THE STRIKER: previews Monday’s Premier League games between CHELSEA v EVERTON and WEST HAM v LEEDS both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
CHELSEA V EVERTON
6pm The Premier League games keep coming and we have two excellent fixtures to enjoy on Monday Night Football. We start with Chelsea hosting Everton in a massive game in the race for a Top Four finish. It’s been a big run of games for Chelsea as they put themselves in an excellent position with a 1-0 win over Liverpool and now they have the chance to put a big of distance between themselves and Everton. This is a huge game for Everton, as a win would put them two points ahead of Chelsea and into the Top Four with a game in hand – they could actually get Champions League football next season if they win here. A loss would be a huge setback however – what a game!
You don’t need me to tell you that both sides have been playing good football this season given their position in the table, but Chelsea have been on an excellent run since sacking Frank Lampard. I was a bit cagey about them at first because they had a reasonably easy fixture list, but they have beaten Atletico Madrid and Liverpool now. Everton have also beaten Liverpool recently and grinded out two wins against Southampton and West Brom. They have conceding chances however and that has to be a worry – xG said a draw would have been a fair result against Southampton and West Brom. Chelsea look a lot more solid at the back, and I feel that’s where the game will be won. They only gave up an xG of 0.32 against Liverpool, 0.39 against Manchester United and 0.82 against Atletico Madrid. Everton will give them chances and they will create more. I’m happy to take the 1.6 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange on the home win.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Chelsea to beat Everton at 1.6 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQchleve
MATCH STATS
- Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 25 Premier League home games against Everton (W14 D11). Only against Spurs have the Blues had a longer unbeaten home run in top-flight history (27 between 1990-2016).
- Only against Leeds (35 between 1946-2001) have Everton had a longer winless away run in the top-flight than they have at Chelsea, with the Toffees winless in 25 visits to Stamford Bridge since a 1-0 win in November 1994.
- Chelsea have lost three of their last four Premier League meetings with Everton (W1), as many as they had in their previous 15 against them in the competition (W9 D3).
- Everton are looking to complete their first league double over Chelsea since the 1978-79 campaign, when the Blues finished bottom of the top-flight with just five wins from 42 games.
- Chelsea have won 10 of their last 14 Premier League games played on Mondays (D2 L2) and are unbeaten in their four such games this season (W3 D1).
- Everton have won their last two Monday top-flight games, last winning three in a row between April 1989 – April 1991 (a run of five). They beat Southampton 1-0 last Monday, last winning league games on consecutive Mondays in 2016-17 (Dec 26th and Jan 2nd).
- Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel could become the first manager in Premier League history to see his side keep a clean sheet in each of his first five home games in charge in the competition. Meanwhile, the Blues are looking to keep five consecutive home league clean sheets for the first time since January 2015.
- Everton’s Gylfi Sigurdsson has scored more Premier League goals against Chelsea than he has vs any other side in the competition (6). However, just one of these six goals has come at Stamford Bridge (May 2013 with Tottenham).
- Chelsea’s Édouard Mendy has kept six clean sheets in his first 10 home Premier League starts, the most by a goalkeeper in their first 10 home starts since Alisson kept seven for Liverpool at Anfield in 2018. The only Chelsea goalkeeper with more Premier League clean sheets in their first 10 starts at Stamford Bridge is Petr Cech (8).
- Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti is looking to become the first manager in the Premier League era to win away at Stamford Bridge after having managed Chelsea in the competition (P18 D6 L12). He could be the first manager since Dave Sexton in 1974-75 with QPR to complete a top-flight double over the Blues after leaving the club.
WEST HAM V LEEDS
8pm Another excellent game tonight! West Ham will have one eye on the game at 6pm as they are right in the mix for a Top Four finish too. They are two points behind Chelsea and have a game in hand while they are only a point behind Everton. They will probably come up a tad short, but David Moyes has completely turned things around since coming in. It’s hard to believe he was hired to keep them up and now they are pushing for European football. This should be an excellent game for any football fan to watch as both sides have been very impressive going forward this season. Leeds have played much better than their position in the table, but they need to solve their issues at the back if they are going to have success in the Premier League.
West Ham have been one of my favourite teams to back this season as they have offered a lot of value at times. Their xG figures going forward have been very impressive, and while Leeds have been excellent going forward too – they have definitely left more gaps at the back. I feel that’s where this game will be won – I expect an end-to-end game but Leeds to give more chances to West Ham. Leeds have been unlucky at times, but West Ham even created an xG of 1.73 away to Man City – the only side to perform very well against City recently. They were unlucky to lose, and they can get back to winning ways together. The 2.1 is very much worth taking as I feel Leeds style of play with suit the Hammers and I can’t see past the home win.
The Striker Says:
Three points win West Ham to beat Leeds at 2.1 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQweslee
MATCH STATS
- West Ham are looking to complete their first league double over Leeds since 1953-54 in the second tier, while they last beat them in both top-flight meetings in a season back in 1929-30.
- Leeds have lost just one of their 10 Premier League away games against West Ham (W6 D3), going down 0-3 in March 1998. This is their first such visit since a 4-3 victory in November 2002.
- This will be the 100th different league meeting between West Ham and Leeds. The Whites will be the 13th different side West Ham have faced 100+ times in league football, with the Hammers only having a lower win rate against Liverpool (19.8%) and Arsenal (23.2%) than they do against Leeds (25.3%). Meanwhile, of the seven opponents Leeds will have faced 100+ times (including West Ham), their highest win rate is against the Hammers (47%).
- West Ham United are looking to win three consecutive home Premier League matches for the first time since March 2019, while manager David Moyes hasn’t won three in a row at home since winning his last six as Everton manager in 2013.
- Leeds have lost 12 of their last 13 in London in all competitions (D1), losing all four in the capital in the Premier League this season. Leeds are one of only three top-flight sides yet to win a point in London this term, along with Sheffield United and West Bromwich Albion.
- None of Leeds United’s last 17 league matches have ended as a draw (W8 L9), their longest run since December 2008 (also 17 in a row). They last had a longer run ending in November 2006, when they went 18 without a draw.
- Among teams he’s faced at least five times in his league managerial career, against no sides has David Moyes registered a higher win ratio than against Leeds (80%, 4 wins in 5 games). This is his first home league game against the Whites since September 2003, a 4-0 Everton win with Steve Watson scoring a hat-trick.
- Stuart Dallas is yet to end on the winning side for Leeds United in London in 23 attempts in all competitions (D6 L17). The last time Dallas ended on the winning side in London was in May 2015 – a home game for Brentford against Wigan in the Championship.
- Michail Antonio has been directly involved in 19 goals in his last 22 Premier League starts for West Ham (15 goals, 4 assists), although he has never scored in eight league appearances against Leeds, the joint-most he’s faced a team without scoring along with Wolves.
- Leeds United winger Raphinha has been directly involved in eight goals in nine away Premier League starts (3 goals, 5 assists). The only Leeds player involved in more than eight goals in their first 10 away Premier League starts was Michael Bridges in 1999-00 (8 goals, 1 assist).
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