6-1 WINNER AND HOT NAP FOR DAQMAN: Daqman refuses to be frozen out: where there’s racing there’s profit in BETDAQ value and his Sunday-Monday form figures of 221-121 were hot picks indeed in the All-Weather ice-box.
Monday: profit on the day 16.90
WON 6-1 OWER STARLIGHT
WON 6-4 VITESSE DU SON (nap)
Sunday
WON 10-11 DOLLAR BAE 2.58 on BETDAQ
TODAY: Daqman looks forward to Christmas but sees a continuing trend in major races going through to Cheltenham: top horses avoiding each other in much-reduced field sizes.
THEY’RE ALREADY AVOIDING HILL
⭕ 1.55 Kempton, Boxing-Day Monday (Christmas Hurdle) The Boxing Day duel between Paul Nicholls and Nicky Henderson is set to continue, with Henderson on 10 (Nicholls 0) in the Christmas Hurdle but Nicholls on 12 (Henderson 3) in the King George.
Constitution Hill (generally 1-3 favourite) is the Henderson hot-pot for win number 11 in the hurdle.
The Christmas message thus far is that Constitution Hill will be sidestepped by his rivals on Boxing Day and the Champion Hurdle is also beginning to look a formality, even three months through the looking-glass.
Teahupoo, who gave 7lb and a beating to Honeysuckle in the Hattons Grace 10 days ago, is likely to miss Boxing Day and wait for Leopardstown on December 29.
And, if Constitution Hill pulls off a cracker in the Christmas Hurdle, Honeysuckle will forfeit her chance of the Champion Hurdle hat-trick at Cheltenham, with the Mares Hurdle as her new preference.
⭕ 2.30 Kempton, Boxing-Day Monday (King George V1 Chase) Bravemansgame is favourite to land a lucky-13th King George for Paul Nicholls, who has three other possibles: Frodon (the 2020 winner), Hitman and Pic d’Orhy.
L’Homme Presse (Venetia Williams) is Bravemansgame’s closest market rival; both are in the list of Daqman Fortune Cookies.
Noble Yeats and Protektorat are also among the 13 acceptors but are both very easy to back, which suggests they are likely to avoid this early confrontation.
PRINCE THE COURSE SPECIALIST
⭕ 3.13 Southwell The course passed a morning inspection to keep the show on the road this afternoon and even with ‘all-weather’ you can’t take anything for granted after the events at Newcastle over the weekend.
The best bet on the card could come in then closing 1m 6f handicap where there are several suspect stayers and it could be best left to the only course and distance winner in the field Prince Abu whose job has been made easier by the defection of both Boss Strait and Tom Hazelgrove.
Prince Abu is a three-timer winner here and is looking to repeat last week’s win over this trip under a penalty. He stayed on well that day and should again account for Kitten’s Dream who was back in third.
I think it’s one of those races that whilst the penalty is a concern it is offset by the opposition having stamina doubts and the latter outweighs the former.
Main danger on the Betdaq Betting Exchange market is Funky Town Pinkie is an exception as she has done well since being stepped up in trip but is up another 3lb for winning a race over longer. It’s hard to know the value of that eight length win which came in a three runner race.
She is probably better judged on her previous second to Golden Shot and that race gives us our formline through Kitten’s Dream who was also third that day – if that form works out we can be reasonably confident that Prince Abu will finish in front of Funky Town Pinkie.
PULL THE PLUG
⭕ 3.45 Wolverhampton Harbour Vision is the obvious favourite with the grey bidding for a course and distance hat-trick and the 4lb statutory penalty for his success here on Saturday might not be enough to stop his progress.
However at the Betdaq prices I think a case can be made for Unplugged, especially if the first time cheekpieces prove a positive addition.
Trained by the Easterbys, Unplugged was a creditable fourth at Chelmsford last time out and met trouble in running. He’s taken another drop in the weights and despite 0-6 from on the all-weather you get the feeling he is lurking off a reasonable mark.
Busby is 3-3 over course and distance and is another reappearing under a penalty after a win here on Saturday night. He might be the biggest danger.
⭕ 6.45 Wolverhampton A typically competitive seven furlong handicap to close proceedings but there are plenty of question marks over some of the market principals.
It might be safest left to Min Till who was a course and distance winner two starts ago and ran well again at Lingfield last time out off today’s mark.
DAQMAN’S BETS
3.13 Southwell (win 10, nap)
BET 5.5pts win PRINCE ABU
3.45 Wolverhampton (win 10)
BET 2.4pts win UNPLUGGED
6.45 Wolverhampton (win 10)
BET 3.1pts win MIN TILL
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