TODAY’S LEAD STORY: FANTASTIC SEVEN WINNERS IN FOUR DAYS: Winner-a-day Daqman has become two-winners-a-day Daqman.. He has missed a daily double just one day in the last four but made up for it that day (Thursday) with a 6-1 strike!
Friday
✔️ WON 5-2 LEAD STORY
✔️ WON 5-6 FANTASTIC LADY
Thursday
✔️ WON 6-1 DIDONATO
Wednesday
✔️ WON 2-1 CAID DU BERLAIS (nap)
✔️ WON 2-5 ALCALA
Tuesday
✔️ WON 4-9 CAT TIGER
✔️ WON 4-11 BACHASSON (nap)
TOE-TO-TOE VALUE HUNT TODAY WITH DAQMAN 26-16 IN FRONT: Daqman squares up to Pricewise today in the challenge to value, which has reached a crucial stage with only three weeks of the Jumps season to go – including Cheltenham – before the start of the Flat. The scores in winning bets are 26-16 to Daqman, who is also leading 590-401 on profits to a 10-point stake. Headlines:
🔹 NICHOLLS IS THE PRESENT MAN
🔹 BITE EARLY AND CASH IN LATE
🔹 MEGALLAN ANOTHER GODSEND
🔹 CANOODLED FOR A LUCKY 13.0
🔹 THROW YOUR CAP IN THE RING
🔹 SOLO THREAT TO THE SHUNTER
🔹 CANELO ONLY PAST THE POST?
NICHOLLS IS THE PRESENT MAN
⭕ 1.15 Newbury Paul Nicholls, striking at just short of 50% in March, has been spraying winners everywhere this week from Wincanton to Musselburgh (same day, seven hours apart as the crow flies).
Goes well fresh, loves the top of the ground, yet his Present Man was 6.7 second favourite in the BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE for this veterans’ chase this morning.
The reason is Millie Wonnacott’s allowance. It means that Shantou Village is 9lb better off with Present Man for less than two lengths at Chepstow when beaten favourite in October.
But Shantou’s 1-19 strike rate in nearly four years is well offputting. The flop behind Present Man was despite first-time visor to help, making him back-to-back losing favourite off a similar mark to today’s, one of them for Millie.
BITE EARLY AND CASH IN LATE
⭕ 1.50 Newbury (Greatwood Gold Cup) Nicholls has won the Greatwood five times in the last seven seasons but only one of them was with a weight as high as Capeland and Grand Sancy have to carry today.
Capeland’s best form is at home at Wincanton but Grand Sancy is favoured by the ground; so has to be one of your bets at 7.1 on BETDAQ. Now look for bigger offers in the field.
Killer Clown has won only at novice level but is an excellent jumper, and has been the one for the money during the week.
In his time with three different trainers, The Big Bite’s best form has been at 2m, notwithstanding he made virtually all when taking a 2m 4f beginners chase at Doncaster in January last year.
His jumping was novicey that day, hence the two-mile tests to sharpen up his technique. Now back to 2m 4f, he looks like a back-and-lay, or taking an opening shot at around 14.0 and hoping he lasts out long enough to cash in.
Umbrigado, who travels and jumps well, is in two of the big handicaps at Cheltenham. But, whether for today’s hat-trick bid or Cheltenham glory, connections are praying for rain. Ditto Pistol Whipped.
MEGALLAN ANOTHER GODSEND
⭕ 2.00 Lingfield (Ladbrokes Spring Cup) David Egan, who won the £7m Saudi Cup for John Gosden, opposes him here on El Drama, a Guineas and Derby outsider who is the talk of Newmarket for today’s race.
Keith Dalgleish sends Gioia Cieca down frae Scotland, his Newcastle win boosted at Lingfield yesterday by the runner-up Lead Story, who swept down the outside despite having to swing wide on the bends.
But there’s a hidden horse in this. John Gosden, who has already won the Winter Derby here with Forest Of Dean, drops Megallan from autumn Group contests, including the top-grade Futurity won by Jim Bolger’s Guineas hope, Mac Swiney. BETDAQ 6.3.
Gosden is the Magellan and the Midas of the western racing world already this year, after the Mishriff triumph and, if you fancy El Drama to beat him here, you could take a bit of the BETDAQ 34.0 El Drama for Epsom 2021.
CANOODLED FOR A LUCKY 13.0
⭕ 2.36 Lingfield I want to see Ed Walker’s fine run continue – he’s currently 3-7 in eight days – as we get nearer to the Lincoln Handicap, for which I have already put up his Almodovar and Cap Francais.
My man in the long grass warns me that he also has a Group horse in the Doncaster race called Stormy Antarctic, second in the Ispahan to French Derby runner-up and Arc third, Persian King. Plenty of 25-1 around while plans are fluid.
Ed seems to have Canoodled (BETDAQ 13.0) well placed here in first-time hood, getting 12lb from the penalised but odds on Breath Of Sun (wind surgery), with Zwelela beaten favourite in a class 5 and If You Dare unraced
THROW YOUR CAP IN THE RING
⭕ 2.40 Kelso Daqman has two Grand National bets running today: the first of them Cloth Cap in this, then Canelo in the Grimthorpe (3.30 Doncaster).
Victory at Doncaster would cut some of Canelo’s 41.0 and Cloth Cap could be trimmed from 17.0, giving us – even at a point a bet ante-post – some ‘overs’ to play with nearer the day.
This Kelso Premier Chase is not a handicap but a Listed and, strictly on the ratings, Cloth Cap beats only the rank outsider Cool Mix.
Two For Gold improved for first-time cheekpieces when all out to beat Aso at Warwick (soft) last month. Aso is 9lb better off but this is more Two For Gold’s trip and ground.
Cloth Cap (BETDAQ 3.85), third in the 2019 Scottish Grand National, took a big leap forward when making all in the Ladbrokes Trophy.
Definitely Red is the old man of the party but won this last year and seems to excel in small fields.
SOLO THREAT TO THE SHUNTER
⭕ 3.15 Kelso This is a favourites race because it attracts quality horses (all winners in the decade above 11st) for a fabulous £47,000 to the winner.
The Shunter will be hard to beat, 3-5 since his debut for Emmet Mullins, including a Grade 3. He has no fewer than five handicap targets at the Cheltenham Festival. BETDAQ 3.95.
The novice Faivoir had to be reassessed after winning the Rossington Main Hurdle at Haydock but giving weight to The Shunter looks a tall order.
Tommy’s Oscar is progressive and Blakeney Point (superbly named, by Sir Percy) could improve in blinkers off a handy mark.
The money in the week was for Solo (down to 8.0), a Grade 2 winner at Kempton last year at this time, dropped 16lb since gelded, down in class, and described by Paul Nicholls as a chaser of the future in the mould of a Master Minded!
CANELO ONLY PAST THE POST?
⭕ 3.30 Doncaster (Grimthorpe Chase) Canelo has been on the up all season (from 131 to 147), winning the Rowland Meyrick at Wetherby before a staying-on fourth over just short of 3m in top company on today’s course.
Third in that same race last year was Chidswell, the Grimthorpe winner of two years ago. He’s a 12-year-old now but considered in the markets as the main danger to Canelo, the 2.7 BETDAQ favourite.
Beware The Bear, the Ultima winner at Cheltenham in 2019, is another National hope for whom this 3m 2f looks barely adequate these days.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.15 Newbury (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET 8.75pts win (nap) PRESENT MAN
1.50 Newbury (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET 8pts win GRAND SANCY
BULL’S-EYE BET 3.75pts win THE BIG BITE
2.00 Lingfield (win 20)
BET 3.75pts win MEGALLAN
2.36 Lingfield (win 12)
BET 1pt win CANOODLED
2.40 Kelso (win 10)
BET 3.5pts win CLOTH CAP
3.15 Kelso (win 50, win 10)
BULL’S-EYE BET 7pts win SOLO
BET 3.75 pts win THE SHUNTER
3.30 Doncaster (win 10)
BET 5.75pts win CANELO
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
