THE STRIKER: previews Wednesday’s Premier League game between MANCHESTER CITY v SOUTHAMPTON at 6pm with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
MANCHESTER CITY V SOUTHAMPTON
6pm While all eyes will be on the Champions League tonight, we have a nice Premier League game to wet the appetite beforehand! Manchester City host Southampton as they aim to bounce back quickly from their 2-0 loss here against Manchester United at the weekend. City will be annoyed to lose their winning run, and also annoyed to lose to their city rivals but in the grand scheme of things it won’t make much difference as they are still 11 points clear at the top of the Premier League.
They have had a very busy schedule recently as they had two midweek games to catch up on in-between their Champions League Last 16 tie. I noted in my preview on Sunday that it would have been excellent for them to beat United at the weekend and really put the title to bed. I don’t think anyone can see them losing from here, but it would have been nice if they could really rest some players and focus on the Champions League. After all, that has always been a massive aim for Guardiola at City.
Southampton finally got back to winning ways at the weekend with a 2-0 win over Sheffield United, and while they didn’t deserve to be on a losing run we must remember it was over Sheffield United who have been poor this season. It’s hard to see anything bar a City win here and the market agrees as they are trading as short as 1.22 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange.
City let us down at the weekend against United, but they did land a nice 4.1 shot for us against Wolves in the game before that. That was any Any Other Home Win in the Correct Score market and I think we can land the same bet again here. It’s worth backing at 3.5 or bigger. Looking at the xG figures, Southampton have been conceding chances lately and if City are in the mood we should see a lot of goals here. Guardiola will want a reaction after the United loss too and I feel the 3.5 is a much better option than the handicap for example.
The Striker Says:
One point win Any Other Home Win at 3.5 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQmncsou
MATCH STATS
- Manchester City have won seven of their last eight Premier League games against Southampton, losing the other. The Citizens have netted 18 goals and conceded just five in this run.
- Southampton have lost eight of their last nine Premier League away games against Man City (D1), with their only victory at the Etihad coming in their first visit to the stadium (3-1 in April 2004).
- Southampton have won their two Premier League games against sides top of the table this season, beating Everton 2-0 in October and Liverpool 1-0 in January. The last team to beat three different league leaders within a single top-flight campaign was the Saints themselves, beating Ipswich, Manchester United and Swansea in 1981-82.
- Manchester City have won each of their last 13 Premier League games played on a Wednesday, the longest winning run on that specific weekday in the competition’s history. Indeed, only on Saturdays between April 2017-January 2018 have the Citizens won more consecutively on a specific day in the Premier League (17).
- Manchester City’s defeat against Manchester United last time out ended a run of 28 games unbeaten and 21 consecutive victories in all competitions for the Citizens. It was also the first time they’d conceded more than once in a match since their 0-2 defeat against Spurs in November.
- Manchester City haven’t lost consecutive home league games since February 2016 under Manuel Pellegrini. Boss Pep Guardiola has never lost back-to-back home league games in his managerial career.
- Southampton’s victory at Sheffield United last time out ended a run of nine league games without a win, of which Saints had lost eight (D1). They’re looking to win back-to-back away league games for the first time since June 2020.
- Manchester City had 23 shots in their 0-2 defeat against Manchester United last time out, their most in a home league game without scoring since March 2016 (26, also vs Manchester United).
- Man City’s Raheem Sterling has been involved in 11 goals in 16 Premier League games against Southampton (7 goals, 4 assists) – only against West Ham (14) has he had more goal involvements in the competition.
- No player has been involved in more Premier League goals for Southampton this season than James Ward-Prowse (11 – 6 goals, 5 assists). He’s netted seven goals in all competitions so far this term, his joint-best return in a single season with Southampton.
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