DAQMAN GOODWOOD STRIKES AT 5-1 AND 9-1: Paddington yesterday was the 19th Flat-season winner for Fortune Cookies, who are three from four since Sunday, as Daqman has landed two or more winners a day for the last four days, including Goodwood strikes at 5-1 and 9-1.
Wednesday: Goodwood Day 2
WON 5-1 FLORA OF BERMUDA
WON 4-9 PADDINGTON (Fortune Cookie)
Tuesday: Goodwood Day 1
WON 9-1 EXECUTIVE DECISION
WON 10-11 KINROSS (Fortune Cookie)
Monday: 13.40 points profit
WON 8-11 SONGO (nap)
WON 7-2 ARBAAWI
Sunday: 37.25 points profit
WON 5-2 ASTAPOR (nap)
WON 11-10 ELITE STATUS (Fortune Cookie)
WON 5-4 POKER FACE
30.0 SHOT CAN BE FORTUNE COOKIES 20th WIN: There’s another hot-shot Fortune Cookie today in the bid for 20 winners but also a complete shock to the system, an outsider of six at 30.0 on BETDAQ! That would add nearly 600 points to the profits.
PADDINGTON STATIONED AT THE TOP
GROUNDS for thinking we saw a truly great horse yesterday. Knowing it was heavy going in the mud, and Paddington was famous for his speed, cocking his head when asked to work, they threw everything at him at Goodwood.
First, the always-cunning pace and position manipulator, Frankie Dettori headed him off to grab the nearside rail, a big advantage in the final stages of the one-mile Sussex Stakes.
Frankie got first run on Paddington but under protest from his mount, Inspiral, and the colt began to take her measure and go clear, only to face another challenge.
Soft-ground French specialist, Facteur Cheval, beaten only a head in the Ispahan at Longchamp the last day, came over especially to attack the best Goodwood could offer under a Maxime Guyon drive.
Paddington’s answer was to find more, this time head forward, responding, extending… and he went right away.
I don’t remember Ryan Moore smiling so much (laughing even!) or ever before hearing the ultimate tribute from a trainer, not even from Aidan O’Brien, who tends to talk up his best horses.
Said one legend of another: ‘Even after Paddington has completed seven wins in a row, the last four at Group 1, he is still improving and putting on weight between races’.
Said Moore: ‘He’s exceptional; best I’ve ever ridden.’ And Dettori declared: ‘We were racing a long way out and you see what that did to Inspiral. Yet Paddngton had even more in the tank.’
PERFUSE IS A WORTHY FAVOURITE
⭕ 1.50 Goodwood (1m 2f handicap) The favourite has won this only once in the decade but Perfuse has good credentials.
He’s won on heavy ground over today’s trip and over further on a sound surface, so can play the stamina card. Additionally, he’s very well drawn out of gate 7 to tuck in early and avoid the cavalry.
Perfuse comes out of the King George V Stakes at Royal Ascot, where he was fifth to Desert Hero (he’s in the Group 3 today), who was just in front of him in a strong race for the London Gold Cup in the Spring.
Silver Sword (out of gate 6 today) was runner-up at Epsom when Promoter (badly drawn) stayed on fifth. The improver Alsakib (stall 5) is the only horse on a roll here, apart from Coverdale.
Coverdale has improved 17lb since being gelded and one of his four in a row was on heavy. He can win from gate 14 but needs luck in running.
If Burdett Road is to have any chance in the Gordon Stakes, we must get a good showing from the fourth behind him at Royal Ascot, Have Secret (out of the one stall today), who was also fourth in the London Gold Cup.
Killybegs Road, dropped back from Group efforts in the Dante and at Royal Ascot, beat Obelix on the July Course at Newmarket (firm) but has no form on soft ground, as could be predicted from his sire’s progeny record (good to soft to heavy 1-39).
The absentee (Coco Jack) from stall 4 could help Goldsborough move in for cover (out of 8): stunning ‘overs’ from 48.0 on BETDAQ.
A mile winner at Goodwood on heavy ground in May, and his trainer, Andrew Balding, has already had two winners at the Glorious meeting this week.
Betdaq Betting Exchange short list: 3.0 Perfuse, 10.0 Promoter, 11.5 Have Secret, 15.5 Alsakib, 40 Goldsborough
HAVE A DROP OF MADERA AT 16.0
⭕ 2.25 Goodwood I wrote an essay – or was it a book – about this race but five had dropped out by 10 o’clock, leaving me to pick up the pieces from the remaining seven.
Vandeek had a treat of a draw in 3 but stalls 2, 4 and 5 are empty after withdrawals because of the ground and Toca Madera (drawn 6) is now, in effect, in 3.
Stalls positions may not matter now but backing short-priced two-year-olds when there’s a change in the ground is rarely rewarding so I’ll have my pound on Toca Madera, dropping from Group 2 on firm at 16.0 on BETDAQ.
30.0 RARE OUTSIDER FOR COOKIES
⭕ 3.00 Goodwood (1m 4f Group-3 Gordon Stakes) FORTUNE COOKIE on a hat-trick today is Burdett Road. He has no form on the soft but his sire Muhaarar, has got winners in the mud, and Burdett Road has improved a stone since the Spring.
He won a 10-furlong handicap at Royal Ascot two days after Desert Hero won one over 1m 4f.
It’s easy to assume that Desert Hero will like the mud today because he won at Redcar on heavy but he beat nothing and lugged to his right in the final furlong, as if not enjoying the experience.
Canberra Legend’s sire does well on deep ground and the Listed winner (on good to soft) has not performed so well in firm ground since.
Espionage dropped back to a Listed to get off the ground last month and Chesspiece also recoursed to that level to score in the Glasgow Stakes at Hamilton.
But I can’t see how Espionage rates 3lb higher than Artistic Star, who led two out in the ‘Ascot Derby’ won by the Epsom Classic runner-up King Of Steel. It’s probably just the O’Brien factor.
FRENCH ROSE CAN THRASH NASHWA
⭕ 3.35 Goodwood (1m 2f Group 1 Nassau Stakes) Blue Rose Cen is the FORTUNE COOKIES filly find of the season; we were on her when she won both the French 1,000 Guineas and their Oaks to complete five in a row, two of those victories on deep ground.
It’s another test of 3yo versus 4yo in the manner of Paddington power, with Blue Rose Cen tackling the Falmouth winner, Nashwa, winner of this Nassau Stakes here last year.
Nashwa had won a messy race over a modest field for the French Oaks last year on ‘good to soft’ (but in a fast time) and now has to give 8lb in the mud to the French filly who won it this year, clear in even faster time, from never Ending Story.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.50 Goodwood (win-50 bull’s-eye bets)
BET 3.5pts win ALSAKIB
BET 1.25pts win and place GOLDSBOROUGH
BET (to win 20) 10pts win PERFUSE
2.25 Goodwood (win 30)
BET 2pts win and place TOCA MADERA
3.00 Goodwood
FORTUNE COOKIE
BURDETT ROAD
BET 5pts (to win 20) ARTISTIC STAR
3.35 Goodwood
FORTUNE COOKIE (nap)
BLUE ROSE CEN
5.05 Galway (win 30 @ BETDAQ 15.5)
BET 2pts win and place MIGHTY TOM
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