BIG BASH: Our cricket tipster The Edge previews Wednesday’s 3rd Test between Australia v India with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
MATCH OVERVIEW:
The Test series rolls into the SCG with the series level and packed with drama, on and off the field. We have had a wild week of press reports, with Rohit, Pant, Gill, Shaw and Saini placed in isolation after photos and videos surfaced online of them out for dinner. The Covid19 protocols say the players can go out for dinner, but must eat outside and keep their distance from the public. Some online messages have said fans tried to hug the players and things have blew up with the BCCI essentially calling the reports “fake news,” to coin a popular phrase these days!
Then, we had reports that the Indian players would boycott the 4th Test at The Gabba if they are subjected to a hard lockdown given a recent outbreak of Covid19 and different rules in different states. That’s enough off the pitch drama for a whole tour but we have squeezed it into one week, and we still don’t know what will come out closer to the off of this Test, during the Test and after the Test as we head to Brisbane.
So far on the field we have had bags of drama. India collapsed for the lowest Test total to hand Australia the 1st Test after getting themselves into a great position. Then after their captain Virat Kohli flew home for the birth of his child, India came roaring back to impressively win the 2nd Test when nobody gave them a chance. It’s perfectly set up for a brilliant Test match.
WEATHER AND PITCH WATCH:
It must be noted that at the time of writing the players have been training in Melbourne and this Test is scheduled to take place in Sydney. There is a very small chance due to Covid19 that the Test could take place in Melbourne, however we look likely to start at the SCG. We had the Boxing Day Test at the MCG so everyone should know conditions well, while we already had a Test at the SCG in January as Australia beat New Zealand by 279 runs. They scored 454 first up and got into a fantastic position. We have had three draws in the last six matches, however the batting hasn’t been great to date in this series so it’s hard to see a draw without bad weather. Australia have won the other three Tests by the way, against Pakistan, England and New Zealand. I’d expect a good wicket, with batting first giving an advantage.
RECOMMENDED BET:
A fascinating Test match awaits. I’m happy to rule out the draw, although personally I wouldn’t lay the 5.0 given we have had three draws from the last six Tests here but I feel we’ll definitely see a winner given the batting hasn’t been great from either side. Batting first definitely offers an advantage, but that will come into play more from an in-running strategy point of view. Looking for the value, I’m happy to opt for India at 4.2 here. I can see this Test being very close and I can’t see why there’s such a big gap between Australia at 1.75 and India at 4.2. Australia haven’t batted superbly in this Test series yet – indeed they would probably be two down if not for the India collapse in the 1st Test. India copped well without Kohli at the MCG, and that can continue.
The Edge Says:
One point win India to beat Australia at 4.2 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange
View the market here -> http://bit.ly/BDQ3rdAusInd
IN-RUNNING STRATEGY:
I can see this being a very good Test match to trade on BETDAQ Betting Exchange, with plenty of dramatic market moves throughout. Although you won’t get more dramatic than the Indian collapse in the 1st Test! As I said above, batting first looks like an advantage and I’d definitely look to get on the team batting first – although it has to be said that neither side have been very impressive with the bat so that’s something to be wary of.
Australia still have big issues at the top of the order, and I’d expect an early wicket or two for India with the new ball. The problem for Australia is that’s obviously putting pressure on the middle order – they really need Steven Smith to fire but he has looked out of touch. He scored 0 and 8 in the last Test, and might be worth taking on again. I’d be especially keen to be against Joe Burns (if he plays) and Travis Head in the middle order.
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