THE STRIKER: previews Wednesday’s two Premier League games – MAN U v WEST HAM and then the highlight of the week LIVERPOOL v CHELSEA – both matches previewed with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
MANCHESTER UNITED V WEST HAM
6pm What a night ahead. Who else is loving the fixture list this week? We seen Watford and Aston Villa both in action on Tuesday and now we have Manchester United and Chelsea in action in the race for a Top Four finish. Both had a boost at the weekend with Spurs beating Leicester, and we kick off with United hosting West Ham. A lot of football fans will look at this fixture as an easy win for United but I see it as anything but, and United look desperately short at 1.26.
United were very poor at the weekend against Cheslea, but we seen quite a few changes to the starting XI and obviously management have gone for the Top Four as being more important than the FA Cup. Clearly this is a massive game for United, but they run into an in-form West Ham side – in The Hammers last five games they have created an xG of 0.97, 4.0, 2.14, 2.33 and 2.38. They were lucky to score three against Watford last time out, but other than that they have been creating some excellent chances. United have too, of course, and that’s the reason why I’m not laying and I’m backing Both Teams To Score at 1.96 which looks massive. While United are creating chances they have also given up a few and with West Ham in great attacking form I can only see goals here.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Both Teams To Score at 1.96 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQmunwhu
MATCH STATS
- Manchester United are unbeaten in their last 11 Premier League home games against West Ham (W9 D2), since a 0-1 loss in May 2007.
- West Ham have won two of their last three Premier League games against Manchester United (L1), more than they had in their previous 19 against them (D5 L13).
- West Ham are looking to complete their first league double over Manchester United since 2006-07, following their 2-0 win at the London Stadium in September.
- Manchester United lost their last home league game last season, going down 0-2 against Cardiff. They’ve not lost their last home game in consecutive top-flight seasons since 1972-73/1973-74.
- West Ham have won their final away game in each of the last three Premier League seasons, this following a run of eight successive such defeats in the competition.
- Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s Manchester United side are unbeaten in their last 12 Premier League games (W8 D4), equalling the Norwegian’s best ever run in the competition with the Red Devils (12 – December 2018–March 2019). In fact, only José Mourinho has been on a longer run as Man Utd manager since Sir Alex Ferguson left in 2013 (25 games).
- This will be only David Moyes’ second away Premier League match at Old Trafford since leaving the club in April 2014, losing 3-1 with Sunderland in December 2016. The last former Man Utd manager to win away at Old Trafford in a top-flight match was Dave Sexton in March 1982 with Coventry City.
- Both Anthony Martial (11) and Marcus Rashford (12) have reached double figures in the Premier League for Manchester United at Old Trafford this season, only the third time more than one player has done so for the club in a season; it also happened in 2007-08 (Tevez and Ronaldo) and 1999-00 (Solskjaer, Yorke, Cole).
- Of Manchester United’s 97 shots in Premier League since the restart, 39% have been taken (22) or created (16) by Bruno Fernandes.
- David de Gea needs one more clean sheet to surpass Peter Schmeichel’s 112 Premier League shutouts for Manchester United; should he do so, he will have the most clean sheets of any goalkeeper for the club in the competition.
LIVERPOOL V CHELSEA
8.15pm What a fixture when it’s crunch time in the race for a Top Four finish. Chelsea will have the luxury of seeing United’s result before kick off but the reality is that won’t matter – a win here means Leicester can’t catch them and they have a Top Four finish, and can enjoy the final day while preparing for an FA Cup final after beating United at the weekend. A month ago, you would have said this was the hardest fixture they could wish for but since Liverpool have officially claimed the title they have definitely eased off.
Liverpool were very unlucky to lose to Arsenal last time out. They absolutely bossed the second half and created an xG of 2.51. Arsenal benefitted from two terrible errors at the back and I think we can expect a reasonably similar performance from Liverpool in the sense that they’ll be good going forward while not quite as focused at the back. And who could blame them with nothing to play for. They look a little short at 2.08 to win but I think we can repeat our winning bet from the last Liverpool game with over 2.5 goals again. Chelsea have been excellent going forward since lockdown but they still give up chances at the back and overs looks nicely priced at 1.66 here.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.66 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQlivche
MATCH STATS
- Liverpool have won their last two Premier League games against Chelsea, as many as they had in their previous 13 against the Blues (D7 L4).
- Chelsea have only lost one of their last nine away games in all competitions against Liverpool (W3 D5), though it was in this exact fixture in the Premier League last season (0-2).
- Between 1992-93 and 2011-12, 63% of the Premier League meetings between Liverpool and Chelsea were won by the home side (25/40). Since then, the home side has been victorious in just three of the 15 subsequent meetings (20%).
- Liverpool are unbeaten in 58 Premier League home games, winning 17 of their 18 at Anfield so far this season. If they avoid defeat here, it will be the ninth time they’ve remained unbeaten at home across an entire top-flight campaign, three more than any other side.
- Chelsea have won 18 of their 44 Premier League games against sides starting the day top of the table, more than any other side in the competition. Meanwhile, only Man Utd (44% – 15/34) have a higher win rate in such games than the Blues (41%).
- Liverpool have dropped more points in the five games since becoming Premier League champions (8 – W2 D1 L2) than they had in their previous 40 matches in the competition (7 – W37 D2 L1).
- Chelsea haven’t kept a Premier League clean sheet outside of London since May 2019, in a 0-0 draw with Leicester. The Blues have kept just one clean sheet on the road this term, in a 2-0 win at Tottenham back in December.
- Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino is still without a Premier League goal at Anfield this season – if he fails to score in this game, he’ll set a new record for most goals scored in a single Premier League campaign with 100% of them coming on the road (8).
- Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah has had 10 shots (six on target) over his last two Premier League games but has failed to find the net.
- Olivier Giroud has scored six goals in his last 10 Premier League games for Chelsea, more than he had in his previous 46 for the Blues (5). The Frenchman has netted three goals in his last three Premier League starts against Liverpool at Anfield, though he’s yet to play there for Chelsea.
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