THE STRIKER: previews Sunday’s Premier League games which get underway at 12pm with WOLVES v EVERTON. The highlight being the North London Derby between SPURS v ARSENAL at 4.30pm – all with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.

The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!

Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.

WOLVES V EVERTON

12pm A very interesting Super Sunday in the Premier League! We start early with Wolves hosting Everton. Wolves have lost all momentum in the bid to finish in the Top Four. Ok, they only ever had an outside chance but two games ago they would have really fancied their chances with Leicester struggling for points. Two losses against Arsenal and Sheffield United have set them back, and they must fight for a Europa League spot now, and Sheffield United will be hoping to finish ahead of them as well!

Everton were very lucky to get a 1-1 draw with Southampton during the week as The Saints were well on top, they created an xG of 2.3 and should have won. That said, Southampton have been impressive away from home and I feel Wolves at 2.04 here is very, very short. Both sides are having a good season looking at xG, and I can’t see anything but a very close game here. It’s tempting to lay Wolves but the draw makes appeal for a small investment at 3.35.

The Striker Says:
One point win Draw at 3.35 with BETDAQ Exchange.

You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQwoleve

MATCH STATS

  • Wolves are winless in their last four Premier League home games against Everton (D3 L1) since a 2-1 win in May 2004.
  • Everton are looking to complete their first league double over Wolves since the 1975-76 campaign, following their 3-2 win at Goodison Park in September.
  • Wolves have lost their last two Premier League games, more than they had in their previous 11 in the competition (W6 D4 L1). They last lost three in a row in November 2018.
  • Away from home, Everton have won just two of their last seven Premier League games (D1 L4), with both victories coming against sides in the relegation zone. Indeed, against sides starting the day in the top half, Everton have won just three of their last 31 Premier League away games (D10 L18).
  • Wolves have mustered just two shots on target across their last two Premier League matches, failing to register a single shot on target after half-time in both of those games.
  • Wolves have used fewer players than any other Premier League side this season (20), while they have had six players play in all 34 games so far – more than any other side. Indeed, the most players a team has had play every game in a Premier League season is four – Aston Villa and Man Utd in 1992-93, Bolton in 2008-09 and Wolves themselves in 2018-19.
  • Everton have conceded 32 away goals in the Premier League this season; only Aston Villa and Newcastle (both 35) have shipped more so far in 2019-20.
  • Adama Traoré has provided nine assists in the Premier League this season, the most by a Wolves player in a single campaign in the competition’s history. However, the winger has failed to assist in any of his last three games since assisting in back to back appearances in June.
  • Wolves’ Raúl Jiménez has been directly involved in 34 goals in all competitions this season (24 goals, 10 assists) – only Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah (35) has had a hand in more amongst Premier League players in 2019-20.
  • Everton’s Richarlison scored his 30th Premier League goal last time out, becoming the fifth Brazilian to reach this figure after Roberto Firmino (56), Philippe Coutinho (41), Gabriel Jesus (38) and Willian (37). Indeed, Richarlison has scored more Premier League goals than any other Everton player in 2020 (6).

ASTON VILLA V CRYSTAL PALACE

2.15pm This is an interesting fixture. Both sides have lost their last three but they’ve also had to play some top sides. Villa met Wolves, Liverpool and got blown away by the in-form Manchester United midweek, while Palace have played Chelsea and Leicester. They managed to get Leicester back in form! It’s obviously hard to read too much into the games when the likes of Villa play United and Liverpool because they are expected to lose, and they certainly have more to play for than Palace here.

I feel that is priced into the market and Villa look a little short at 2.34. They just aren’t putting in the right numbers to justify such a short price. Palace created an xG of 1.62 against Cheslea is a very good game to watch, and they were also unlucky to lose recently against Burnley. They done enough for me recently to lay Villa at bad odds here. Villa are desperate for points, but they haven’t been putting in good xG numbers. They can keep games tight against sides similar to them but at 2.34 they are a lay.

The Striker Says:
One point lay (liability) Aston Villa at 2.34.

You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQastcry

MATCH STATS

  • Aston Villa have lost just one of their seven Premier League home games against Crystal Palace (W3 D3), going down 0-1 in December 2013.
  • Crystal Palace are looking to complete the Premier League double over Aston Villa for just the second time, also doing so in 2013-14.
  • Aston Villa have picked up just two points in their last 10 Premier League matches (D2 L8), finding the net just five times in that run. It’s the current longest winless run in the competition.
  • Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last 13 Premier League matches against sides in the relegation zone (W8 D5), since losing 0-4 at home to Sunderland in February 2017.
  • After a run of four straight victories in the Premier League, Crystal Palace have now lost each of their last four in the competition. The Eagles have shipped 11 goals in those four defeats, having kept a clean sheet in each of their four victories.
  • Aston Villa could become just the second team in top-flight history to win a league match on all seven days of the week in a single season, after Tottenham in 1986-87. The Villans have won on every day between Monday-Saturday so far this term.
  • Aston Villa have failed to win any of their last 17 Premier League games on Sunday (D3 L14), since a 2-1 win against Leicester City in December 2014. It’s the Villans’ longest winless run on a specific day of the week in Premier League history.
  • Aston Villa have conceded 65 goals in the Premier League this season; the same number they had after 34 games when they were last relegated in 2015-16 (finishing 20th).
  • Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson has only lost two of his 12 Premier League meetings with Aston Villa (W8 D2). Indeed, Hodgson has beaten Aston Villa more often than he has any other side in the competition (8).
  • Crystal Palace’s Wilfried Zaha netted his first goal in 17 Premier League appearances last time out against Chelsea. However, having netted 90% of his league goals away from home last season (9/10), just 25% of his goals this season have come on the road (1/4).

TOTTENHAM V ARSENAL

4.30pm The North London Derby, but not like before! It’s games like this that you want to see the fans at, but we should see a battle on the pitch nonetheless as these two dislike each other so much. Both are having terrible seasons, but it is Arsenal who arrive here in better form. Spurs created little to nothing against Bournemouth on Thursday and Bournemouth have been in very poor form since lockdown. xG says Jose Mourinho hasn’t improved Spurs, and I think we all know what happens next season if they don’t spend the money that Jose wants during the transfer window.

It’s not a surprise to see the market more or less unable to split these sides. I think the draw makes appeal at 3.5. Arsenal always find it tough to win away, although they are creating a lot more than Spurs these days. Spurs made Thursday very boring and we could see a tight and cagey game here again. If I wasn’t on the draw, I’d lay Spurs but supporting Arsenal away from home is never too wise and I think on balance the draw is a good play.

The Striker Says:
One point win Draw at 3.5 with BETDAQ Exchange.

You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQtotars

MATCH STATS

  • Tottenham are unbeaten in their last five home league games against Arsenal (W3 D2), with this the first ever meeting between the sides at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
  • Arsenal have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 Premier League away games against Tottenham (W1 D3 L6), a 1-0 victory in March 2014.
  • Tottenham have dropped 42 points from winning positions in Premier League games against Arsenal, more than any side has dropped against another in the competition’s history.
  • Tottenham have won their last two home league games, and are looking to win three in a row at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium for the first time since April 2019 – in their first three Premier League games at the ground.
  • Arsenal are unbeaten away from home in London derbies so far this season (W1 D2) – they last remained unbeaten in all of their away London derbies in a single Premier League season back in 2004-05.
  • Arsenal are looking to win three consecutive Premier League away games for the first time since October 2018, while they last won three in a row on the road without conceding back in May 2013.
  • Tottenham’s José Mourinho and Arsenal’s Mikel Arteta are each taking charge of their first ever north London derby matches. The last meeting between the sides that was the first such match for both managers was in September 1986, when George Graham (Arsenal) and David Pleat (Tottenham) played out a 0-0 draw at Highbury.
  • Tottenham boss José Mourinho has never lost a home game against Arsenal in his career, winning five and drawing four of his nine games – only versus Everton and Man Utd (both 10 games) has he faced more often at home without ever losing.
  • Harry Kane has scored 10 goals against Arsenal for Tottenham – if he scores in this game he’ll be the outright top scorer in Tottenham v Arsenal fixtures in history. Five of his Premier League goals against them have been penalties – only Alan Shearer against Everton (7) has scored more from the spot against an opponent in the competition.
  • Arsenal’s Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has been involved in four goals in his last three Premier League games against Spurs (3 goals, 1 assist). However, all of these goal involvements have been at the Emirates, with the Gabonese striker missing a last minute penalty in this exact fixture last term.

BOURNEMOUTH V LEICESTER

7pm We finish Matchday 35 with Bournemouth hosting Leicester. Bournemouth stopped a run of five losing games with a boring 0-0 draw against Spurs on Thursday night – although they did win the game on xG. It was their best performance since lockdown and they’ll be hoping to see more like that if they are to stay up this season! Leicester have steadied their ship with a win and a draw recently, but the pressure is on them big time in the race for a Top Four finish.

If Leicester can repeat their two most recent performances, they will beat this Bournemouth side. The hosts have been very poor since returning and although they shown improvement against Spurs; I can’t take that at face value as Spurs have been very poor this season. Leicester look ten ticks too big here at 1.76 and they are worth backing to finish the weekend. They have been creating enough chances to outscore this labouring Bournemouth side.

The Striker Says:
Two points win Leicester to beat Bournemouth at 1.76 with BETDAQ Exchange.

You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQboulei

MATCH STATS

  • Having been unbeaten in their first seven Premier League meetings with Leicester (W2 D5), Bournemouth have now lost their last two against the Foxes.
  • Leicester are winless in their four away Premier League games against Bournemouth (D2 L2), last winning there 1-0 in the Championship in February 2014.
  • All three of Leicester’s Premier League away goals against Bournemouth have been scored in the final five minutes of matches, with two of them coming from the penalty spot.
  • Bournemouth have failed to win any of their last nine Premier League games (D2 L7), since a 2-1 victory against Aston Villa in February. It’s their longest winless run in the Premier League.
  • Leicester are winless in their last six Premier League away games, alternating between defeat and a draw since a 3-0 win at Newcastle in January. The Foxes had won six of their previous seven on the road prior to this run.
  • Bournemouth’s 0-0 draw against Spurs was their first clean sheet in 17 Premier League matches – last keeping consecutive shutouts in November 2019 (a run of three).
  • Leicester City have scored 18 goals in the final 15 minutes of their Premier League games this season, a joint-league-high with Manchester City.
  • Since his Premier League debut in September 2018, Bournemouth’s Jefferson Lerma has been shown 23 yellow cards in the division (12 last season, 11 this) – the most of any player in this time.
  • Leicester’s Jamie Vardy has scored three goals in his last two Premier League games – as many as he had in his previous 13 in the competition. Vardy has also netted three goals in his last two league games against Bournemouth, including a brace in the reverse fixture in August.
  • Jamie Vardy has scored in 13 of Leicester’s 17 Premier League victories this season, the highest ratio in the division (76.5%).

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