SATURDAY IN EUROPE: The Ultra previews the matches between BAYERN MUNICH v HOFFENHEIM, REAL BETIS v ESPANYOL and CADIZ v REAL MADRID all with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BAYERN MUNICH V HOFFENHEIM
2.30pm We have another top class Saturday in Europe on BETDAQ Betting Exchange! We have three very interesting games from the Bundesliga and La Liga, including Real Madrid and Bayern Munich in action. That’s where we start the day as Bayern Munich host Hoffenheim in what should be a routine win for the German Champions. It’s been well documented that Bayern haven’t been at their best this season, they have even been through a manager mid-season which is very unlike them, but they come into this game as the red-hot favourites. Hoffenheim aren’t quite in the relegation battle, but they are close enough to it. They are only five points away from the bottom three, and they have been playing average football this season. Bayern got hammered 3-0 midweek in the Champions League by Manchester City, but they’ll have to pick themselves up quickly here as they can’t afford to drop points in the Bundesliga. Dortmund are only two points behind them at the moment, and for the first time in a while we might actually have a close title race towards the end of the season.
Thomas Tuchel is still settling into his new role at Bayern Munich, but he hasn’t had much time to settle! His first game was Dortmund, which was a huge must win game for Bayern. They managed to do that, but since then they have got knocked out of the German Cup and they have more than one foot out of the Champions League too. Although they have home advantage in the second leg, it’s very difficult to see them coming from three goals down against a club like Manchester City. With Bayern trading 1.22 here, we’re going to have to look around the side markets for some value. This will be a case of how many goals can Bayern score rather than will they win, and while they usually score a lot, this fixture does land at an interesting time. Hoffenheim have won their last three games, and Bayern could still have one eye on the Champions League Quarter-Final despite being three goals down. I feel Hoffenheim can keep the score line respectable while Bayern win, and I like the Any Other Home Win (Bayern Munich to score four goals or more and win) lay in the Correct Score market at around 2.8.
The Ultra Says:
Two points lay (liability) Any Other Home Win Correct Score at 2.8 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BayHof
REAL BETIS V ESPANYOL
5.30pm We move over to La Liga next as Real Betis host Espanyol. This is an absolutely massive game for Real Betis, who really have to find something. After finishing a very strong fifth last season and winning the Copa del Rey, they would have been the hot favourites to move into that fourth spot after Sevilla started the season so poorly. Things just haven’t worked out for them, and another loss last weekend saw them overtaken by Villarreal. Whatever about top four, they aren’t even in the top five at the start of the weekend! It would have been mildly expected that Real Sociedad would drop points towards the end of the season, they usually do, but they have been reasonably solid – when they have dropped points so have Real Betis in fairness. What it all means is that Real Betis are now six points behind Real Sociedad having played the same amount of games, and their chances of that top four spot are getting slimmer with each passing week. They lost 1-0 to Atletico Madrid when they returned from the International break, which is understandable, but they lost 2-0 to Cadiz last weekend with home advantage. To concede an xG of 2.79 in front of your own fans against a side in a relegation battle is a very poor performance, and they must do better here.
Espanyol are another side in the relegation battle – they start the weekend sitting in the bottom three. Things are so tight at the bottom of the table however, Cadiz who beat Real Betis last weekend are only four points ahead of them in 14th. Espanyol need to pick up some points though because they have Valencia on the same amount of points as them and they have a much better squad. It’s no surprise to see Real Betis trading odds on here, but it’s a sign of the lack of trust the market has in them this season that they are trading as high as 1.86. In fairness, Real Betis have only won twice from the last six meetings in La Liga. The problem for Betis this season is they are basically conceding what they create – their average xG is 1.5 at both ends of the pitch. Espanyol have the same xG conceded, but they are creating marginally less at 1.4. We usually see fireworks between these two, and Over 2.5 goals jumps off the page at 2.16. I’m really surprised to see this trading odds against given how poor both sides have been at the back this season, and I feel we’re getting so much value here the 2.16 is worth a Max Bet.
The Ultra Says:
Five points win Over 2.5 goals at 2.16 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/BetEsp
CADIZ V REAL MADRID
8pm We move over to La Liga to finish Saturday as Cadiz host Real Madrid. At the moment in La Liga it’s hard to know what kind of performance level to expect from Real Madrid. I spoke about this last week before their home game against Villarreal saying that they would have one eye on the Champions League tie against Chelsea – probably even two eyes! They lost 3-2 in an entertaining game. They were superb on Wednesday night winning 2-0 against Chelsea, and probably would have been disappointed not to score more goals given they had an extra man for the final 30 minutes of the game, but nevertheless they are in an excellent position heading to London next week. With Barcelona now 13 points ahead in La Liga, it’s hard to see Real Madrid giving this fixture much attention – I would suggest all their focus will be on the Champions League second leg next week. From that point of view, we could easily see plenty of changes here and we could see a lot of market movement around the team news – that’s definitely an angle for traders here. Cadiz would welcome any changes from Real Madrid given they are still not too far away from the relegation zone – they start the weekend four points away from the bottom three.
Despite the obvious concerns about how focused Real Madrid will be on this fixture, they come into the game the clear favourites at 1.59. Cadiz are trading 6.4 and the draw is 4.5. I have to say although there is a gulf in class between the sides, I really wouldn’t be rushing to back Real Madrid here at 1.59. They aren’t a team to include in your weekend Acca either with this fixture sandwiched in between the two Champions League legs. Cadiz have clearly had a lot of issues this season, but they recorded a massive win last weekend over Real Betis putting a real dent in their top four hopes. They have been tough to beat lately, only losing once in their last six – three of those were draws. They still concede a lot of chances however, and I feel Over 2.5 goals jumps off the page here at 1.84. As we saw last weekend, I’d expect Real to play very open games in La Liga now with the title race over – they will want to entertain. Cadiz have been creating enough lately to suggest they can score, and they always give away chances. The 1.84 is worth a very confident bet!
The Ultra Says:
Four points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.84 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/CadRma
