PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: The Striker previews Sunday’s games between BRIGHTON v ASTON VILLA and FULHAM v MAN U both with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats via FACTMAN.
BRIGHTON V ASTON VILLA
2pm We have an intriguing Super Sunday in the Premier League on BETDAQ Betting Exchange this week! This day next week we’ll be starting the World Cup which seems incredible given we’ve had so many fixtures in the domestic leagues recently! They really have rushed to get in as many fixtures as possible. We have a very interesting day ahead here though with two fascinating markets. I’m sure we will have a lot of big opinions on the prices today on either side of the book, and we start the day with Brighton hosting Aston Villa. Unai Emery couldn’t have wished for a better start with Aston Villa beating Manchester United 3-1 last weekend. The same two sides clashed in the Carabao Cup midweek, but I wouldn’t pay much attention to the Cup results given we saw so many changes during the week. It will be interesting to see how Aston Villa get on here because they have been really poor away from home this season; one wonders if Emery can change that! Brighton must be on cloud nine at the moment – they come into this game off the back of three cracking wins scoring ten goals in all competitions. They benefitted from Arsenal making ten changes in the Cup midweek, but their win over Chelsea here was very impressive and then they came from 2-1 down to grind out a 3-2 win away to Wolves last weekend. They have been very impressive this season.
I know we saw a nice bounce from Villa when Emery took over, but I am still very happy to have a Max Bet on Brighton here at 1.9. I fully expected to see Brighton sub 1.8 when I clicked into the market here, and I’m very happy with 1.9. Despite scoring three against United at the weekend, Villa scored from low xG positions. It’s to their credit they made a fantastic start and pretty much shocked United, but they just don’t create enough chances for me. Their away performances have been poor too – look at their current run of form – they lose 3-0 to Fulham away, beat Brentford 4-0 at home, lose 4-0 to Newcastle away and then beat United 3-1 at home. Brighton have put in some top class performances this season and their under-lining numbers are a sign of a top side too. They started the weekend sitting in sixth and after the Chelsea win, surely they can dream of getting a European spot. They might need help with one of the Top Four winning the Cups but still. There are creating nearly two goals per game while conceding one, and they should take full advantage of Villa’s away form.
The Striker Says:
Five points win Brighton to beat Aston Villa at 1.9 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BriAst
⚠️ CHECK FACTMAN STATS ON THIS MATCH ⚠️
FULHAM V MANCHESTER UNITED
4.30pm We have a very similar market to the early game here except the prices are reversed around with Manchester United trading around 1.93 to beat Fulham. We saw last weekend that the jury is still definitely out on this United side – I feel like ten Hag has his best XI but when someone is injured or things change there are huge issues with the squad. You’d have to ask the question too about Ronaldo starting and another poor United performance – they finished the game with an xG of just 0.55 and although they were shocked with the two early goals, that’s still just not good enough. Clearly Varane is a huge asset at the back for them – they just don’t look solid without him. This is another big test for United away from home, and I’m sure there will be some big opinions either side of the book. I have to say after looking at the performance last weekend, I would be in the lay camp here myself. It’s hard to make the case that United should be shorter than 1.93 away from home, and if anything they should be a little over odds against here. I said last week I’d lay them at odds on, but I felt 2.2 was too far – this time it’s the opposite, the 1.93 is too short against a Fulham side who have been playing well this season. Fulham clearly have their own issues at the back, so I will be keeping stakes small here.
Fulham had the difficult task of trying to stop Manchester City last weekend, and they made a pretty good job of it. They lost 2-1 which is easily forgivable away to City these days, indeed it took City until the 95th minute to score the winning goal so Fulham came so close to actually getting a result. If they can stop City, they can easily stop United. Fulham started the weekend sitting just inside the top half of the table and they will be delighted with their start to the season – you’d have to be worried about them conceding an average xG of over 2 this season, but they are creating 1.5. In that sense, especially with United missing Varane Over 2.5 goals does make a lot of appeal at 1.71. I think the choice here is a United lay at 1.93 or Over 2.5 goals at 1.71. I’m happier to have a bigger stake on Over 2.5 goals, so that will be my best bet. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a 3-2 win either way given how poor both are at the back! This should be an entertaining game and a good way to end the Premier League before the World Cup!
The Striker Says:
Three points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.71 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/FulMun
⚠️ CHECK FACTMAN STATS ON THIS MATCH ⚠️
