THE STRIKER: previews the Premier League games on Sunday including LIVERPOOL v MAN U at 4.30pm. All games previewed with extended stats and recommended BETDAQ bets.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
SHEFFIELD UNITED V TOTTENHAM
2pm What a brilliant day ahead in the Premier League. The most exciting day of the season so far! We have a top of the table clash in the prime TV slot of 4-30pm, with Spurs and Man City are in action before and after. A superb day! With Aston Villa v Everton postponed, we start at 2pm with Sheffield United hosting Spurs. Jose Mourinho would have been gutted to concede that goal against Fulham for a 1-1 draw, although in fairness Spurs had 15 minutes to find a winner and couldn’t. They were unlucky to draw though, finishing with an xG of 2.91 to 1.31. They should get back to winning ways here, although Sheffield United claimed their first Premier League win of the season midweek against Newcastle!
That win against Newcastle was fully deserved too, with xG finishing 2.13 to 0.90. That will be a relief to Sheffield United, however they are still nailed to the bottom of the table. It shows the benefits of Cup football though, as they broke their losing run in the FA Cup last weekend against low quality opposition. Confidence is a funny thing! In fairness to Sheffield United, they shouldn’t be as detached at the bottom as they are – results just have gone their way. Despite that, it’s hard to ignore this Spurs price at 1.7. They have been playing different quality football compared to Sheffield United and they have created a lot of chances this season. Some football traders might take them on after only drawing at Fulham, but xG says they played well and if they play the same today they will for me – the 1.7 is worth taking.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Tottenham to beat Sheffield United at 1.7 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQshutot
MATCH STATS
- Sheffield United have lost just two of their last 11 top-flight matches against Spurs (W5 D4), avoiding defeat in both matches last season (W1 D1).
- Spurs are winless in their last seven away league matches against Sheffield United (D3 L4) since a 2-1 win in December 1975.
- Sheffield United have won consecutive games in all competitions, after going 21 matches without a win beforehand (D3 L18).
- After scoring 13 goals and winning their first four away league games this season, Spurs are winless in their last four on the road (D3 L1), netting just three goals in that run.
- The two other teams to go as many as 17 games winless from the start of a top-flight season – Burnley in 1889/90 and Bolton in 1902/03 – both registered back-to-back wins after winning their first games of their seasons, as Sheffield United could achieve here.
- Sheffield United are looking to become the first side to win in consecutive Premier League matches when starting the day in bottom place since West Bromwich Albion in April/May 2018.
- No side has scored more first-half goals than Tottenham in the Premier League this season (19), including a league-high eight goals in the opening 15 minutes of games. Spurs have also shipped fewer goals before half-time than any other Premier League side this term (4).
- Sheffield United’s Billy Sharp has scored five Premier League goals for the Blades, with those goals worth eight points to the club. Sharp has scored in 53 league games under Chris Wilder and only lost one of those (W41 D11), a 2-3 defeat to Bristol City in March 2019.
- Billy Sharp has scored in each of his last two Premier League appearances as a substitute for Sheffield United – aged 34 years and 342 days, he is the oldest player to do so in the top-flight since Frank Lampard in September 2014 (36y 99d).
- Between them, Spurs duo Harry Kane (24) and Son Heung-min (19) have had 43 of Spurs’ 81 shots on target in the Premier League this season (53%) – no other player at the club has had more than five so far. Kane and Son’s combined 43 shots on target is just nine fewer than Sheffield United have managed as a whole so far this term.
LIVERPOOL V MANCHESTER UNITED
4.30pm Here we go. What a fixture! The biggest club rivalry of them all, a top of the table Premier League clash and so much at stake. Football doesn’t get much better than this! It’s such a shame it will be without fans as Anfield would usually be rocking, although you’d have to say that’s a slight advantage for United today given what’s at stake. A win for United would be absolutely massive – it would send them six points clear of Liverpool and seven points clear of City who play later. City could go within one point if winning later and their game in hand too, so don’t get carried away United fans. I keep saying that United don’t look like Champions, and I still feel that they don’t, however with everyone losing points they have found themselves in an excellent position.
United’s win over Burnley midweek put them three points clear, and perhaps again they didn’t look impressive or play like Champions, but they got the job done. Liverpool have been going through a tough time of late and dropping a lot of points. It will be interesting to see how they perform here in such a big game. They were desperately unlucky to lose against Southampton, winning the game 1.77 to 0.33 on xG in a 1-0 loss. They were also unlucky not to score against Newcastle and they did enough to deserve to win against West Brom. They have had the opposite run to United, as United have been getting results without out-performing teams. Their 1-0 win over Burnley was a classic example as xG finished 1.41 to 1.23. I feel Liverpool will take their chances today against this United side who simply give away too many goals to contend with the top clubs. United have had their run and reached the top, but for me the Champions bounce back here and I expect a comfortable Liverpool win. For me they should be odds on and the 2.04 is the best bet of the afternoon.
The Striker Says:
Four points win Liverpool to beat Manchester United at 2.04 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQlivmnu
MATCH STATS
- Liverpool have won their last two home Premier League games against Manchester United, last winning three in a row in March 2011.
- Manchester United are winless in their last four Premier League games against Liverpool (D2 L2), their longest run without a win against their rivals since a run of five between March 2000 and January 2002.
- Manchester United have had just 77 shots in their last 11 Premier League games against Liverpool, failing to register double figures for attempts since December 2014 (11). At Anfield, the Red Devils haven’t had as many as 10 shots since September 2013 under David Moyes (10).
- Liverpool are winless in three Premier League games (D2 L1), failing to score in their last two. They last went four without a win in February 2017 (a run of five), while they’ve not failed to score in three consecutive league games since March 2005.
- Liverpool lost their first league game of 2021 but haven’t started a calendar year with consecutive league defeats since 1993. However, the Reds are unbeaten in 67 home league games (W55 D12), finding the net in each of their last 42 at Anfield.
- Manchester United will be top of the table going into a Premier League meeting with Liverpool for the first time since January 2013 under Sir Alex Ferguson, with the Red Devils going on to win the title in that campaign.
- Liverpool had eight shots on target in their 7-0 victory at Crystal Palace last month (14 shots in total). In their three league games since, the Reds have managed just seven shots on target (from 45 in total), netting just one goal.
- Manchester United have won none of their three league games against Liverpool with Ole Gunnar Solskjær as manager (D2 L1) – the only two Red Devils managers to fail to win their first four league games against Liverpool are John Chapman (1921-26) and Tommy Docherty (1973-76).
- This will be Liverpool manager Jürgen Klopp’s 200th Premier League game in charge – he’s won 127 of his 199 games so far, with only José Mourinho winning more of his first 200 in the competition’s history (137). Klopp is also the 10th manager to reach 200 top-flight games for Liverpool, with the German winning more of his first 200 than any of his predecessors.
- Man Utd’s Marcus Rashford has scored three goals in his last four Premier League games against Liverpool, with these goals being worth four points to Manchester United. Only Wayne Rooney (6), Andy Cole (4) and Ryan Giggs (4) have scored more Premier League goals against Liverpool for the Red Devils.
MANCHESTER CITY V CRYSTAL PALACE
7.15pm Manchester City fans will be very interested to see what happens between Liverpool and Manchester United an Anfield earlier in the day, but the reality is they have hit form right at the perfect time and they can reach the top of the league very soon. Their xG figures are very eye-catching and this continued midweek with a 1-0 win over Brighton. The score line might have only said 1-0, but their xG was 2.41 and this reflects their excellent play over the last number of weeks. They absolutely bossed Chelsea despite having players missing with Covid19, and they brushed aside United in the Cup too. They are peaking at the right time as we have a tonne of fixtures coming up – we have a busy midweek schedule too.
Palace played out a boring 0-0 draw with Arsenal midweek and that was a fair reflection of the game. Indeed if anything, Palace did marginally more than Arsenal to win the game. I feel that’s a reflection of how poor Arsenal are rather than how good Palace are. Palace have struggled to create a lot of chances this season, and there best hope here is a draw. I can see them being quite negative and hoping to make the game as boring as possible. That might work to keep the score line respectable, but I can’t see past a City win here. The market agrees, with City trading as short as 1.19 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange . With the Palace tactics likely to be negative, I feel there is value in the Correct Score market. Any Other Home Win is 3.3 and that’s worth laying – I can see City winning easily, but Palace keeping the score to 2-0 or 3-0.
The Striker Says:
One point lay Any Other Home Win Correct Score at 3.3 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQmcicrl
MATCH STATS
- Manchester City have won six of their 10 home Premier League games against Crystal Palace (D3 L1), though they are winless in their last two (D1 L1).
- Crystal Palace have lost 12 of their last 16 Premier League matches against Man City (W2 D2).
- The home team hasn’t won any of the last five Premier League matches between Man City and Crystal Palace (D2 L3) since a 5-0 win for City at the Etihad in September 2017.
- Man City haven’t won any of their last two home league matches against Crystal Palace (D1 L1) – in Pep Guardiola’s league managerial career, he has never failed to win in three consecutive home matches against an opponent.
- Crystal Palace are looking to become the first team to win away against both Manchester clubs (City and United) in a single Premier League season since Liverpool in 2008-09. The last London club to do so in the top-flight were Arsenal in 1990-91.
- Man City have won each of their last four Premier League games, as many as they had in their previous 11 in the competition. No side has kept more Premier League clean sheets this season than the Citizens (8).
- Only Manchester United (11) are on a longer current unbeaten run in the Premier League than Man City (8). The Citizens have conceded just two goals in this run, while keeping six clean sheets.
- Man City striker Sergio Agüero has been directly involved in seven goals in his last three home Premier League starts against Crystal Palace (5 goals, 2 assists).
- Man City’s Kevin De Bruyne has been involved in eight goals in 10 Premier League games against Crystal Palace (2 goals, 6 assists) – only against Southampton (2 goals, 7 assists) has the Belgian been involved in more in the competition.
- No Premier League player has provided more assists in all competitions than Man City’s Kevin De Bruyne (14). The Belgian’s next assist will be his 100th in all competitions for the Citizens.
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
