CHAMPIONS LEAGUE: The Ultra previews GALATASARAY v MANCHESTER UNITED, ARSENAL v LENS and REAL MADRID v NAPOLI all with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
GALATASARAY V MANCHESTER UNITED
5.45pm We have another cracking night on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE in the Champions League on Wednesday! We have some huge fixtures to enjoy here – as I said in my Tuesday preview we’re at the stage now where some games are meaningless but we have some huge games too. We kick off the evening in Group A as Galatasaray host Manchester United – this is absolutely a must win game for United if they are going to have any chance of going through. Bayern Munich are running away with this Group; they have a perfect four from four record, and while they will be expected to beat Copenhagen tonight they also meet Manchester United on the final matchday. What will be in United’s favour there is that Bayern are certain of top spot already, so they can afford to rest players in a busy period coming up to Christmas. United currently sit bottom of the table with just three points from their four games, but the way things have worked out they are still very much in it. Copenhagen and Galatasaray both only have four points, so everything is to play for. The reality is however, United shouldn’t even be in this situation – they have been terrible in this Group so far – to be honest they have been very average all season.
It’s a sign of the times, and what level United have slipped to, that we have such an open market here. United do come into the game as the favourites as 2.58 however with Galatasaray 2.76 and the draw is 3.9. United have been conceding plenty of chances in the Premier League this season – their average xG conceded is 1.53 and they are creating a tiny bit less than that at 1.52. The main problem for them is they haven’t been taking their chances; but that didn’t happen the weekend against Everton – an absolute wonder goal from Garnacho included! With United needing to win, and how many chances they give away, I’d expect plenty of action here. We saw a host of goals when the sides met earlier in the Group at Old Trafford and Over 2.5 goals looks a cracking bet here at 1.65. The only slight negative is Galatasaray would be fine with a draw here; it would put them into second if Bayern Munich win as expected against Copenhagen and then they play Copenhagen last too. I still expect an open game however, it just won’t be a Max Bet at 1.65 – just a very confident four pointer!
The Ultra Says:
Four points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/GalMun
ARSENAL V LENS
8pm Next we move to Group B as Arsenal host Lens. Arsenal come into this matchday sitting top of the table; they have a four point lead over Lens and PSV but they still have work to do. Lens have handed them their only defeat so far in this Group – to be honest though anything bar Arsenal topping the Group would have been a massive shock. Arteta will be thinking win here and then he can rest his full starting XI for the final game as top spot will be in the bag. Despite Lens winning in France, Arsenal actually created the better chances and wouldn’t have been unhappy with the performance. Back in London now, it’s very hard to see past anything other than a smooth Arsenal win. The Gunners come into the game as the heavy odds on favourites at 1.36 with Lens at 11.0 and the draw is 5.6. That’s the shortest price in the Champions League on Wednesday bar Bayern Munich who are also at home. While Lens are in a decent position as they sit in second in this Group, they have been have been struggling for results this season in Ligue 1. They finished a very close second to PSG last season in the end only one point behind and a huge gap back to third, but they haven’t fired this season in front of goal – they currently sit down in sixth already five points off the top three and the Champions League places. I just don’t see anything bar an Arsenal win here, but with them trading as short as 1.36 we’ll have to look around the side markets for some value.
I would recommend Arsenal at 1.36 for any Acca this week however; they are definitely a decent option in that regard. The focus here is going to be on the goal and handicap markets. Arsenal had to work hard to win at Brentford at the weekend, but they got the job done in the end. Arteta has definitely given them a backbone these days and they do grind out a lot of wins that they used to roll over on. While Lens have created chances in Ligue 1 – their average xG created is 1.68 which is the third best figure in France – they have struggled to convert their chances. That has been a big issue, and why they aren’t closer to the top of the table. I would expect them to be quite cagey in this fixture; a draw would be a good result for them. With that in mind I can see them being very negative and Arsenal having a lot of the ball – Both Teams Not To Score is trading 1.88 which looks a nice position. Arsenal can keep a clean sheet here on the way to winning and confirming top spot.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Both Teams Not To Score at 1.88 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/ArsLen
REAL MADRID V NAPOLI
8pm We finish Wednesday night with a blockbuster clash in Group C as Real Madrid host Napoli. It’s been a case of so far so good for Real Madrid – they top this Group with four wins from four games, and they just need a draw here to confirm top spot as they have a five point lead on Napoli. Union Berlin will be very disappointed with their performance in this Group, but these two are pretty certain of the top two spots. Napoli will go into the final game under pressure if they lose here and Sporting Braga win because then there will only be one point between them. Napoli have been playing some excellent football this season, but they have dropped a lot of points already in Serie A. They closed to gap a little at the weekend but they are still eight points behind league leaders Inter Milan. Their average xG created is a very high 1.96 which is actually the best figure in Italy this season. They have also been very solid at the back with an average xG conceded of 1.14 which is the third best figure in Serie A – they really should be leading the table really but they just haven’t got the results. Real Madrid have been getting the wins in La Liga though, and they have been playing some excellent football too.
Their figures are just as good as Napoli’s – their average xG created 2.07 which is the best record in La Liga. Their average xG conceded is 1.21 which is the second best figure at the back too. This should be a very high quality affair to be honest, and I can’t wait! Real Madrid are the odds on favourites, but they aren’t too short – they are trading 1.9 at the time of writing with Napoli 4.4 and the draw is 3.95. Jude Bellingham has been absolutely exceptional this season at Real Madrid, and who can stop him scoring at the moment? I have to say despite Real playing some excellent football, the 1.9 doesn’t offer much value in my opinion – I know Napoli have dropped points this season but their performance level is very high. Real Madrid won 3-2 in Italy, but Napoli actually finished the game with a higher xG figure – that’s been the story of their season so far! I wouldn’t put anyone off the Real lay at 1.9, but Over 2.5 goals makes a lot of appeal here at 1.75. There’s a huge amount of attacking talent in both sides, and Real won’t sit back here either – I’d expect a very end-to-end game with plenty of chances, and Overs is a nice position at the odds.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/RmaNap
