TWO WINNERS OUT OF THREE AND TWO NAPS OUT OF THREE: Daqman landed two winning bets out of three yesterday, with the third one a favourite who didn’t run his race and pulled up. Chanting Hill was his second winning nap in three days after Saturday’s 9-5 scorer Wilde About Oscar.
✔️ WON 9-4 CHANTING HILL (nap)
✔️ WON 11-4 DARKEST DAY
23.0 WIN TOPS JUMPS TABLE BUT CAP’S IN THE RING AT 17.0: Today Daqman completes his review of the Jumps season, checking out the value in some of the feature-race winners which beat Pricewise. Vanillier is top of the table, eight points better on BETDAQ (23.0) than at 14-1 SP. But he includes Cloth Cap in the list at ante-post 17.0 for the Grand National, currently with 11 points in the bag on the latest offers. All he has to do now is win!
🗓️ TODAY: Three bets from each of the GB venues: Huntingdon, Wetherby and Taunton
🗓️ TOMORROW: The Daqman betting plan for the Flat
🗓️ THURSDAY: Exclusive ABC guide to the Lincoln Handicap
THE BETDAQ-VALUE TOP-20 HITS
BETDAQ 80% better than SP. Daqman feature-race winners in the 2020-21 Jumps season, November to March, which were staked to BETDAQ offers show 24-30 in the value challenge to Pricewise were shorter at SP.
Here are the top 20, with the season’s other big-odds Daqman winners which held their price or were not in the challenge.
WON 14-1 VANILLIER (from 23.0 on BETDAQ)
WON 16-1 CHATHAM STREET LAD (from 23.0 on BETDAQ)
WON 11-1 FLOORING PORTER (from 17.5 on BETDAQ)
WON 7-1 WHO’S IN THE BOX (from 13.0 on BETDAQ)
WON 13-2 THE SHUNTER (from 12.0 on BETDAQ
WON 6-4 SKY PIRATE (from 5.9 on BETDAQ)
WON 10-1 OFF YOU GO (from 15.0 on BETDAQ)
WON 11-2 CASIMIR DU CLOS (from 9.8 on BETDAQ)
WON 7-2 BEFORE MIDNIGHT (from 7.8 on BETDAQ)
WON 12-1 FLOORING PORTER (from 15.5 on BETDAQ
WON 12-1 COCOLOBO (from 14.5 on BETDAQ)
WON 7-1 DOSTAL PHIL (from 9.6 on BETDAQ)
WON 11-2 SHARJAH (from 8.3 on BETDAQ)
WON 7-4 PUT THE KETTLE ON (from 3.3 on BETDAQ)
WON 4-1 QUICK WAVE (from 6.8 on BETDAQ)
WON 3-1 FIRST FLOW (from 5.9 on BETDAQ)
WON 13-8 TONE THE BARONE (from 3.8 on BETDAQ)
WON 13-8 TOMMYS OSCAR (from 3.4 on BETDAQ)
WON 100-30 CLOTH CAP (from 4.85 on BETDAQ)
* Ante-post 17.0 CLOTH CAP (currently 6.0 on BETDAQ for the Grand National) is number 20 on the list, showing 11 points of ‘overs’. He would be top of the 20 if he wins at Aintree.
Other big-odds winners
WON 25-1 THE COB
WON 18-1 THE LONG MILE
WON 14-1 ADVANCED VIRGO
WON 14-1 SECRET INVESTOR
WON 12-1 MAKE GOOD
WON 11-1 THE HERD’S GARDEN
EXPECT MORE FROM KAKAMORA
⭕ 12.30 Huntingdon The form of the Nicky Henderson yard is hard to weigh up at the moment. Given the domination of the Irish contingent you could argue he over-performed with his two winners Shishkin and Chantry House (a 1-2 in the Marsh) but the flip side was the bitterly disappointing efforts in the Gold Cup from Champ and Santini who both made mistakes and were pulled up.
Since Cheltenham, Henderson has had two winners from eight runners but also saddled three beaten favourites. A riddle wrapped in an enigma.
I’d be slightly wary of supporting his Chasamax in this opening maiden hurdle. Although this is a weak content he is 0/6 over hurdles and whilst his Cheltenham third in November is outstanding form in the context of this race, it looks as though he has regressed since then and there hasn’t been much spark from his two efforts in bumpers this year.
Preference has to go to Kakamora who is much less exposed and has every chance if maintaining the level of form of his two runner-up spots at Ludlow. He’s back after a break and should be fine with the good to soft ground.
LESSER IS MORE
⭕ 2.50 Wetherby Interesting event which can be quickly narrowed down to the three that head the BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE market.
Ballycallan Fame heads the betting – the last time she ran here she won by 23 lengths at 125/1.
However she didn’t build on that when beaten a similar distance into third at Warwick last time out when sent off a warm 6/5 favourite and it might well be that her C&D win was a little of a fluke in as much as she was given plenty of rope by her rivals – no doubt the jockeys assuming the 125/1 would come back to the rest of the field!
In short, I think she might be vulnerable again against two progressive and unbeaten rivals.
Lesser has won a point and bumper in easy fashion and sets off hurdling today and is narrowly preferred to Gosuatri who won a French bumper in 2019 and might be more of a long term project for Jonjo O’Neill.
⭕ 5.15 Taunton Just a speculative play here as it is wide open but I wasn’t keen on Deputy Jones who is 0/12 and was a disappointing beaten favourite when last seen outing December at Southwell.
Marilyn Monroe looks good for the place and I will stake to win with a stakes saver on the BETDAQ place market.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 10 points)
BET 5.6pts win (nap) KAKAMORA (12.30 Huntingdon)
BET 5.3pts win LESSER (2.50 Wetherby)
BET 2.5pts win and 2.5pts place (stakes saver) MARILYN MONROE (5.15 Taunton)
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
