THE STRIKER: previews Saturday’s FA Cup semi-final between CHELSEA v MAN CITY with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
CHELSEA V MANCHESTER CITY
5.30pm It’s an FA Cup Semi-Final weekend and what a fixture we have in store for Saturday! It’s a slight shame that this isn’t the Final, but I’m sure Leicester and Southampton fans will have something to say about that. We should have a cracker here, and all football bets are 0% Commission on BETDAQ Betting Exchange too for some excellent value. Both sides come into Wembley on a high after their Champions League performances, and they have another Semi-Final to look forward to. Who knows, this could be the Champions League Final fixture too.
It’s fair to say that both sides got a reasonably easy tie in the last round of the Champions League, with Chelsea beating Porto and Man City beating Dortmund. Both Porto and Dortmund haven’t been at their best domestically this season. Man City have been excellent since the turn of the year however, and for me they look massive at 1.88. Don’t get me wrong, Chelsea have been performing well since sacking Frank Lampard, but Man City are on a different level.
Chelsea are under immense pressure in the race for a Top Four finish in the Premier League after they lost 5-2 to West Brom recently. The xG figures say they were reasonably unlucky, but they have had a fair few draws since the start of the year. The sides met in early 2021 too, with Man City running out 3-1 winners in an impressive display. If you look at the Chelsea xG figures, they have been keeping things reasonably tight lately but they played Liverpool at a good time and it was also a very boring 0-0 with Man United.
I feel the 3-1 win to City earlier in the year says a lot, and the 1.88 on City is hard to get away from. They have been putting in some incredible figures this season and they can continue that here. I know they lost 2-1 to Leeds at the weekend, but they basically have the Premier League title won and would have had an eye on the Dortmund fixture where they created an xG of 2.63. We landed a nice lay on City at very low odds against Leeds, but they will be fully focused on the job here and they can out score this Chelsea side.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Manchester City to beat Chelsea at 1.88 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQchlmnc
MATCH STATS
- Chelsea have lost four of their last five FA Cup ties against Manchester City, including a 2-1 loss at this stage in 2013. However, they did win their most recent such encounter 5-1 in February 2016.
- Manchester City have won six of their last nine meetings with Chelsea in all competitions (D1 L2), beating the Blues 3-1 at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League already this season.
- Manchester City have lost none of their three meetings with Chelsea at the new Wembley Stadium, beating them 2-1 in the 2013 FA Cup semi-final, 2-0 in the 2018 Community Shield, and on penalties in the 2019 League Cup final.
- Chelsea are looking to reach the FA Cup final for a 15th time, with only Arsenal (21) and Manchester United (20) reaching it more often than the Blues. Chelsea have won seven of their last eight semi-final ties, losing only against Man City in 2013 in this run.
- Manchester City have won nine of their last 11 FA Cup semi-final matches, though they have been eliminated at this stage in two of their four previous campaigns under Pep Guardiola (vs Arsenal in both 2017 and 2020).
- Chelsea are looking to reach the FA Cup final for the fourth time in the last five seasons, failing only in 2018-19 in this run. Thomas Tuchel would be the first ever German manager to reach the English FA Cup final.
- Man City boss Pep Guardiola is unbeaten in all five of his managerial meetings with Chelsea’s Thomas Tuchel (W3 D2), with all of these coming between 2013 and 2016 when the Spaniard was in charge of Bayern Munich.
- Sergio Agüero has scored six goals in his 10 appearances at Wembley Stadium for Manchester City. His six goals are more than any other Man City player has netted at the ground.
- No player has scored more goals in the 2020-21 FA Cup tournament (excl. qualifiers) than Chelsea’s Tammy Abraham (4).
- Man City’s Kevin De Bruyne has been involved in nine goals in his last eight FA Cup matches, scoring four and assisting five.
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