Royal Ascot, giving absolute lumps of weight to the first two. Tricky one but 4.5 Dubai Love probably the value.
⭕ 3.15 York (Dante Stakes) John Gosden’s Dante winners were stars: Benny The Dip, Golden Horn, Roaring Lion.. but the Derby has been and gone, stolen by that whispering lion, Aidan O’Brien.
Gosden fears for the breed in the ‘danger of the great race turning into an event for National Hunt sires,’ after that Epsom runaway.
Gosden’s runner today, Encipher, is a stone behind Aidan O’Brien’s Cormorant, winner of the Derrinstown Derby Trial.
But Sir Michael Stoute comes to the rescue with a Frankel. I’ve been banging on about Highest Ground for some time now in my Fortune Cookies. This is his chance. This is his day.
O’BRIEN’S JULY STAKES ACE TO PLAY
⭕ 3.00 Newmarket (July Stakes) Qaadeer went into many a notebook after just losing out in the Coventry Stakes by a length. I wasn’t convinced.
The low numbers were so favoured at Ascot at that time that the result by stall was 6, 4, 3, with winner and third 150-1 and 25-1.
Like the Serpentine saga, I need more evidence but tend to lean toward disbelief. It’s a good leaning post in racing.
Tactical won the Windsor Castle but that’s usually of lower general status and his beaten rival, Yazaman, comes back for more on the grounds that he was squeezed out at the start at Ascot.
Ballydoyle’s Kingman colt Swiss Ace (BETDAQ 5.9) should go well – O’Brien won the July Stakes last year – and you could give a chance for Lauded (13.0 offers) to redeem himself of defeat in the Coventry when drawn on the wrong side.
⭕ 3.35 Newmarket It’s hardly precise assessment of a race to say that Dancin Inthestreet can’t win because favourites never win it. But it’s true all right; they don’t even get close
And another imprecision is that we don’t know which side will be favoured by the draw, but we do know that stalls 14, 15 (twice), 16, 19, 20 have won six of the last nine and two other winners have both come from stall 3. So, in theory, the extremes along both rails.
In the low numbers, Sunset Breeze has shot up 18lb for three successive wins since June 4th! Can Sir Mark keep him going? He very often does. It’s his forte.
Mark Johnston’s Dark Regard (in 2 today) ran a cracker to win down the low side of the Rowley Mile course (also from 2).
The high call includes that favourite, Dancin Inthestreet (from 19), and another Mark Johnston front-runner, Meraas (16).
Could we approach the final furlong with Johnston beasts leading on either side from stalls 2 and 16, Dark Regard and Meraas?
Byline (14) could turn around the placings with Brad The Brief (18) on Haydock form early last month. I could get 15.0 that he does in BETDAQ Sportsbook.
But my man in the long grass tells me to have a bit on Volatile Analyst (20), highly regarded and not disgraced in Group-2 company behind Golden Horde as a juvenile. Sportsbook 19.0.
⭕ 4.10 Newmarket Pricewise gives himself two chances of winning this seven-runner Group 2, won last year by Communique. I’ll take one that would welcome more showers.
Enbihaar, the Park Hill winner, can continue her progressive form, with seemingly nothing to fear from Dame Malliot, who was 14 lengths behind her at Doncaster.
DAQMAN’S BETS
12.55 York (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET 5pts win COCKALORUM
BULL’S-EYE BET 4pts win GABRIAL THE ONE
LAY 5pts at 2.5 FOX VARDY
2.05 York (win 10)
BET 6.5pts win SARDINIA SUNSET
BET 1pt win MISS NAY NEVER
2.40 York (win 10)
BET 2.8pts win DUBAI LOVE
3.00 Newmarket (win 20)
BET 4pts win SWISS ACE
BET 1.65pts win LAUDED
3.15 York
FORTUNE COOKIE (nap)
BET 20pts win HIGHEST GROUND
3.35 Newmarket (win 50 each)
BULL’S-EYE BET: 3.5pts win BYLINE
BULL’S-EYE BET: 2.75pts win VOLATILE ANALYST
4.10 Newmarket (win 10)
BET 5.50pts win ENBIHAAR
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